Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kingsland, GA
May 12, 2024 10:52 AM EDT (14:52 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:31 AM Sunset 8:14 PM Moonrise 9:20 AM Moonset 12:00 AM |
AMZ450 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 942 Am Edt Sun May 12 2024
Rest of today - North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east this afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: northeast 2 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Tonight - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 4 seconds and east 2 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 4 seconds and east 2 feet at 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 4 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Tuesday and Tuesday night - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: south 4 feet at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy. Showers with Thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday - Southwest winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 4 feet at 7 seconds and southwest 2 feet at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Thursday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Thursday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 942 Am Edt Sun May 12 2024
Synopsis -
weak high pressure is still the dominating feature this morning but, with moisture coming in off the gulf, there is a slight chance (10%) for a few sprinkles later this morning/early afternoon over our local waters. Winds for the onshore sea-breeze will begin to pick up in the early afternoon. Onshore winds will strengthen on Monday afternoon as a warm front lifts northward. Showers and storms will spread out over our local waters Monday afternoon and into the evening as the warm front lifts through the local waters. Tuesday, the front stalls just north over the local waters as several rounds of heavy showers and storms push across the area through Wednesday. Improving conditions are expected on Thursday as offshore flow develops along with lower rainfall chances.
Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 11, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
57 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 66 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 83 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 99 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
weak high pressure is still the dominating feature this morning but, with moisture coming in off the gulf, there is a slight chance (10%) for a few sprinkles later this morning/early afternoon over our local waters. Winds for the onshore sea-breeze will begin to pick up in the early afternoon. Onshore winds will strengthen on Monday afternoon as a warm front lifts northward. Showers and storms will spread out over our local waters Monday afternoon and into the evening as the warm front lifts through the local waters. Tuesday, the front stalls just north over the local waters as several rounds of heavy showers and storms push across the area through Wednesday. Improving conditions are expected on Thursday as offshore flow develops along with lower rainfall chances.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 11, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
57 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 66 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 83 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 99 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
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FXUS62 KJAX 121247 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 847 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 841 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Weak high pressure is still the dominating feature this morning but, with moisture coming in off the Gulf, there is a slight chance (10%) for a few sprinkles later this morning for NE FL and possibly in SE GA in the afternoon. Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies today with afternoon temperatures in low to mid 80s for SE GA and mid to upper 80s for NE FL. Winds are generally light this morning, picking up along the coast in the afternoon as the Atlantic sea- breeze makes its way in east of US 17.
NEAR TERM
Issued at 239 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Weak high pressure ridge remains in place with a continued dry West-Northwest steering flow in the low levels while high clouds increase in Westerly flow aloft and skies become partly to mostly cloudy by the afternoon hours. Light and variable surface winds are expected with East Coast sea breeze development pushing into the US 301 corridor by the late afternoon/evening hours with winds at 10-15 mph along the Atlantic Coast. The increasing cloud cover puts lower confidence in Max temp forecast with highs generally well into the mid/upper 80s, but could be held closer to the 80-85 range if cloud cover ends up thicker than expected. Tonight the weak high pressure ridge lifts north of the region and warm frontal boundary begins to return slowly northward through the Eastern Gulf/Central FL Peninsula as the steering flow becomes southerly and moisture levels increase with more mid/high clouds expected. Milder overnight lows expected in the 60s inland and near 70 along the Atlantic Coast. A few of the model solutions show a few light showers/sprinkles possible in the increasing cloud cover this afternoon and tonight, but with drier airmass still intact below the mid/high clouds, not expecting any measurable rainfall, so any PoP chances will remain in the "silent" 10% range through tonight for now.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 239 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
Monday and Monday Night: A warm front lifts across the area on Monday morning ahead of upper trough and complex low pressure system taking shape over the southeast US. The warm and moist south to southeasterly flow, combined with shortwave energy ahead of the main trough with the frontal boundary nearby, sets the stage for chances for showers and possibly some t'storms Monday.
Will likely have a combination of some sea breeze convection over northeast FL, with the potential for more widespread activity over interior southeast GA. Instability looks to be marginal at best Monday, therefore not expecting much in the way of strong to severe t'storm activity. A fair amount of cloud cover should limit high temps Monday - especially north of about I-10. Expecting generally low to mid 80s north this "line", and mid to upper 80s and possibly some low 90s furthest south and west. Daytime convection further south weans into Monday Night, though chances for showers and a few thunderstorms is expected to continue throughout the night with the presence of the aforementioned boundary and synoptic scale features - especially further north.
Mild lows in the upper 60s to low 70s will coincide for Monday Night.
Tuesday and Tuesday Night: A secondary warm front with lift across the area on Tuesday Morning, coinciding with low pressure over the south/central US trekking eastward and approaching the Eastern Seaboard during the day on Tuesday and into Tuesday Night. The associated trailing cold front approaches from the west during the day Tuesday and into Tuesday Night, which combined with dynamics of the main upper trough pushing eastward, sets the stage for shower and t'storms during this period. There will be much more of a presence of instability on Tuesday, which combined with the more favorable kinematics will bring the threat for strong to potentially severe convection. Details are to be ironed out, though this potential looks like it could continue into Tuesday Night as well due to the slowing progress of the front. This type of setup will also bring heavy rain potential, with continuous training of precip possible for some areas. Temps Tuesday will be tricky depending on the timing and progress of the front and precip. However, generally low to mid 80s over southeast GA and upper 80s to low 90s ahead of the front south and east.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 239 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
The aforementioned boundary looks to continue to slowly move southward across the region on Wednesday. Highest precip chances Wednesday look to be south of I-10 as some drier air starts to fill in from the north and west. The front looks to settle just south of the region Wednesday Night and Thursday, with some short lived subsidence and therefore more fair weather during this same period as the upper trough moves off the Eastern US and ridging briefly builds in aloft. The next frontal system takes shape and approaches our region around Friday, possibly affecting many locations into the start of next weekend. Guidance diverges rather significantly during this period however, and therefore confidence is low in the forecast beyond about the Thursday time frame.
Temperatures overall trend slightly above average for the majority of the long term.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 725 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
Patchy fog should dissipate very soon and rest of today expect mid to high clouds anywhere from 10-25 kft. Some scattered cumulus possible mainly at coastal TAFS but should be relatively brief today.
Further lowering of cloud bases possible tonight, but remaining VFR. Sfc winds either variable less than 6 kft or northwest until about noon, then expecting the Atlantic sea breeze to push through SSI, CRG, SGJ, and eventually JAX/VQQ this aftn.
MARINE
Issued at 239 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
Weak High pressure will remain in control today with light and variable winds less than 10 knots this morning, with East Coast sea breeze development this afternoon. Southeast winds increase on Monday as warm front lifts north into the local waters likely reaching Small Craft Advisory levels late in the day and continuing into Monday night. As the warm front lifts just north of the waters, winds become southerly on Tuesday and then southwesterly on Wednesday with at least SCEC headlines and possible SCA level winds continuing, but the main threats during this period will be several rounds of showers and strong to severe storms with heavy rainfall and gusty winds at times. Trailing weak frontal passage Wednesday Night into Thursday should lead to a lighter offshore flow below headline levels and a return to more normal afternoon sea breeze regime.
Rip Currents: Marginal Moderate rip current risk continues today as East Coast sea breeze develops this afternoon with surf/breakers in the 1-2 ft range. More solid Moderate to Marginal High risk develops on Monday as Southeast winds increase to 15 to 20 mph by the afternoon/evening hours.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 84 64 84 67 / 10 20 60 70 SSI 83 70 82 71 / 10 20 40 70 JAX 86 67 86 70 / 10 10 50 50 SGJ 84 69 85 72 / 20 10 40 40 GNV 87 65 88 68 / 20 0 60 40 OCF 88 67 91 70 / 10 0 60 30
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 847 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 841 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Weak high pressure is still the dominating feature this morning but, with moisture coming in off the Gulf, there is a slight chance (10%) for a few sprinkles later this morning for NE FL and possibly in SE GA in the afternoon. Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies today with afternoon temperatures in low to mid 80s for SE GA and mid to upper 80s for NE FL. Winds are generally light this morning, picking up along the coast in the afternoon as the Atlantic sea- breeze makes its way in east of US 17.
NEAR TERM
Issued at 239 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
Weak high pressure ridge remains in place with a continued dry West-Northwest steering flow in the low levels while high clouds increase in Westerly flow aloft and skies become partly to mostly cloudy by the afternoon hours. Light and variable surface winds are expected with East Coast sea breeze development pushing into the US 301 corridor by the late afternoon/evening hours with winds at 10-15 mph along the Atlantic Coast. The increasing cloud cover puts lower confidence in Max temp forecast with highs generally well into the mid/upper 80s, but could be held closer to the 80-85 range if cloud cover ends up thicker than expected. Tonight the weak high pressure ridge lifts north of the region and warm frontal boundary begins to return slowly northward through the Eastern Gulf/Central FL Peninsula as the steering flow becomes southerly and moisture levels increase with more mid/high clouds expected. Milder overnight lows expected in the 60s inland and near 70 along the Atlantic Coast. A few of the model solutions show a few light showers/sprinkles possible in the increasing cloud cover this afternoon and tonight, but with drier airmass still intact below the mid/high clouds, not expecting any measurable rainfall, so any PoP chances will remain in the "silent" 10% range through tonight for now.
SHORT TERM
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 239 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
Monday and Monday Night: A warm front lifts across the area on Monday morning ahead of upper trough and complex low pressure system taking shape over the southeast US. The warm and moist south to southeasterly flow, combined with shortwave energy ahead of the main trough with the frontal boundary nearby, sets the stage for chances for showers and possibly some t'storms Monday.
Will likely have a combination of some sea breeze convection over northeast FL, with the potential for more widespread activity over interior southeast GA. Instability looks to be marginal at best Monday, therefore not expecting much in the way of strong to severe t'storm activity. A fair amount of cloud cover should limit high temps Monday - especially north of about I-10. Expecting generally low to mid 80s north this "line", and mid to upper 80s and possibly some low 90s furthest south and west. Daytime convection further south weans into Monday Night, though chances for showers and a few thunderstorms is expected to continue throughout the night with the presence of the aforementioned boundary and synoptic scale features - especially further north.
Mild lows in the upper 60s to low 70s will coincide for Monday Night.
Tuesday and Tuesday Night: A secondary warm front with lift across the area on Tuesday Morning, coinciding with low pressure over the south/central US trekking eastward and approaching the Eastern Seaboard during the day on Tuesday and into Tuesday Night. The associated trailing cold front approaches from the west during the day Tuesday and into Tuesday Night, which combined with dynamics of the main upper trough pushing eastward, sets the stage for shower and t'storms during this period. There will be much more of a presence of instability on Tuesday, which combined with the more favorable kinematics will bring the threat for strong to potentially severe convection. Details are to be ironed out, though this potential looks like it could continue into Tuesday Night as well due to the slowing progress of the front. This type of setup will also bring heavy rain potential, with continuous training of precip possible for some areas. Temps Tuesday will be tricky depending on the timing and progress of the front and precip. However, generally low to mid 80s over southeast GA and upper 80s to low 90s ahead of the front south and east.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 239 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
The aforementioned boundary looks to continue to slowly move southward across the region on Wednesday. Highest precip chances Wednesday look to be south of I-10 as some drier air starts to fill in from the north and west. The front looks to settle just south of the region Wednesday Night and Thursday, with some short lived subsidence and therefore more fair weather during this same period as the upper trough moves off the Eastern US and ridging briefly builds in aloft. The next frontal system takes shape and approaches our region around Friday, possibly affecting many locations into the start of next weekend. Guidance diverges rather significantly during this period however, and therefore confidence is low in the forecast beyond about the Thursday time frame.
Temperatures overall trend slightly above average for the majority of the long term.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 725 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
Patchy fog should dissipate very soon and rest of today expect mid to high clouds anywhere from 10-25 kft. Some scattered cumulus possible mainly at coastal TAFS but should be relatively brief today.
Further lowering of cloud bases possible tonight, but remaining VFR. Sfc winds either variable less than 6 kft or northwest until about noon, then expecting the Atlantic sea breeze to push through SSI, CRG, SGJ, and eventually JAX/VQQ this aftn.
MARINE
Issued at 239 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024
Weak High pressure will remain in control today with light and variable winds less than 10 knots this morning, with East Coast sea breeze development this afternoon. Southeast winds increase on Monday as warm front lifts north into the local waters likely reaching Small Craft Advisory levels late in the day and continuing into Monday night. As the warm front lifts just north of the waters, winds become southerly on Tuesday and then southwesterly on Wednesday with at least SCEC headlines and possible SCA level winds continuing, but the main threats during this period will be several rounds of showers and strong to severe storms with heavy rainfall and gusty winds at times. Trailing weak frontal passage Wednesday Night into Thursday should lead to a lighter offshore flow below headline levels and a return to more normal afternoon sea breeze regime.
Rip Currents: Marginal Moderate rip current risk continues today as East Coast sea breeze develops this afternoon with surf/breakers in the 1-2 ft range. More solid Moderate to Marginal High risk develops on Monday as Southeast winds increase to 15 to 20 mph by the afternoon/evening hours.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 84 64 84 67 / 10 20 60 70 SSI 83 70 82 71 / 10 20 40 70 JAX 86 67 86 70 / 10 10 50 50 SGJ 84 69 85 72 / 20 10 40 40 GNV 87 65 88 68 / 20 0 60 40 OCF 88 67 91 70 / 10 0 60 30
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| KBMG1 | 19 mi | 52 min | 71°F | 30.02 | ||||
| FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL | 21 mi | 52 min | W 7G | 73°F | 78°F | 30.01 | ||
| NFDF1 | 29 mi | 52 min | SW 1G | 76°F | 30.01 | 66°F | ||
| 41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) | 30 mi | 52 min | 73°F | 76°F | 2 ft | |||
| BLIF1 | 32 mi | 52 min | W 2.9G | 76°F | 30.03 | 61°F | ||
| DMSF1 | 32 mi | 52 min | 79°F | |||||
| JXUF1 | 32 mi | 52 min | 79°F | |||||
| LTJF1 | 35 mi | 52 min | 74°F | 61°F | ||||
| MYPF1 - 8720218 - Mayport (Bar Pilots Dock), FL | 35 mi | 52 min | W 6G | 74°F | 78°F | 30.03 | ||
| BKBF1 | 42 mi | 52 min | NW 1G | 76°F | 30.00 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KJAX JACKSONVILLE INTL,FL | 22 sm | 56 min | W 06 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 75°F | 63°F | 65% | 30.01 | |
| KFHB FERNANDINA BEACH MUNI,FL | 24 sm | 17 min | WNW 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 72°F | 63°F | 73% | 30.01 |
Kings Ferry
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:20 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 04:41 AM EDT 3.34 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:20 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 10:54 AM EDT 0.88 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:04 PM EDT 2.73 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 10:54 PM EDT 0.96 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:20 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 04:41 AM EDT 3.34 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:20 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 10:54 AM EDT 0.88 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:04 PM EDT 2.73 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 10:54 PM EDT 0.96 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Kings Ferry, St. Marys River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.1 |
| 1 am |
| 1.7 |
| 2 am |
| 2.4 |
| 3 am |
| 2.9 |
| 4 am |
| 3.3 |
| 5 am |
| 3.3 |
| 6 am |
| 3.1 |
| 7 am |
| 2.6 |
| 8 am |
| 2 |
| 9 am |
| 1.4 |
| 10 am |
| 1 |
| 11 am |
| 0.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 1 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1 |
St. Johns River Entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:19 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 02:48 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:30 AM EDT -1.71 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 09:43 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:18 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 12:00 PM EDT 1.67 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:51 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:21 PM EDT -1.58 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 08:12 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 09:28 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:19 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 02:48 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:30 AM EDT -1.71 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:32 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 09:43 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:18 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 12:00 PM EDT 1.67 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:51 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:21 PM EDT -1.58 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 08:12 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 09:28 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
St. Johns River Entrance, Florida Current (3), knots
| 12 am |
| 2.5 |
| 1 am |
| 1.9 |
| 2 am |
| 1 |
| 3 am |
| -0.2 |
| 4 am |
| -1.2 |
| 5 am |
| -1.7 |
| 6 am |
| -1.7 |
| 7 am |
| -1.4 |
| 8 am |
| -1.1 |
| 9 am |
| -0.6 |
| 10 am |
| 0.3 |
| 11 am |
| 1.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 4 pm |
| -1.1 |
| 5 pm |
| -1.6 |
| 6 pm |
| -1.5 |
| 7 pm |
| -1.2 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.8 |
| 9 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.5 |
Jacksonville, FL,
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