Friday, March24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bay Minette, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 7:08PM Friday March 24, 2017 5:01 PM CDT (22:01 UTC) Moonrise 4:33AMMoonset 3:47PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ631 Southern Mobile Bay-mississippi Sound- 258 Pm Cdt Fri Mar 24 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday evening...
Tonight..Southeast winds 18 to 23 knots. Rough. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..Southeast winds 18 to 23 knots. Rough. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 8 to 13 knots. Choppy to rough becoming a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..South winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop.
Monday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots increasing to 13 to 18 knots. A light chop becoming choppy. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. A moderate chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 8 to 13 knots. A light chop.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 258 Pm Cdt Fri Mar 24 2017
Synopsis..Strong high pressure along the eastern seaboard combined with a deep area of low pressure to the west will help lead to a strong southerly wind flow over the marine area through Saturday evening. Showers and Thunderstorms...a few strong to possibly severe...can be expected Saturday and Saturday evening ahead of the low pressure area approaching from the west.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bay Minette, AL
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location: 30.98, -87.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 242037
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
337 pm cdt Fri mar 24 2017

Near term /now through Saturday/ An upper low over the ok/tx
panhandle moves east, to over the mid mississippi river valley
tonight through Saturday. The associated surface low moves east over
the plains until it reaches the mississippi river Saturday morning,
then meanders north. Even with a bit of weakening in the organization
of the system as it wobbles eastward, the forecast is kept under
moderate to strong onshore flow through the first 24hrs of the
forecast. Winds today have been bumping advisory criteria, but
have been showing a slow downward trend through the day.

Overnight, with the onshore flow continuing and overcast skies, am
expecting overnight temps to remain well above seasonal levels. With
winds remaining on the moderate side, am expecting mostly stratus
with little fog development. As the system moves towards the area
overnight, showers and a few thunderstorms will being to move
over far western portions of the forecast area and mainly towards
sunrise. Lows overnight are expected to range from the upper 50s
northeast to mid 60s along the coast and southwest.

Saturday, the possibility of severe weather continues as the upper
system works its way to the mississippi river. A lobe of energy
swings around the base of the main system as it begins a northeast
jog Saturday afternoon. With MUCAPE values topping out around
1500j/kg, plus or minus, coming together with 0-3km helicity values
of 100-200m^2/s^2. Add in mid and upper level enhancement from jet
maxes along the shortwave lobe swinging around the main upper lobe
and moving over the lower mississippi river valley and SPC has put
essentially the entire fa under a slight risk, with better chances
for severe west of a greenville al to pensacola fl line. With
good rotational wind shear, some organized rotating cells mixing
in with the band of storms as the move across the forecast area
Saturday will bring mainly damaging winds, though a tornado can
not be ruled out, although this threat appears to be very limited
at this time. Mid level lapse rates up to around 6.8 c/km Saturday
afternoon, so the risk of large hail will also continue with the
stronger updrafts. Timing with the current guidance has the band
moving into the western portions of the forecast area late
morning into early afternoon, continuing east across the remainder
of the forecast area during the late afternoon and then weakening
and moving east of the area by mid/late evening. Not to forget,
high temps Saturday generally in the mid 70s.

16/sam

Short term /Saturday night through Monday night/ Upper trof
axis shifts east of our area by midnight Saturday (06z Sunday),
with surface trof still lagging back to the west. With this the
potential for strong/severe storms diminishes and ends during the
evening hours Saturday, although some lingering showers and storms
will remain possible into late Saturday night. Forecast area
between systems on Sunday, then another weather system moves
rapidly east across the interior eastern portion of the country
late Monday through Monday night, brining another chance for
showers and storms. For now, any severe threat with that over our
area looks very limited. Overnight lows in the lower 60s through
the period, daytime highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s. 12/ds

Long term /Tuesday through Friday/ Very progressive pattern
continues through long term period. Previously mentioned system
departs to the east by midday Tuesday with a brief period of
ridging over the forecast area Wednesday before yet another system
approaches from the west by early Thursday. Some indications that
this late week system may have the potential to be a little more
dynamic than previous few, and will have to monitor. Primary
affects over our area at this point look to be late Thursday into
early Friday. Daytime highs remaining above normal, mainly in the
upper 70s and lower 80s through the period. Likewise for overnight
lows ranging from the upper 50s to lower 60s. 12/ds

Marine An approaching system from the west combined with a
surface ridge stretching southwest along the east coast will
continue to create moderate to strong onshore flow into Sunday
before becoming lighter. A small craft advisory remains in effect
for most of the marine area, and has now been extended through
7pm Saturday evening. Flow will remain onshore through the
forecast, with another system passing Monday night. This system
will bring a slight increase in the winds once again late Monday
into Monday night. 16/sam

Preliminary point temps/pops
Mobile 63 77 62 80 / 20 80 40 20
pensacola 64 76 63 77 / 10 80 50 20
destin 64 74 65 74 / 10 60 50 20
evergreen 59 78 59 81 / 10 80 50 30
waynesboro 62 78 60 83 / 20 80 40 20
camden 59 78 60 82 / 10 80 40 30
crestview 58 78 61 80 / 10 70 50 20

Mob watches/warnings/advisories
Al... High rip current risk through late Saturday night for alz265-266.

Fl... High rip current risk through late Saturday night for flz202-204-
206.

Ms... None.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 7 pm cdt Saturday for gmz631-632-650-
655-670-675.

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.Gov/mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 21 mi44 min 70°F 65°F1024.1 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 22 mi32 min SE 11 70°F 1023.7 hPa
PTOA1 23 mi44 min 71°F 64°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 25 mi44 min SE 11 G 15 70°F 70°F1024.6 hPa
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 38 mi62 min ESE 20 69°F 1023.4 hPa (-0.7)
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 39 mi77 min 71°F 63°F
WBYA1 39 mi44 min 73°F
BSCA1 - Bon Secour, AL 45 mi62 min ESE 19
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 49 mi62 min ESE 15 70°F 1023.7 hPa (-1.4)

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL26 mi69 minSE 1310.00 miOvercast73°F64°F76%1024.3 hPa

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE14SE14SE13SE12SE9SE11SE11SE8SE16SE19SE17SE18SE18SE19SE21
G25
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1 day agoS7S3SW45E3N4N4N6NE8NE7N8NE7NE6NE6NE8NE5NE4Calm46S7S7S9SE14
2 days agoS7
G14
SW4SW6SW6SW5W5W3W4W5W6W5W8W9NW7NW7NW7NW7N8SE5SE5SE5S8SE8SE7

Tide / Current Tables for Lower Bryant Landing, Tensay River, Alabama
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Lower Bryant Landing
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:33 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:05 AM CDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:47 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:05 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.51.41.31.21.10.90.70.50.40.30.20.20.20.30.40.60.70.9111.11.21.31.4

Tide / Current Tables for Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama
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Lower Hall Landing
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:33 AM CDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:50 AM CDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:53 AM CDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:47 PM CDT     Moonset
Fri -- 07:05 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.21.21.110.90.80.60.40.30.20.10-000.10.30.50.70.80.90.911.11.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.