Monday, June25, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bay Minette, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:49AMSunset 8:00PM Monday June 25, 2018 2:29 AM CDT (07:29 UTC) Moonrise 5:54PMMoonset 4:02AM Illumination 90% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ631 Southern Mobile Bay-mississippi Sound- 955 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 24 2018
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming light. Waves less than 1 foot.
Tuesday..Winds light becoming southeast 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming south. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..West winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 955 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 24 2018
Synopsis..High pressure persists over the gulf through the week. A light to occasionally moderate southerly flow prevails through midweek before shifting to more westerly Thursday and Friday. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected throughout the week, with locally higher winds and seas possible in and around the stronger storms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bay Minette, AL
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location: 30.98, -87.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 250426
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
1126 pm cdt Sun jun 24 2018

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
06z issuance... MostlyVFR conditions through the period. Pattern
is one of persistence. Light and variable wind flow overnight
becomes ssw-sw re-established once again on Monday afternoon as
the planetary boundary layer mixing cycle begins. Sea-breeze will
once again be main driving factor for the initiation (19-21z time
frame) of isolated to scattered thunderstorms along and just
north of the i-10 corridor - with some propagation inland due to
second and third generation outflows during the late afternoon
(20-23z). CIGS and vsbys as low as ifr-MVFR in the strongest of
thunderstorm downdrafts otherwise cavok. 23 jmm

Prev discussion issued 608 pm cdt Sun jun 24 2018
discussion... See updated information below.

Update... Will let current heat advisory drop as heat index values
have now been observed to mostly fall below 103 deg(f). Like
ongoing isolated pop values of 10% or less to get us through
remainder of evening hours. No changes planned attm. 23 jmm
marine... Nearshore winds mostly running ssw-sw around 8 to 13
knots (lower speeds beyond 20 nm) and these will decrease into
the evening hours. No planned changes attm. 23 jmm
aviation...

00z issuance... MostlyVFR conditions through the period. Pattern
is one of persistence. Light s-sw wind flow de-couples tonight
and becomes variable (to very light nly during 03-6z time frame)
and then re-established itself again on Monday afternoon as the
planetary boundary layer mixing cycle begins. Sea-breeze will once
again be main driving factor for the initiation (19-21z) of
isolated to scattered thunderstorms along and just north of the
i-10 corridor - with some propagation inland due to second and
third generation outflows during the late afternoon (20-23z). Cigs
and vsbys as low as ifr-MVFR in the strongest of thunderstorm
downdrafts. 23 jmm
prev discussion... Issued 346 pm cdt Sun jun 24 2018
near term now through Monday ... 24.12z upper air analysis shows
a flat mid level ridge positioned from the lower ms river valley,
eastward to off the southeast us coast. Despite the upper ridge
in place, surface based instability has been more than adequate
for the development of isolated to scattered afternoon showers and
storms from portions of the interior to north of the i-10 corridor
into the western fl panhandle. Away from storms, highest heat
indices thus far have ranged from 101 to 106 degrees.

The upper air pattern changes little going into the near term,
while a surface ridge holds from the southwest atlantic into the
gulf. Daytime shower and storm activity is forecast to decrease by
after sunset. Will maintain a persistence type approach in
temperatures with night-time lows well above climatology by some 3
to 7 degrees. Daytime highs Monday range 2 to 5 degrees above
normal. The main story will continue to be heat. Latest gridded
heat index values (103 to 107) are shy of criteria (108+) needed
to extend the heat advisory. There are spotty areas that may reach
108, but this is dependent on cloud cover with the potential of
isolated to potentially scattered showers and storms Monday
afternoon.

Heat safety tips can be found at

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 21 mi48 min 83°F 86°F1017 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 22 mi60 min SSW 8.9 84°F 1016.9 hPa
PTOA1 23 mi42 min 83°F 78°F
MCGA1 - 8736897 - Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL 25 mi48 min SW 2.9 G 4.1 81°F 87°F1017.1 hPa
MBLA1 - Middle Bay Light, AL 38 mi60 min SSW 12 85°F 1017.3 hPa
WKXA1 - Weeks Bay Reserve, AL 39 mi105 min 78°F 1017 hPa77°F
WBYA1 39 mi42 min 86°F
CRTA1 - Cedar Point, AL 49 mi60 min SSW 8.9 85°F 1016.9 hPa

Wind History for Coast Guard Sector Mobile, AL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mobile, Mobile Downtown Airport, AL26 mi37 minS 310.00 miFair81°F78°F91%1017.4 hPa

Wind History from BFM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmW3CalmSW446S7SW655S66S7S9
G15
S7S6S4S4CalmS4CalmCalmS3
1 day ago54CalmSW4S45W7SW7W7S7SW6SW63S8
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SW8SW734S43S4S44
2 days agoCalmCalm434W55W6W5SW6
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55CalmS5S8
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Tide / Current Tables for Lower Bryant Landing, Tensay River, Alabama
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Lower Bryant Landing
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:14 AM CDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:02 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:49 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:44 AM CDT     1.73 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:52 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:58 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0-00.10.30.50.70.91.11.31.51.61.71.71.71.61.51.41.210.70.40.20.1-0

Tide / Current Tables for Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama
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Lower Hall Landing
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:13 AM CDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:02 AM CDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:50 AM CDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:19 PM CDT     1.40 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:52 PM CDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:58 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.10.20.20.30.40.50.60.80.91.11.21.31.41.41.31.21.110.80.60.40.30.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Mobile, AL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.