Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Dock Junction, GA
May 13, 2024 3:06 PM EDT (19:06 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:29 AM Sunset 8:14 PM Moonrise 10:19 AM Moonset 12:08 AM |
AMZ450 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 242 Pm Edt Mon May 13 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Tuesday morning - .
Tonight - Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Wave detail: southeast 6 feet at 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters rough. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms this evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave detail: southeast 5 feet at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy. Thunderstorms likely with a chance of showers in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 4 feet at 7 seconds and southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 7 seconds and southwest 2 feet at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy. Showers and Thunderstorms likely, mainly in the morning.
Wednesday night - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming west 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 7 seconds and southwest 2 feet at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Thursday - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming east 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 3 seconds and southeast 2 feet at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters light chop.
Friday - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers.
Saturday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 242 Pm Edt Mon May 13 2024
Synopsis -
strengthening east to southeast winds across the local waters will begin trend southerly tonight with small craft advisory conditions likely through Tuesday morning. Rain and embedded storms will pass over the waters this evening and through overnight hours while a warm front slowly lifts northeastward into the waters by daybreak. Another wave of strong to severe storms will develop and move eastward into the waters during the late morning hours Tuesday and be capable of considerable Thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and waterspouts. Winds will trend lighter and offshore behind the warm front Tuesday morning. This will be followed by a slow moving cold front that will pass into the waters on Wednesday. Conditions begin to improve Thursday as an area of weak high pressure consolidates to the east.
Gulf stream -
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 11, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
57 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 66 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 83 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 99 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
strengthening east to southeast winds across the local waters will begin trend southerly tonight with small craft advisory conditions likely through Tuesday morning. Rain and embedded storms will pass over the waters this evening and through overnight hours while a warm front slowly lifts northeastward into the waters by daybreak. Another wave of strong to severe storms will develop and move eastward into the waters during the late morning hours Tuesday and be capable of considerable Thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and waterspouts. Winds will trend lighter and offshore behind the warm front Tuesday morning. This will be followed by a slow moving cold front that will pass into the waters on Wednesday. Conditions begin to improve Thursday as an area of weak high pressure consolidates to the east.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 11, 2024 at 1200 utc - .
57 nautical miles east of flagler beach. 66 nautical miles east of saint augustine beach. 83 nautical miles east of jacksonville beach. 99 nautical miles east southeast of st simons island.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
Area Discussion for - Jacksonville, FL
HIDE HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KJAX 131849 AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 249 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024
...TWO ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING AND TUESDAY MORNING...
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
Issued at 249 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
A messy and complex forecast through Tonight as a batch of convection associated with a shortwave impulse rides along a moisture/instability boundary lying near the the FL/GA state line.
Light rain and isolated embedded storms ahead of the primary wave have already spread eastward along and north of I-10. Intensity and coverage of thunderstorms will increase through the rest of the afternoon along the I-75 corridor where instability will be more supportive. In that corridor, given robust deep and lower level shear the potential exists for isolated strong to marginally severe storms are possible capable of strong wind gusts 40-60 mph, isolated tornadoes and small hail. Elsewhere surface-based instability will be at a premium and anticipate most of the precip to consist of light/moderate stratiform rain with embedded storms through the evening hours before activity shifts south and offshore between 10 pm and midnight. Overnight convection will take a break before the next round of what appears to be a more considerable squall line pushes across the Panhandle of FL and into the Suwannee Valley toward daybreak.
SHORT TERM
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 249 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Active weather continues through Tuesday and Wednesday as a warm front lifts northward, followed by a cold front moving in from the northwest on Wednesday. Convective models are indicating an early start to convection Tuesday, with our western most counties seeing strong to isolated severe potential beginning just before sunrise.
Storms will sweep eastward across NE FL and SE GA through the morning and early afternoon, with damaging winds and locally heavy rainfall being the primary hazards, although a tornado cannot be ruled out as well. The Storm Prediction Center upgraded most of NE FL/SE GA to a 'Slight' risk (2/5) for severe weather Tuesday.
Rain and thunderstorm chances will linger through the evening, as the front progresses southeastward overnight.
By Wednesday morning, precipitation chances will be mainly limited to northeast Florida through sunset. Several rounds of heavy rainfall and training thunderstorms will create a risk for localized flooding issues, especially in urban areas and areas with poor drainage over the next few days. Gusty southwesterly winds and clearing skies behind the front will allow a warm-up in temperatures Wednesday, with highs reaching the upper 80s to lower 90s area-wide.
LONG TERM
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 249 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Drier air will temporarily be in place on Thursday as the cold front sits south of the area, ahead of the next system incoming this weekend. A warm front will lift northward on Friday, followed by another frontal boundary moving in from the northwest on Saturday, allowing for widespread scattered to numerous showers with embedded thunderstorms through the weekend. Strong storm potential will be present, along with heavy rainfall causing localized flooding issues.
High temperatures will range from the mid 80s to lower 90s each day during this period, with mild lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 142 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Complex forecast over the next 24 hours with multiple waves of thunderstorms, some severe. Breezy southeasterly winds will continue as MVFR cumulus ceilings build this afternoon. First wave of rain and embedded storms will begin over the next few hours and be followed by continued bouts of activity through around 03-06z. Combination of rainfall and a lifting warm front tonight will lower ceilings to a low-MVFR and IFR. As the front lifts, winds will turn southerly around 10 knots or less. There is more uncertainty regarding the second round of storms on Tuesday which appears to accelerate across the area between 12-16z. Threats with the second round will be primarily considerable winds potentially up to 50 knots, isolated tornadoes and small hail.
MARINE
Issued at 249 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Enhancing east to southeast winds across the local waters will trend southerly tonight with small craft advisory conditions likely through Tuesday morning. Rain and embedded storms will pass over the waters this evening and through overnight hours while a warm front slowly lifts northeastward into the waters by daybreak. Another wave of strong to severe storms will develop and move eastward into the waters during the late morning hours Tuesday and be capable of considerable thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and waterspouts. Winds will trend lighter and offshore behind the warm front Tuesday morning. This will be followed by a slow moving cold front that will pass into the waters on Wednesday. Conditions begin to improve Thursday as an area of weak high pressure consolidates to the east.
Rip Currents: Moderate rip current risk today for NE FL and SE GA beaches, remaining moderate for SA GA Tuesday, but low for NE FL.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 249 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024
From Monday to Wednesday, forecast storm total rainfall amounts are from 2 to 3 inches for southeast GA to about 1 to 2 inches for northeast FL. This may be enough to raise river levels a bit but for now no minor river flooding is forecast. The high- end potential total rain is over 5 inches in some locations, mainly favoring nrn half of the area, so we will need to monitor trends in the guidance for further updates to the forecast rainfall.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 67 83 69 87 / 80 100 70 20 SSI 70 84 72 87 / 80 90 70 40 JAX 69 89 71 90 / 80 90 70 60 SGJ 71 91 71 88 / 70 80 60 70 GNV 69 89 71 87 / 70 80 70 80 OCF 71 92 71 87 / 60 70 60 80
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Tuesday for AMZ450-452-454.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Tuesday for AMZ470-472-474.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 249 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024
...TWO ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING AND TUESDAY MORNING...
New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM
Issued at 249 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:// www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
A messy and complex forecast through Tonight as a batch of convection associated with a shortwave impulse rides along a moisture/instability boundary lying near the the FL/GA state line.
Light rain and isolated embedded storms ahead of the primary wave have already spread eastward along and north of I-10. Intensity and coverage of thunderstorms will increase through the rest of the afternoon along the I-75 corridor where instability will be more supportive. In that corridor, given robust deep and lower level shear the potential exists for isolated strong to marginally severe storms are possible capable of strong wind gusts 40-60 mph, isolated tornadoes and small hail. Elsewhere surface-based instability will be at a premium and anticipate most of the precip to consist of light/moderate stratiform rain with embedded storms through the evening hours before activity shifts south and offshore between 10 pm and midnight. Overnight convection will take a break before the next round of what appears to be a more considerable squall line pushes across the Panhandle of FL and into the Suwannee Valley toward daybreak.
SHORT TERM
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 249 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Active weather continues through Tuesday and Wednesday as a warm front lifts northward, followed by a cold front moving in from the northwest on Wednesday. Convective models are indicating an early start to convection Tuesday, with our western most counties seeing strong to isolated severe potential beginning just before sunrise.
Storms will sweep eastward across NE FL and SE GA through the morning and early afternoon, with damaging winds and locally heavy rainfall being the primary hazards, although a tornado cannot be ruled out as well. The Storm Prediction Center upgraded most of NE FL/SE GA to a 'Slight' risk (2/5) for severe weather Tuesday.
Rain and thunderstorm chances will linger through the evening, as the front progresses southeastward overnight.
By Wednesday morning, precipitation chances will be mainly limited to northeast Florida through sunset. Several rounds of heavy rainfall and training thunderstorms will create a risk for localized flooding issues, especially in urban areas and areas with poor drainage over the next few days. Gusty southwesterly winds and clearing skies behind the front will allow a warm-up in temperatures Wednesday, with highs reaching the upper 80s to lower 90s area-wide.
LONG TERM
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 249 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Drier air will temporarily be in place on Thursday as the cold front sits south of the area, ahead of the next system incoming this weekend. A warm front will lift northward on Friday, followed by another frontal boundary moving in from the northwest on Saturday, allowing for widespread scattered to numerous showers with embedded thunderstorms through the weekend. Strong storm potential will be present, along with heavy rainfall causing localized flooding issues.
High temperatures will range from the mid 80s to lower 90s each day during this period, with mild lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 142 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Complex forecast over the next 24 hours with multiple waves of thunderstorms, some severe. Breezy southeasterly winds will continue as MVFR cumulus ceilings build this afternoon. First wave of rain and embedded storms will begin over the next few hours and be followed by continued bouts of activity through around 03-06z. Combination of rainfall and a lifting warm front tonight will lower ceilings to a low-MVFR and IFR. As the front lifts, winds will turn southerly around 10 knots or less. There is more uncertainty regarding the second round of storms on Tuesday which appears to accelerate across the area between 12-16z. Threats with the second round will be primarily considerable winds potentially up to 50 knots, isolated tornadoes and small hail.
MARINE
Issued at 249 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Enhancing east to southeast winds across the local waters will trend southerly tonight with small craft advisory conditions likely through Tuesday morning. Rain and embedded storms will pass over the waters this evening and through overnight hours while a warm front slowly lifts northeastward into the waters by daybreak. Another wave of strong to severe storms will develop and move eastward into the waters during the late morning hours Tuesday and be capable of considerable thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and waterspouts. Winds will trend lighter and offshore behind the warm front Tuesday morning. This will be followed by a slow moving cold front that will pass into the waters on Wednesday. Conditions begin to improve Thursday as an area of weak high pressure consolidates to the east.
Rip Currents: Moderate rip current risk today for NE FL and SE GA beaches, remaining moderate for SA GA Tuesday, but low for NE FL.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 249 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024
From Monday to Wednesday, forecast storm total rainfall amounts are from 2 to 3 inches for southeast GA to about 1 to 2 inches for northeast FL. This may be enough to raise river levels a bit but for now no minor river flooding is forecast. The high- end potential total rain is over 5 inches in some locations, mainly favoring nrn half of the area, so we will need to monitor trends in the guidance for further updates to the forecast rainfall.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 67 83 69 87 / 80 100 70 20 SSI 70 84 72 87 / 80 90 70 40 JAX 69 89 71 90 / 80 90 70 60 SGJ 71 91 71 88 / 70 80 60 70 GNV 69 89 71 87 / 70 80 70 80 OCF 71 92 71 87 / 60 70 60 80
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Tuesday for AMZ450-452-454.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Tuesday for AMZ470-472-474.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| SAXG1 - Sapelo Island Reserve, GA | 20 mi | 67 min | ESE 5.1 | 76°F | 30.04 | 69°F | ||
| KBMG1 | 30 mi | 49 min | 75°F | 30.03 | ||||
| 41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) | 37 mi | 67 min | 75°F | 76°F | 3 ft | |||
| FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL | 37 mi | 49 min | SE 6G | 76°F | 78°F | 30.02 | ||
| 41008 - GRAYS REEF - 40 NM Southeast of Savannah, GA | 39 mi | 37 min | SE 7.8G | 76°F | 75°F | 30.04 | 69°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KBQK BRUNSWICK GOLDEN ISLES,GA | 5 sm | 11 min | ESE 12 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 75°F | 66°F | 74% | 30.01 | |
| KSSI ST SIMONS ISLAND,GA | 9 sm | 11 min | SE 13G20 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | Lt Rain | 75°F | 68°F | 78% | 30.00 |
Crispen Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:08 AM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 02:09 AM EDT 8.19 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 07:57 AM EDT 0.94 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:19 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 02:50 PM EDT 6.78 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:04 PM EDT 1.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:08 AM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 02:09 AM EDT 8.19 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 07:57 AM EDT 0.94 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:19 AM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 02:50 PM EDT 6.78 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:04 PM EDT 1.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Crispen Island, Turtle River, Georgia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 6.7 |
| 1 am |
| 7.7 |
| 2 am |
| 8.2 |
| 3 am |
| 7.8 |
| 4 am |
| 6.6 |
| 5 am |
| 4.9 |
| 6 am |
| 3 |
| 7 am |
| 1.5 |
| 8 am |
| 0.9 |
| 9 am |
| 1.3 |
| 10 am |
| 2.3 |
| 11 am |
| 3.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 4.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 5.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 6.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 6.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 6.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 4.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.7 |
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Mackay River (Daymark 239), Georgia, Tide feet
Jacksonville, FL,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE