Wednesday, January17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Darien, GA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 5:49PM Wednesday January 17, 2018 4:09 AM EST (09:09 UTC) Moonrise 7:42AMMoonset 6:29PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ450 Coastal Waters From Altamaha Sound To Fernandina Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From St. Augustine To Flagler Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- 209 Am Est Wed Jan 17 2018
.dense fog advisory in effect until 10 am est this morning...
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through Thursday morning...
Today..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 10 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop. Areas of dense fog in the morning.
Tonight..North northwest winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Inland waters choppy.
Thursday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas up to 8 feet. Dominant period 11 seconds. Inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas up to 6 feet. Dominant period 10 seconds. Inland waters a light chop.
Friday..West northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Inland waters a light chop.
Friday night..Southwest winds around 5 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Inland waters smooth.
Saturday..North northwest winds around 5 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Inland waters smooth.
Saturday night..East northeast winds around 5 knots becoming north northeast after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Inland waters smooth.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Inland waters a light chop.
AMZ400 Synopsis For Altamaha Sound Ga To Flagler Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 209 Am Est Wed Jan 17 2018
Synopsis.. A cold front will move southeast across the region this morning. An area of low pressure will develop on this front and move to the northeast tonight. This will result in an enhanced pressure gradient and elevated winds and seas. High pressure will build from the west Thursday, then overhead on Friday. High pressure will be to the east over the weekend, with a cold front moving east across region Monday into Monday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Darien, GA
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location: 31.32, -81.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Charleston, SC
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Fxus62 kchs 170844
afdchs
area forecast discussion
national weather service charleston sc
344 am est Wed jan 17 2018

Synopsis
An arctic cold front will push offshore today. Cold, dry high
pressure will prevail across the region Thursday before
moderating temperatures occur this weekend into early next week.

A cold front will push through the area Monday, followed by dry
high pressure into the middle of next week.

Near term through today
A cold front will move rapidly offshore this morning as a
powerful upper trough digs across the eastern united states.

Strong quasi-geostrophic forcing ahead of the trough coupled
with a modest moisture feed from off the gulf of mexico will
support a band of light to moderate precipitation moving from
west-east across the deep south and southeast. The geometry of
the front is such that most of the frontal upglide will occur
behind the leading wind shift yielding more an anafrontal
structure. This will keep all of the precipitation post-frontal
and falling into the advancing arctic airmass. The greater
precip chances will be confined to areas north of i-16 and
closest to the csra and southern south carolina midlands. Pops
will be increased to 60-70% in the metter-walterboro-moncks
corner corridor and tapering to less than 20% roughly south of a
ludowici-richmond hill line.

Ruc and h3r soundings show the freezing level dropping to around
1000 ft across far interior southeast georgia by mid-late
morning as the bulk of the heaviest precipitation pushes
through. It appears the top of the precipitating cloud will be
cold enough to support ice nucleation for several hours before
drier air filters in from the west and precipitation quickly
ends. Surface temperature should remain above freezing through
the day, but a lowering freezing level and an increased
precipitation rate should support enough diabatic cooling to
allow for a rain snow mix or even a transition to all snow for
areas roughly along north of a metter-hampton line later this
morning. Ground temperatures are warm so expect most of any snow
that falls to melt, but there are signals in the various high
resolution guidance that there could be about a 1-3 hour period
of moderate snow across portions of jenkins, screven and
allendale counties which could briefly accumulate to a dusting
to as much as 0.5 inch on grassy areas. Will hold off on the
issuance of a winter weather advisory per coordination with wfos
atlanta and columbia since snow totals should remain less than
1 inch; however, trends will be carefully monitored in case a
short-term advisory is needed. A special weather statement will
be issued to highlight possible accumulations on grassy
surfaces.

High temperatures will be tricky today as inland areas will be
influenced by diabatic cooling and coastal areas, especially in
the beaufort-charleston corridor, will be see a few hours of
warming prior to the onset of strong post-frontal cold air
advection. The high temperature forecast will show highs from
the upper 30s across far interior southeast georgia to the
lower-mid 50s over the upper portions of charleston county.

Coastal temperatures will fall through the day with all areas
settling into the upper 30s inland to lower 40s coast by mid-
afternoon.

Short term tonight through Saturday
Tonight: light precipitation looks to linger across the
charleston tri-county area into colleton county this evening as
the base of the large, upper trough swings through. Freezing
levels will drop enough during this time to support a few light
snow showers or flurries, but no accumulation is expected as
moisture will be quickly thinning with time. Mostly clear skies
will prevail overnight the last of the clearing pushes off to
the northeast with the upper trough. The various statistical
guidance members look to be running a degree or two too warm
given gusty winds will keep the boundary layer well mixed
through the night. Expect lows to bottom out in the lower 20s
inland with mid-upper 20s at the coast. Wind chills will lower
to around 15 degrees across the coastal counties by daybreak
Thursday. The situation looks a bit too marginal for a second
period wind chill advisory, so will defer to the day shift to
determine whether one will be needed. Inland wind chills look to
remain above advisory criteria.

Thursday through Saturday: dry sfc high pressure will build
over the southeast on Thursday behind a mid upper lvl trough
departing off the eastern seaboard. The setup will support temps
well below normal Thursday afternoon with highs peaking only in
the mid 40s. Thursday night lows will be chilly under clear
skies and a light westerly wind, dipping into the mid 20s away
from the coast. On Friday, noticeably warmer conditions are
expected as dry high pressure becomes more centered near the
area Friday afternoon. In general, temps should peak in the mid
50s under a full Sun and ridging aloft. Friday night lows should
dip into the lower 30s away from the coast. A mid upper lvl low
is then expected to traverse the southeast on Saturday, but
moisture will be very limited, especially in the lower levels
where dry high pressure remains. Given the setup, some mid upper
lvl clouds are possible as the disturbance passes aloft, but
precip is not expected over the area. Temps will continue to
modify during the weekend. In general, highs should peak in the
lower 60s Saturday afternoon.

Long term Saturday night through Tuesday
High pressure will prevail over the southeast united states late
weekend into early next week before a cold front arrives Monday. The
pattern will favor warming conditions under ridging aloft. In
general, afternoon highs will peak in the mid upper 60s on Sunday.

By Monday, southerly winds will help advect deep moisture over the
southeast and produce some cloud cover ahead of the approaching
front. This could limit overall heating potential, but a prevailing
southerly flow should still support temps in the upper 60s for most
locations in southeast south carolina to around 70 degrees in
southeast georgia ahead of cold front. Chances of showers should
arrive to most areas Monday afternoon as the front begins to shift
over the region. Dry high pressure will then return on Tuesday and
persist into the middle of next week. Temps will be slightly cooler
behind the front, but should remain a few degrees above normal. In
general, Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon temps should peak in the
lower 60s. Overnight lows should range in the low mid 40s.

Aviation 07z Wednesday through Sunday
Primary concern:
* low cigs, mainly at kchs
vfr this morning with CIGS lowering through the day as a cold
front pushes offshore. Best rain chances will remain west of the
terminals, but the tail end of an area of enhanced showers could
brush kchs later this afternoon, roughly 20-23z. Expect MVFR
cigs to prevail at kchs by early afternoon, but remain just
above MVFR thresholds at ksav. It is still possible a period of
MVFR CIGS could reach as far south at ksav later this afternoon,
which will be monitored.

Extended aviation outlook:VFR conditions are expected at both kchs
and ksav terminals Thursday afternoon through Sunday.

Marine
Today: conditions will deteriorate across the waters today
behind a cold front. Light winds this morning will give way to
northwest winds 15-20 kt with seas building 2-4 ft nearshore and
as high as 4-6 ft over the georgia offshore waters. A small
craft advisory will go into force by early afternoon for the
georgia offshore leg.

Tonight: winds will peak 20-25 kt with gusts to 30 kt across all
waters as an arctic airmass settles in across the region. A
small craft advisory will be issued for all areas outside of the
charleston harbor. Conditions in the harbor look to peak just
shy of advisory thresholds. Seas will peak 3-5 ft nearshore
waters and 5-7 ft offshore waters.

Thursday through Monday: winds seas will decrease subside Thursday
as cold air advection begins to wane over coastal waters. However, a
small craft advisory will likely be ongoing to around noon while 6
ft seas linger in offshore georgia waters. Dry high pressure will
then dominate prevail over the coastal waters this weekend into
early next week with winds seas remaining well below small craft
advisory levels. In general west northwest winds will remain at or
below 15 kt Friday through Sunday while seas are no higher than 2-3
ft. A southerly wind will then develop on Monday as a cold front
approaches from the west late in the day. Expect winds and seas to
increase build, but remain below small craft advisory levels during
fropa.

Equipment
The kclx radar is out of service until further notice. Repairs
are ongoing. Adjacent radars include: kltx, kcae, kjgx, kvax
and kjax.

The downtown charleston observation site (chls1 kcxm) remains
out of service until further notice.

Chs watches warnings advisories
Ga... None.

Sc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 5 pm this afternoon to 5 am est
Thursday for amz350-352-354.

Small craft advisory from 1 pm this afternoon to 1 pm est
Thursday for amz374.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SAXG1 - Sapelo Island Reserve, GA 8 mi69 min N 1.9 40°F 1024 hPa (-2.0)40°F
41008 - GRAYS REEF - 40 NM Southeast of Savannah, GA 27 mi79 min ESE 3.9 G 3.9 53°F 52°F3 ft1024.4 hPa (-1.7)49°F
41112 - Offshore Fernandina Beach, FL (132) 42 mi39 min 50°F3 ft
FRDF1 - 8720030 - Fernandina Beach, FL 45 mi51 min N 1.9 G 2.9 44°F 49°F1025.1 hPa

Wind History for Fernandina Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick / Glynco, GA7 mi74 minN 00.75 miFog/Mist34°F32°F93%1024.7 hPa
Brunswick, Malcolm McKinnon Airport, GA12 mi76 minN 09.00 miPartly Cloudy39°F37°F96%1024.5 hPa

Wind History from BQK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW3CalmCalmN3N3NE4NE4NE6N4E4E6E6E6NE6E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoN3N4N3N3N5N7N7NE8N4NE6E8NE7E7E8NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoNW5N5N6N6N5N6N8N6NW7N9NE5NE5NE7E9NE7NE5N4N4N3N3N5N5N4N4

Tide / Current Tables for Jones Creek entrance, Hampton River, Georgia
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Jones Creek entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:09 AM EST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:24 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:41 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:15 AM EST     7.57 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:49 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:46 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:29 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:23 PM EST     6.69 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.40.7-0.20.11.22.74.45.977.57.364.22.10.4-0.10.51.83.44.966.66.55.3

Tide / Current Tables for Old Tower, Sapelo Island, Georgia
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Old Tower
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:12 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:24 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:41 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:27 AM EST     7.21 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:51 PM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:46 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:28 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 08:35 PM EST     6.40 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.90.6-0.10.21.43.256.47.17.16.353.31.60.3-0.10.62.13.95.46.36.35.64.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Charleston, SC (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jacksonville, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.