Sunday, July22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Red Level, AL

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7/21/2018 Trying to make page Mobile Friendly

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 7:48PM Sunday July 22, 2018 11:24 AM CDT (16:24 UTC) Moonrise 3:45PMMoonset 1:58AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ634 Pensacola Bay System- 1040 Am Cdt Sun Jul 22 2018
.small craft should exercise caution...
Rest of today..West winds 13 to 18 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Chance of Thunderstorms late in the morning. Chance of showers. Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Tonight..West winds 13 to 18 knots becoming northwest 3 to 8 knots. Waves around 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming west. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..West winds 3 to 8 knots becoming northwest. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 3 to 8 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves less than 1 foot. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 1040 Am Cdt Sun Jul 22 2018
Synopsis..A broad surface ridge of high pressure will continue over the central and northern gulf through midweek combined with a weakening frontal boundary shifting southward towards the northern gulf coast through early this evening. With this pattern a moderate to strong westerly flow will continue over the marine area through this evening diminishing and shifting northwest late tonight as the weak front moves offshore. Winds and seas will be locally higher with isolated to scattered Thunderstorms through the forecast period, moving mostly to the south towards the coast and offshore through Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Red Level, AL
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location: 31.33, -86.73     debug


Area Discussion for - Mobile/Pensacola, FL
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Fxus64 kmob 221201
afdmob
area forecast discussion
national weather service mobile al
701 am cdt Sun jul 22 2018

Discussion Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

Aviation
12z issuance...

majorityVFR conditions expected through the forecast period for
areas west of i-65. MVFR to ifr conditions possible along our nw
florida counties late this afternoon due to expected thunderstorm
development. Strong gusts are possible beneath these
thunderstorms, but elsewhere throughout the forecast area winds
will be generally out of the west- southwest during the day, but
are anticipated to become more northwestly late this evening.

Dj 17

Prev discussion issued 524 am cdt Sun jul 22 2018
near term now through Sunday night ... The persistent mid-level
trough centered over the ohio river valley advects a surface
boundary of dry air southward. This weak front will act as the
main lifting mechanism for convection later in the day Sunday. An
embedded mid-level shortwave pivots south with the boundary
bringing in 50kt 500mb winds and promoting a veering west to
northwest wind profile. A sample of 21z model soundings around
northwest florida and southeast alabama show CAPE values over 3500
j kg, a northwest 0-6km shear of 40 kts, and dcape values above
1200 j kg. These parameters support the development of organized
strong to severe thunderstorms with the potential for damaging
wind gusts along the boundary in the late afternoon to early
evening timeframe. Particularly near and along i-10 in NW florida
where diurnal heating along with additional surface moisture may
coincide with the arrival of the boundary. Regardless of if these
storms reach severe criteria, expect frequent lightning and heavy
rain with any of the thunderstorms that do develop in the
afternoon hours.

Prior to the cooling rain or with areas not affected by the
afternoon's storms expect temperatures to reach the mid 90s with dew
points in the mid to upper 70s. Heat indices will again be between
108 and 112 degrees throughout our southern counties. Inland
counties will see indices in the 100-107 range. A heat advisory
remains in effect for the southern portion of our area until 6 pm
tonight.

Tonight after the surface boundary dips south through the central
gulf coast dew points are expected to fall to the mid to upper 60s
with relatively clear skies and winds becoming light and out of the
northwest through the night. Dj 17
short term Monday through Tuesday night ... Some slightly drier
air will move into the area behind the front that moved into the
northern gulf Sunday night. However, an upper trough will continue
across the eastern states. Shortwaves moving through the upper
trough will continue to bring chances of isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms each day with the highest coverage over
the eastern zones. The drier air will also cause lower heat index
values Monday into Tuesday and a heat advisory will not be
needed. 13
long term Wednesday through Saturday ... The upper trough will
gradually weaken through the end of the week. The combination of
the trough, increasing deep layer moisture and daytime heating
will lead to at least scattered showers and thunderstorms each
afternoon. Heat index values of 100 to 106 can be expected each
afternoon. 13
marine... Hazardous conditions for small craft can be expected now through
late Sun evening. Moderate westerly winds driven by the surface high
centered over the gulf are expected to increase through the day
today owing to a surface boundary which moves south through alabama
and reaches the offshore waters by this afternoon. These strong west
winds of 18 to 23 knots will produce waves of 5-7 feet which could
be hazardous for small crafts. As such a small craft advisory is in
effect through late tonight for the marine zones.

Mob watches warnings advisories
Al... Heat advisory until 6 pm cdt this evening for alz059-261>266.

High rip current risk through Monday morning for alz265-266.

Fl... Heat advisory until 6 pm cdt this evening for flz201>206.

High rip current risk through Monday morning for flz202-204-206.

Ms... Heat advisory until 6 pm cdt this evening for msz075-076-078-079.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 1 am cdt Monday for gmz650-655-670-
675.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm cdt this evening for gmz631-632.

This product is also available on the web at:
http: weather.Gov mob


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PCLF1 - 8729840 - Pensacola, FL 69 mi49 min W 6 G 11 88°F 87°F1011.6 hPa
MHPA1 - Meaher Park, AL 79 mi55 min W 8 86°F 1011.9 hPa
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 82 mi49 min 93°F 88°F1011.5 hPa

Wind History for Pensacola, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Andalusia, Andalusia-Opp Municipal Airport, AL17 mi89 minWNW 510.00 miFair90°F75°F63%1010.4 hPa
Evergreen, Middleton Field, AL18 mi32 minVar 310.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F77°F66%1010.7 hPa

Wind History from 79J (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--N53SW8W6W9--W5CalmW3CalmCalmSW4CalmW4W4NW10W5W3CalmW7W7W53
1 day agoN64N54--N4NE4CalmCalmW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3W3W4SW5W7----
2 days ago----W6W5NW10NW8E17
G25
SE6CalmNW5SE3E3NE3NE5W3--Calm--N3NE4NE3CalmCalmNW4

Tide / Current Tables for Milton, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Milton
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:00 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:59 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:15 AM CDT     1.75 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:44 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:48 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:32 PM CDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.60.70.91.11.31.41.61.71.71.71.61.51.310.80.60.40.20.1000.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida
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Bay Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:00 AM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:59 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:22 AM CDT     1.73 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:44 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:48 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:43 PM CDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.60.80.91.11.31.41.61.71.71.71.61.51.31.10.90.70.50.30.20.20.10.20.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Mobile/Pensacola, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Fort Rucker, AL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.