Wednesday, May22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bellmead, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:26AMSunset 8:23PM Wednesday May 22, 2019 3:48 PM CDT (20:48 UTC) Moonrise 11:06PMMoonset 8:39AM Illumination 85% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bellmead, TX
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 31.56, -97.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus64 kfwd 222014
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
314 pm cdt Wed may 22 2019

Short term
Through tonight
one minute visible satellite imagery and radar data shows a weak
convective attempt in northern jack county. The cumulus field
is a little better developed across our northwest counties and
this area is strongly unstable with MLCAPE around 3000 j kg.

Aircraft sounding data indicates that there is still a fairly
considerable amount of inhibition in place across north texas.

This capping along with a general lack of stronger forcing for
ascent or lack of any well defined surface focus, should keep any
thunderstorms isolated at best in our area. A better coverage of
storms is expected off to the northwest of our area and into
southern oklahoma. We'll maintain some low pops through the early
evening hours to account for this activity.

Otherwise, low level moisture will remain in place through the
overnight hours. We'll see a return to widespread low cloud cover
late this evening. Southerly winds will remain gusty through the
night and this combined with the cloud cover should result in warm
overnight lows in the mid 70s.

Dunn

Long term
Thursday through next week
generally tranquil conditions are anticipated through most of the
long term forecast period across most of north and central texas.

There will be a very low rain storm risk across parts of the
area, but at this time, it appears that most locations will remain
rain storm free. Very warm and humid conditions are
expected... Especially this weekend as a ridge temporarily builds
westward. Early next week there will be a slight chance for a few
showers and storms. Confidence in the specific details remain low
at this juncture so pops are generally broad brushed in nature.

Low level moisture will continue to stream northward across the
south plains on Thursday in response to broad low pressure to the
north. There will be another bout of low clouds and possible
drizzle fog on Thursday morning. At this time, forecast visibility
are expected to remain high enough to preclude the explicit
mention in the worded forecasts at this time. There does appear to
be a ribbon of slightly more focused ascent north of the i-20
corridor on Thursday morning. Forecast soundings indicate that
there will be a decent amount of dry air aloft, so it's probable
that only a few sprinkles will be possible.

Thursday will feature very mild conditions once low clouds thin in
the afternoon. Some previous model guidance was much warmer on
Thursday (and really through the rest of the outlook). The most
recent suite of guidance appears much more reasonable with respect
to high temperatures as very wet soils and higher atmospheric
moisture content will more than likely keep temps in check. We
should see temps climb into the mid to upper 80s across most of
the area.

Thursday night into Friday features very low (below 15%) rain
chances across western north texas and into the big country.

Isolated to widely scattered convection should fire along the
dryline across the panhandle Thursday afternoon. Mid-level flow
will take this convection eastward during the nighttime hours into
early Friday. Corfidi vector magnitudes generally decrease with
eastward extent across western north texas and given the
increasing nocturnal inhibition... I'll leave any mention of storms
out of the forecast across the area. There could be some waa
streamer type activity across central texas on Friday morning, but
the threat for widespread measurable rainfall appears low at this
time.

The day on Friday and into the weekend should feature a very
similar pattern to Thursday with slightly moderating
temperatures. The official forecast will remain rain-free as
convection should initiate deeper into the panhandles each
day in the weekend... Thereby increasing the travel time distance
to north texas. We will monitor upstream convection daily to make
any slight adjustments to the forecast which could feature an
insertion of low rain storm chances... Mainly northwest of the d fw
metroplex. High temperatures will climb to near 90 degrees
areawide this weekend, with humid conditions (dewpoints in the
70s) and with the periphery of the mid-level high expanding to the
west, rain chances will remain below 10%.

Next week offers the next chance for rain and storms as the mid-
level ridge retreats some to the east. Right now, there are
discrepancies between the GFS and ECMWF between the placement of
precipitation, so for now a 20 pop is advertised for most of the
fa.

Bain

Aviation issued 1250 pm cdt Wed may 22 2019
18z tafs
moisture has surged northward into the area early this morning
accompanied by a fairly thick haze and low cloud cover. The low
ceilings have generally scattered out this afternoon although
there are still some pockets of MVFR throughout north texas. The
5-7sm visibilities with haze will likely persist for much of the
afternoon given the strong capping inversion in place, although
we'll prevailVFR into the evening hours. Southerly winds will
continue 15g25kt through the night.

Another round of MVFR CIGS are expected tonight, although the
onset time should be much earlier. We'll show CIGS arriving at 4z
at waco and 6z in the metroplex. Similar to today, clouds should
scatter during the late morning early afternoon hours on Thursday.

Dunn

Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 74 88 74 88 71 5 10 5 0 0
waco 74 88 74 87 71 5 10 5 5 0
paris 72 86 70 86 69 5 10 5 0 0
denton 73 87 73 86 70 5 10 10 5 5
mckinney 73 87 73 86 70 5 10 5 0 5
dallas 75 89 75 88 72 5 10 5 0 0
terrell 74 88 73 87 71 5 10 5 0 0
corsicana 75 88 74 87 70 5 10 5 0 0
temple 73 88 73 87 71 5 10 5 0 0
mineral wells 72 87 73 86 70 5 10 10 5 5

Fwd watches warnings advisories
None.

91


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Waco, Waco Regional Airport, TX8 mi57 minS 24 G 2910.00 miPartly Cloudy and Windy90°F69°F50%1007.3 hPa

Wind History from ACT (wind in knots)
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
Last 24hrSW12SW12
G18
SW9SW5SE5SE9SE9S6S7S9S7SE7S9S8SE8SE6SE10S12S16
G22
S17
G24
S17
G23
S17
G27
S19
G25
S24
G29
1 day agoS22
G28
S20
G31
SE20
G30
SE19
G26
S19
G31
S18
G25
S16
G22
SE17
G26
S19
G29
S19
G27
S19
G34
S21
G32
S22
G27
S19
G30
SW9
G18
SW9W7W9S3NW3S7S9S10S9
2 days ago4N5N6E4E4NE6NE6NE6E3SE5SE13S13S11S15SE11SE13SE9SE15S13S17S16S20
G26
S15
G30
S22
G31

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (16,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Central Texas
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.