Thursday, November15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Butterfield, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 5:06PM Thursday November 15, 2018 12:41 PM MST (19:41 UTC) Moonrise 12:59PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 53% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Butterfield, TX
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location: 31.85, -106     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxus64 kepz 151151
afdepz
area forecast discussion
national weather service EL paso tx santa teresa nm
451 am mst Thu nov 15 2018

Synopsis
For today through Saturday, we will see beautiful weather. Our
high temperatures will continue to warm a few degrees each day and
we will see mostly clear skies with light winds. On Sunday and
Monday slightly cooler air will try and push into the region, but
we will continue to stay dry. We will see a slight chance for
precipitation on Wednesday, but thanksgiving day is looking nice
with clear skies and high temperatures near average.

Discussion
Our quiet weather looks to continue through at least Saturday.

Currently an area of upper level high pressure along the west
coast is giving us a dry northwest flow aloft. This pattern keeps
us dry and usually let us warm a few degrees each day. Today's
highs will be 5 to 7 degrees below average, but by Friday and
Saturday we will see highs just a degree or two below average. On
Sunday and Monday, a weak back door cold front will try and push
across the region. The front will struggle to move in because the
upper level ridge to our west will have weakened and we will see
more of a zonal (west to east) flow. Right now I have cooled
Sunday and Monday's high temperatures around five degrees and i
have bumped the winds up just a little on Sunday. For Tuesday we
will see a short wave ridge dash across the region which will bump
our temperatures back up a few degrees and continue our dry
weather.

Previous runs of the extended models had an approaching upper
level trough moving into the region. The GFS was giving us a
chance for precipitation on Tuesday and Wednesday and the ecmwf
had the same system, but was keeping us dry. For the current runs
of the extended models, the ECMWF is still keeping us dry and
the GFS has backed off some on its precipitation chances, as it
is now keeping Tuesday dry and just a slight chance for
precipitation on Wednesday. Both models are indicating that
thanksgiving day will be dry with clear skies as another upper
level ridge moves across new mexico.

Aviation Valid 15 12z-16 12z
another day ofVFR conditions. Our high level ceilings of bkn250
will have moved away by the afternoon and we should see unlimited
ceilings through the coming overnight hours. We will see another
day of light and variable surface winds.

Fire weather
We will continue to be dry, but winds won't be much of a problem
through Saturday. Upper level high pressure to our west will keep
our skies mostly clear, our precipitation chances near zero, our
winds light and give us a slow warming trend. Min rh's will be in
the teens in the lowlands and near 20% in the mountains through
Saturday. On Sunday and Monday, a weak back door cold front will
try and push across the area. This front will give us some breezy
east winds, especially on the west slopes of area mountains and
we will see our min rh's creep a little higher so that we will
have readings in the 20's and 30's across the area. On Tuesday we
will see our clouds increasing and we will see a slight chance for
lowland rain and high elevation snow showers on Wednesday. Also on
Wednesday our min rh's will also creep a little higher with 30's
and 40's across the area.

Preliminary point temps pops
El paso 61 33 64 38 0 0 0 0
sierra blanca 58 30 63 37 0 0 0 0
las cruces 59 27 63 33 0 0 0 0
alamogordo 58 30 61 34 0 0 0 0
cloudcroft 46 25 49 31 0 0 0 0
truth or consequences 59 31 63 34 0 0 0 0
silver city 57 27 60 32 0 0 0 0
deming 60 25 64 31 0 0 0 0
lordsburg 61 27 63 34 0 0 0 0
west EL paso metro 60 33 63 37 0 0 0 0
dell city 60 30 66 34 0 0 0 0
fort hancock 62 31 67 38 0 0 0 0
loma linda 57 33 60 38 0 0 0 0
fabens 61 30 65 36 0 0 0 0
santa teresa 59 30 64 35 0 0 0 0
white sands hq 59 32 63 36 0 0 0 0
jornada range 58 30 62 34 0 0 0 0
hatch 60 29 64 33 0 0 0 0
columbus 60 26 65 32 0 0 0 0
orogrande 58 31 62 35 0 0 0 0
mayhill 54 25 57 32 0 0 0 0
mescalero 52 28 55 31 0 0 0 0
timberon 50 27 54 32 0 0 0 0
winston 56 25 60 30 0 0 0 0
hillsboro 58 29 63 33 0 0 0 0
spaceport 58 29 62 33 0 0 0 0
lake roberts 58 24 60 28 0 0 0 0
hurley 58 25 61 30 0 0 0 0
cliff 63 26 65 30 0 0 0 0
mule creek 60 28 62 32 0 0 0 0
faywood 57 27 61 32 0 0 0 0
animas 61 25 65 33 0 0 0 0
hachita 60 24 65 30 0 0 0 0
antelope wells 59 27 66 33 0 0 0 0
cloverdale 59 27 64 35 0 0 0 0

Epz watches warnings advisories
Nm... None.

Tx... None.

Brice


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
El Paso, El Paso International Airport, TX20 mi50 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds55°F17°F22%1021.4 hPa

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Last 24hrW3NE3Calm3E3E4CalmCalmCalmE5SE3CalmCalmCalmN3NE5N6N8N7N8N7N6N3Calm
1 day ago4NW5NE6N5N3CalmCalm3S5SW5S4SE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5N3N3N5CalmW3Calm
2 days agoE10
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E8E4NE6E4E3E4S5SW3S3SW3S3S3S4S4SW3CalmW5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station El Paso, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.