Monday, December10, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wellton Hills, AZ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:28AMSunset 5:33PM Monday December 10, 2018 6:03 PM MST (01:03 UTC) Moonrise 10:08AMMoonset 8:40PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wellton Hills, AZ
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 31.95, -113.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus65 ktwc 102237
afdtwc
area forecast discussion
national weather service tucson az
335 pm mst Mon dec 10 2018

Synopsis Expect dry conditions across much of the area into early
next week. However, there is a slight chance of snow showers mainly
across the white mountains Saturday and Saturday night, and again
next Monday. Daytime temperatures will generally be near or a few
degrees above normal.

Discussion Extensive area of mainly mid and high-level cloudiness
across the intermountain west and southwestern CONUS this afternoon
resulting in partly cloudy to cloudy skies across southeast arizona.

Upper trough axis more-or-less defining the back edge of these
clouds extended from eastern washington southwestward into central
california. The northern portion of this upper trough will move
eastward across the great basin tonight and continue eastward into
the northern central CONUS plains Tuesday.

Meanwhile, various 10 12z models depict an upper low to develop
later tonight early Tuesday near the southern california coast. This
upper low is progged to move southeastward toward northern baja
california Tuesday evening, then continue moving eastward across
sonora mexico on Wednesday. Mainly mid high clouds will continue
into Tuesday followed by decreasing clouds from northwest to
southeast Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Some GEFS eps members as well as the deterministic gfs ECMWF depict
the potential for measurable rainfall associated with this upper low
moving south of the area. A few ensemble members even depict a few
hundredths of an inch of rainfall to encroach upon portions of the
international border adjacent cochise county late Tuesday Wednesday
morning. Given the implied low probability of occurrence, have
maintained precip-free conditions area-wide associated with this
system. Dry conditions will prevail Wednesday afternoon into Friday
night as the next upper ridge eventually moves eastward across the
area.

The global models depict the next low amplitude upper trough to move
eastward across the area Saturday and Saturday night. Per
coordination with neighboring wfo's, have maintained a slight
chance of snow showers mainly across the white mountains Saturday
and Saturday night. Any snow accumulations from this system should
be fairly light. Dry conditions to prevail area-wide Sunday and
Sunday night.

The next best chance at perhaps fairly widespread precipitation may
then occur early next week, at least according to the 10 12z gfs
ecmwf. Although there are differences between exact progged
positions of an upper low to develop over the southwest CONUS or
southern rockies, the notion of a potentially somewhat deep upper
low appears to exist next Monday into Tuesday. Given that next
Monday is day 7 of this forecast package, forecast confidence is
still somewhat low. As such and per coordination with neighboring
wfo's, have opted for a slight chance of valley rain mountain snow
showers east of tucson with continued precip-free conditions
elsewhere.

High temps Tuesday will be a degree-or-two warmer for most
locations followed by a modest cooling trend Wednesday into
Thursday. Daytime temps will average a couple of degrees or so above
normal Friday into next Monday.

Aviation Valid through 12 00z.

Surface winds continue to gradually diminish at ktus, however the
trend has been slow this afternoon. Expect continued weakening of
the surface wind into this evening. Surface winds at kdug kols are
more light and vrb this afternoon with more typical diurnal trends
expected through Tuesday. Bkn ovc clouds continue to stream across
the region between 15k-20k ft agl. This will continue into Tuesday.

Cloud decks may approach 12k ft agl Tuesday afternoon and evening
for all TAF sites. Aviation discussion not updated for taf
amendments.

Fire weather Gusty winds in favored locations will gradually
diminish into this evening. For the week, the forecast remains dry
with the exception of a long shot chance of an isolated shower
sprinkles in southern cochise county late Tuesday night through
Wednesday afternoon. With this weak system, occasionally gusty west
to northwest winds are likely to occur Wednesday afternoon east of
tucson. Elsewhere and for the rest of the week, 20-foot winds will
be primarily terrain driven mainly under 15 mph. A slight chance of
snow showers exists mainly across the white mountains Saturday and
Saturday night, and again next Monday.

Twc watches warnings advisories None.

Discussion... Francis
aviation... Michael
fire weather... Michael
visit us on facebook... Twitter... Youtube... And at weather.Gov tucson


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Yuma, Marine Corps Air Station, AZ63 mi66 minN 710.00 miFair64°F42°F45%1016.3 hPa

Wind History from NYL (wind in knots)
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
Last 24hrN5N5NW4NW5N5N4NW5N7N6N6N4N8N10N4N5N4N4N6N8NE8N8N6N4N7
1 day agoN7N5N5N4NW5NW5N5N3N6N4N3N6CalmN5N5NE5NE5NE6NE9N5N9N7N9N7
2 days agoNW6NW4NW4NW5N3CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5N4NE5N4N4N6N8N7N8N7N5N5

Tide / Current Tables for El Golfo de Santa Clara, Sonora, Mexico
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
El Golfo de Santa Clara
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:41 AM MST     2.33 meters High Tide
Mon -- 07:27 AM MST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:48 AM MST     -1.21 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 10:10 AM MST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:17 PM MST     1.22 meters High Tide
Mon -- 05:35 PM MST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:43 PM MST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:29 PM MST     -2.13 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
-0.50.61.62.22.31.91.20.3-0.5-1.1-1.2-0.9-0.40.30.91.21.10.6-0.1-0.9-1.7-2.1-2.1-1.6

Tide / Current Tables for Puerto Penasco, Sonora, Mexico (3)
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Puerto Penasco
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:29 AM MST     4.35 meters High Tide
Mon -- 07:22 AM MST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:37 AM MST     0.96 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 10:05 AM MST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:08 PM MST     3.33 meters High Tide
Mon -- 05:31 PM MST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:40 PM MST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:19 PM MST     0.09 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.933.84.34.33.83.12.21.5111.31.92.63.13.33.22.71.91.10.50.10.20.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (20,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Yuma, AZ
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.