Tuesday, January16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Milan, GA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:31AMSunset 5:51PM Tuesday January 16, 2018 4:38 AM EST (09:38 UTC) Moonrise 7:06AMMoonset 5:43PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milan, GA
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location: 31.95, -83.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Peachtree City, GA
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Fxus62 kffc 160552
afdffc
area forecast discussion
national weather service peachtree city ga
1252 am est Tue jan 16 2018

Update
06z aviation update below.

Baker

Prev discussion issued 651 pm est Mon jan 15 2018

Short term tonight through Tuesday night
Attention continues to be on the winter weather potential at the
end of the short term period. Latest model runs are advertising
slightly better moisture, and that, combined with cold thermal
profiles and partial thicknesses, will allow for a mainly an all
snow event. So models are indicating some better lift in the
dendritic growth zone, especially late Tuesday night and into
Wednesday morning over portions of western georgia and the south
metro middle georgia area, which could locally enhance
accumulations. In general, the models have an overall consensus
that this could happen, but with a lack of consistency run-to-run,
have opted to hedge amounts upward, but trend towards the more
conservative side. This is especially the case with the snow grids
for areas south of lagrange to macon to warrenton. The models are
also in agreement in depressing snowfall amounts in the
gainesville area due to downsloping. At this time, have advertised
less than half an inch accumulations in this area instead of the
near zero accumulations, but will need to monitor how subsequent
model runs sort this out.

Timing... Onset timing has sped up even from the overnight solutions,
with pops increasing in far northwest georgia from slight chance mid
morning to likely by 1 pm. Although the atlanta area could see some
flurries in the afternoon, the better chances will be in the early
evening hours through the wee morning hours.

Amounts... At this time, have gone with around 1 to 1.5 inches for
the higher elevations of north georgia, 0.75-1 inch for areas
generally north of a line from rome to ellijay, to blairsville, and
under 0.5 inches for areas south. At this time, have a tenth of an
inch advertised for as far south as americus (do not have any
accumulations for our far southeast corner counties). A winter
weather advisory has been issued for far north georgia and the north
and west metro atlanta area, with counties parsed out to best
reflect onset timing. At this time, although accumulations are
similar on the west side of the state (down to lagrange columbus)
confidence is much lower in these amounts for middle central
georgia. As a result, these areas have not yet been included in any
advisory, and instead a special weather statement has been issued
for them.

Other hazards... Taking a back seat to the snow potential is the wind
chill threat. Expect bitterly cold temperatures to impact the area
in the wake of the snow as extremely cold air settles over the area.

Temperatures Wednesday morning will be sub-zero or the single digits
in the far north, and in the teens across the metro atlanta area and
southwestward toward lagrange. Have opted to end the winter weather
advisory at 12z Wednesday to best capture both the snow and the wind
chill threat without having to issue multiple products. That being
said, it may be necessary to go ahead and issue a separate wind
chill advisory with tomorrow's afternoon package.

31

Long term Wednesday through Monday
Have kept a slight chance of lingering light snow over the
southeastern counties Wednesday morning. Previous long term
discussion follows...

17
long term Wednesday through Sunday ...

at the start of the period a long wave trough will be moving across
the southeast states. Very dry air will be spreading over the area
in the wake of a cold front. Models are consistent in pushing the
front to the edge of our forecast area by 12z Wednesday... However if
things turn out a bit slower there could be a period of
precipitation for our extreme east central counties Wednesday
morning and it would most likely be frozen or mixed. Moisture
looks like it is drying up as the front moves south so for now
have kept Wednesday morning dry. Expect very cold temperatures
Wednesday and Wednesday night and some gusty winds during the day.

After that... There is a gradual air mass modification as the flow
turns more west to southwest going into Saturday. By Sunday
another strong front will be crossing the ms river. Have
introduced pops mainly north and west for that day as moisture
gets pulled into the southeast states.

41

Aviation
06z update...

initialVFR conditions then approaching strong cold front late
afternoon into evening with increasing chance of -sn (especially
for northern TAF sites). CIGS should decrease to MVFR for near
katl along with prob30 for -sn in the 00-06z window. Expecting
increased NW winds of near 8-12 kts gusting 18 kts. Timing a bit
later for other sites east and south, but should start
improving scattering after 06z. Any sn accumulations still mainly
light but cannot rule out up to 1 inch total.

Atl confidence... 06z update...

medium on timing of -sn chances.

High on all else.

Baker

Preliminary point temps pops
Athens 50 23 36 19 5 30 5 0
atlanta 48 15 30 19 20 40 5 0
blairsville 41 10 25 12 60 50 5 0
cartersville 44 12 29 16 60 60 0 0
columbus 54 21 37 22 5 30 5 0
gainesville 47 18 31 19 20 30 5 0
macon 54 25 38 20 5 30 10 0
rome 40 11 30 16 60 60 0 0
peachtree city 51 17 32 18 10 40 5 0
vidalia 56 32 43 24 5 20 20 0

Ffc watches warnings advisories
Winter weather advisory from 10 am this morning to 7 am est
Wednesday for the following zones: bartow... Catoosa...

chattooga... Dade... Fannin... Floyd... Gilmer... Gordon... Murray...

pickens... Polk... Towns... Union... Walker... Whitfield.

Winter weather advisory from 4 pm this afternoon to 7 am est
Wednesday for the following zones: carroll... Cherokee... Cobb...

dawson... Douglas... Haralson... Lumpkin... Paulding... White.

Short term... 01
long term... .17
aviation... Baker


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SAXG1 - Sapelo Island Reserve, GA 98 mi98 min NNE 6 34°F 1029 hPa (-2.0)34°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Eastman, Heart of Georgia Regional Airport, GA19 mi63 minN 010.00 miFair28°F22°F81%1031.2 hPa

Wind History from EZM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNW3NE4E5E3E6E4E3N3NE7CalmE3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmNE8NE7CalmCalmN5N3N3CalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoNW8W6W7NW10
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N6NW8NW6NW6NW4CalmNW5NW4NW5N3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Burnt Fort, Satilla River, Georgia
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Burnt Fort
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Tue -- 06:45 AM EST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:58 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:26 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:20 PM EST     3.59 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:40 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:29 PM EST     0.25 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.12.92.41.81.20.70.30.20.61.52.43.13.63.53.22.61.91.20.60.30.30.91.82.6

Tide / Current Tables for Belfast, Belfast River, Georgia
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Belfast
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Tue -- 02:26 AM EST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:57 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:25 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:58 AM EST     8.10 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:08 PM EST     0.00 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:35 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:44 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:06 PM EST     7.17 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.61-0012.74.76.57.78.17.66.34.52.50.800.41.73.55.36.67.26.85.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Peachtree City, GA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Robins AFB, GA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.