Sunday, August20, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Pachuta, MS

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 7:35PM Sunday August 20, 2017 7:53 PM CDT (00:53 UTC) Moonrise 5:05AMMoonset 6:56PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pachuta, MS
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location: 31.95, -88.87     debug

Area Discussion for - Jackson, MS
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Fxus64 kjan 202351 aaa
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service jackson ms
651 pm cdt Sun aug 20 2017

Updated for 00z aviation discussion.

00z TAF discussion:
a cluster of thunderstorms is expected to impact khbg between 00z
and 02z, with possible gusty winds and briefly lower visibility as
those storms move through. Otherwise,VFR conditions and light
winds expected to prevail at all TAF sites until around 11z
Monday. Some br development then looks possible, with better
chances for a few hours of MVFR visibility at kglh and khbg before
fog any mixes out. A few showers or thunderstorms cannot be ruled
out near the end of the period, but expected coverage is too low
to include mention in tafs at this time. Nf

Expect another muggy night tonight after the evening stray
showers and storms diminish by a few hours after sunset. Lows will
be in the low to mid 70s with only a few patches of light fog
around at daybreak.

Tomorrow, the subtropical ridge aloft over the lower ms valley
will start lessening its grip a bit, but certainly not in a
dramatic way. Convective suppression will not be as much as today
and we should see a little better coverage of afternoon showers
and storms in at least southern and western zones. Of course the
biggest story in the sky tomorrow will be the partial eclipse
overhead starting in the late morning and ending in the mid
afternoon. The partial insolation blockage in our region will
peak shortly after 2 pm and we actually anticipate enough shade to
cause at least a little temperature decrease during the time of
day usually reserved for peak heating. This shade will certainly
be welcome because otherwise the continued hot regime would be
unabated and more heat advisories would likely be necessary.

However, since we are taking the eclipse into account, our current
thoughts are that heat indices will remain too marginal for
another heat advisory (but of course the next shifts will be
examining that aspect of the forecast closely). Also, keep in
mind the shade and somewhat reduced associated instability during
peak heating will probably mean computer models (which don't take
the eclipse into account) will probably overdo afternoon
convection here. That potential bias was kept in mind when doing
the forecast. Bb
Monday night through Saturday: come Monday night the eclipse will be
over but a 594dam ridge axis will continue along the highway 82
corridor while a tutt axis pokes up over our northeast louisiana
parishes from the northern gulf. Both of these features will weaken
Tuesday as mid level troughing develops over the eastern CONUS and
the tutt shifts farther west over the texas coast. Afternoon
temperatures in the low to mid 90s Tuesday will combine with high
relative humidity in our west for peak heat index values to range
from 101-104. A heat advisory is not currently anticipated for
Tuesday but, cooler temperatures and lower relative humidity look to
mitigate heat stress related concerns the remainder of the week.

A closed low swinging across ontario and into quebec Tuesday night
into Wednesday will send a cold front into the region Wednesday.

Although there appears to be very little convergence across our cwa
when the cold front drops in, 2 inch pwats look to pool across our
cwa ahead of it. Lower heights aloft and daytime heating should
contribute to a good coverage of convection Wednesday afternoon into
the early evening hours. By Thursday morning the cold front is
expected to be near our highway 84 corridor with dew points in the
60s north of interstate 20. Continued northwest flow aloft Thursday
will support a >1020mb high dropping over the great lakes region and
nudging the the front south of our cwa. By Friday morning, a much
drier airmass will have filtered into our whole CWA with dewpoints
in the 60s areawide. Although mid level ridging will strengthen over
the region Saturday, the surface high will shift east slowly through
the weekend. This will keep the gulf closed over our area and hold
deep moister at bay while temperatures warm. Cooler than normal
afternoon highs are expected Thursday and Friday; mainly in the
upper 80s. Afternoon highs will top out closer to normal Saturday
and Sunday but due to the drier airmass remaining over the region,
peak heat index values will not reach critical values. 22

Preliminary point temps pops
Jackson 74 94 74 93 7 20 9 24
meridian 74 93 74 92 4 18 9 30
vicksburg 74 93 74 94 4 21 8 23
hattiesburg 74 93 74 92 4 31 15 41
natchez 74 91 74 91 4 27 9 27
greenville 75 93 75 94 7 18 6 18
greenwood 75 94 74 93 8 14 7 24

Jan watches warnings advisories
Ms... Heat advisory until 7 pm cdt this evening for msz018-019-025>066-

La... Heat advisory until 7 pm cdt this evening for laz007>009-015-016-

Ar... Heat advisory until 7 pm cdt this evening for arz074-075.

06 22 bb

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OBLA1 - 8737048 - Mobile State Docks, AL 97 mi53 min 88°F 88°F1016.3 hPa (+0.8)

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Meridian, Key Field, MS28 mi55 minESE 410.00 miFair91°F75°F61%1016.3 hPa

Wind History from MEI (wind in knots)
Last 24hrS6S4CalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalm6E4E6NE4E4E5E33E3E4
1 day agoS5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4S4SW3S3SW3CalmCalmNW6NW5W5NW7NW8NW11N9E9
2 days agoCalmCalmS3W4S3CalmS5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW7W7NW9NW4NW36NW5SW3W5S5

Tide / Current Tables for Lower Bryant Landing, Tensay River, Alabama
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Lower Bryant Landing
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Sun -- 12:18 AM CDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:02 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:20 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 01:35 PM CDT     1.79 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:50 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:28 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Lower Hall Landing, Tensaw River, Alabama
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Lower Hall Landing
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Sun -- 01:44 AM CDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:02 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:21 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 02:25 PM CDT     1.66 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:49 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:28 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Jackson, MS (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Jackson/Brandon, MS
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.