Sunday, December16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Willcox, AZ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 5:21PM Sunday December 16, 2018 8:44 PM MST (03:44 UTC) Moonrise 1:26PMMoonset 12:53AM Illumination 71% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Willcox, AZ
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location: 32.29, -110     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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Fxus65 ktwc 162105
afdtwc
area forecast discussion
national weather service tucson az
205 pm mst Sun dec 16 2018

Synopsis Expect a few showers mainly east of tucson today into
tonight, and again Monday evening into early Tuesday morning.

Otherwise, dry conditions persist during the upcoming week, with
much warmer temperatures expected Thursday and Friday.

Discussion Another mostly cloudy day for much of southeast
arizona as a weak upper low tracks across the area. In spite of this
cloud cover, temperatures have already reached several degrees above
normal at some locales. As the low slowly travels east today,
additional moisture will be drawn up along the international border
and into the southeast corner of the state. Dew points have already
increased 10-20 degrees compared to 24 hours ago in that region.

Convective allowing models depict light shower activity this
afternoon through this evening primarily over sections of santa cruz
and cochise counties. The 12z GEFS plumes produce measurable
rainfall among all ensemble members at kdug, albeit meager amounts
averaging a tenth of an inch. Conditions dry out later overnight,
shifting the focus more toward the white mountains as a second upper
trough grazes the northeast corner of our forecast area. The best
chance for precipitation occurs Monday evening, and snow levels will
drop overnight to around 6000-7000 feet. Conditions then dry out
Tuesday morning as the trough progresses east.

An anomalous 500mb high then begins to build in on Wednesday,
producing a steady increase in temperatures. Naefs mean 500mb
heights are above the 90th percentile beginning Wednesday through
part of Friday. Anticipate some of the warmest high temperatures
measured since late november on Thursday Friday. A weak upper trough
passes over the weekend, nudging temperatures back down and
temporarily increasing cloud cover. No precipitation is expected.

Aviation Valid through 18 00z.

Isolated -shra may occur thru the forecast period, mainly south to
east of ktus. Otherwise, expect sct-bkn clouds at 9k-12k ft agl and
bkn-ovc clouds above 15k ft agl. Surface wind will generally be
under 12 kts with an ely sely component. Aviation discussion not
updated for TAF amendments.

Fire weather There will be a slight chance of showers through
Tuesday morning, mainly south and east of tucson. Dry and much
warmer than normal conditions are then expected during the latter
half of the upcoming work week. 20-foot winds will generally be
under 15 mph into next Saturday.

Twc watches warnings advisories None.

Howlett cerniglia
visit us on facebook... Twitter... Youtube... And at weather.Gov tucson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Safford, Safford Municipal Airport, AZ43 mi54 minENE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F21°F29%1022.7 hPa

Wind History from SAD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE5E6E6E6E7E8SE7SE6E7SE6S8SE9E8SE7SE11SE8S8S8S6SW5CalmCalmNE6E5
1 day agoE8SE8SE10SE11SE11E11SE11SE7SE11E10E11E9E10E8SE8E6S8SE5SE9SE8SE5E7E7E5
2 days agoE5CalmE3CalmS3E6CalmSE4NE3NE6NW3CalmCalmE8SE11SE7SE8SE6SE6S7SE6E6E8E7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tucson, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.