Marine Weather and Tides
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|Sunrise 5:14AM||Sunset 7:33PM||Wednesday June 19, 2019 11:06 PM MST (06:06 UTC)||Moonrise 9:40PM||Moonset 7:14AM||Illumination 93%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Willcox, AZHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus65 ktwc 192156|
area forecast discussion
national weather service tucson az
255 pm mst Wed jun 19 2019
Synopsis Dry conditions will prevail into the middle of next
week. Expect near normal daytime temperatures through Friday,
followed by moderating temperatures this weekend as a low pressure
system moves north of the area. Hotter temperatures will return by
next Tuesday as high pressure aloft builds southeast of the area.
Discussion A fairly quiet weather pattern persists for southeast
arizona as the upper pattern is defined by an upper low in the gulf
of alaska, a strong ridge of high pressure in the eastern pacific
(off the northern california coast), and a weak baggy trough of low
pressure south of this feature, extending across southern arizona
into northern new mexico.
The upper low in the gulf of alaska will dive south along the
eastern periphery of the upper ridge the next several days,
eventually making its way into the great basin Friday. Southeast
arizona will reside on the southern periphery of this feature as it
ejects Saturday. This means that we will remain dry with breezy to
locally windy conditions. Given the dry airmass in place, we may
near critical fire weather conditions Friday and possibly exceed
criteria east of tucson Saturday.
Otherwise, the upper ridge in the eastern pacific is progged to get
pushed west the first half of next week in response to a stronger
upper low diving into the pacific northwest. Given the positive
orientation of this low pressure system, confidence is moderate to
high that we will see a ridge build into our neck of the woods from
the southeast the second half of next week. Still not a lot of
moisture south of here to import into the area, but there will|
likely be enough mid-level moisture to result in some high-based
mainly dry storms toward the end of next week. This is still out of
the range of the current forecast, but it is certainly looking like
we may be on track for a switch into a more favorable weather
pattern for monsoon activity.
Aviation Valid through 21 00z.
Skc across southeast arizona thru the period with the exception of a
few cumulus clouds near the white mountains this afternoon. Surface
winds this afternoon swly wly 8-12 kts with occasional gusts to 20
kts, becoming variable in direction under 10 kts in the early
evening. Surface winds will be slightly stronger Thursday afternoon,
with surface winds from the SW 12-15 kts with gusts to 25 kts.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.
Fire weather Dry conditions will persist through early next
week. The second half of next week will see a slight increase in
moisture as a weak southerly flow becomes established with a ridge
of high pressure aloft building southeast of the area. Afternoon
minimum relative humidity values through Tuesday will generally
range from 5-15 percent with fair overnight recoveries. 20-foot
winds mainly terrain driven under 15 mph, although afternoon gusts
due to daytime heating. However, somewhat stronger southwest winds
will occur Friday and especially Saturday as a low pressure system
moves north of the area. Critical fire weather conditions may be
present both Friday and Saturday east and southeast of tucson.
Twc watches warnings advisories None.
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|Safford, Safford Municipal Airport, AZ||43 mi||75 min||NW 10||10.00 mi||Fair||83°F||17°F||8%||1007.8 hPa|
Wind History from SAD (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||NW||N||N||NW||NW||SE||SE||S||S||Calm||S||N||SE||W|
|2 days ago||NW||NW||NW||N||NW||NW||SE||E||SE||Calm||NW|
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Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (2,6,7,8)(on/off)  Help
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