Thursday, June20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Willcox, AZ

Version 3.4
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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:14AMSunset 7:33PM Wednesday June 19, 2019 11:06 PM MST (06:06 UTC) Moonrise 9:40PMMoonset 7:14AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Willcox, AZ
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location: 32.29, -110     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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Fxus65 ktwc 192156
afdtwc
area forecast discussion
national weather service tucson az
255 pm mst Wed jun 19 2019

Synopsis Dry conditions will prevail into the middle of next
week. Expect near normal daytime temperatures through Friday,
followed by moderating temperatures this weekend as a low pressure
system moves north of the area. Hotter temperatures will return by
next Tuesday as high pressure aloft builds southeast of the area.

Discussion A fairly quiet weather pattern persists for southeast
arizona as the upper pattern is defined by an upper low in the gulf
of alaska, a strong ridge of high pressure in the eastern pacific
(off the northern california coast), and a weak baggy trough of low
pressure south of this feature, extending across southern arizona
into northern new mexico.

The upper low in the gulf of alaska will dive south along the
eastern periphery of the upper ridge the next several days,
eventually making its way into the great basin Friday. Southeast
arizona will reside on the southern periphery of this feature as it
ejects Saturday. This means that we will remain dry with breezy to
locally windy conditions. Given the dry airmass in place, we may
near critical fire weather conditions Friday and possibly exceed
criteria east of tucson Saturday.

Otherwise, the upper ridge in the eastern pacific is progged to get
pushed west the first half of next week in response to a stronger
upper low diving into the pacific northwest. Given the positive
orientation of this low pressure system, confidence is moderate to
high that we will see a ridge build into our neck of the woods from
the southeast the second half of next week. Still not a lot of
moisture south of here to import into the area, but there will
likely be enough mid-level moisture to result in some high-based
mainly dry storms toward the end of next week. This is still out of
the range of the current forecast, but it is certainly looking like
we may be on track for a switch into a more favorable weather
pattern for monsoon activity.

Aviation Valid through 21 00z.

Skc across southeast arizona thru the period with the exception of a
few cumulus clouds near the white mountains this afternoon. Surface
winds this afternoon swly wly 8-12 kts with occasional gusts to 20
kts, becoming variable in direction under 10 kts in the early
evening. Surface winds will be slightly stronger Thursday afternoon,
with surface winds from the SW 12-15 kts with gusts to 25 kts.

Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

Fire weather Dry conditions will persist through early next
week. The second half of next week will see a slight increase in
moisture as a weak southerly flow becomes established with a ridge
of high pressure aloft building southeast of the area. Afternoon
minimum relative humidity values through Tuesday will generally
range from 5-15 percent with fair overnight recoveries. 20-foot
winds mainly terrain driven under 15 mph, although afternoon gusts
due to daytime heating. However, somewhat stronger southwest winds
will occur Friday and especially Saturday as a low pressure system
moves north of the area. Critical fire weather conditions may be
present both Friday and Saturday east and southeast of tucson.

Twc watches warnings advisories None.

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Safford, Safford Municipal Airport, AZ43 mi75 minNW 1010.00 miFair83°F17°F8%1007.8 hPa

Wind History from SAD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW8NW9N9NW9NW7CalmSE4SE4S4NW6NW8NW10W13
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1 day agoNW4N10N9NW8NW7SE3SE4S4S5Calm35S5N8SE8W10
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2 days agoNW7NW10NW11N9NW7NW6SE4E3SE4Calm6543NW6
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G20
W15NW12NW9W7NW7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tucson, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.