Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Catalina Foothills, AZ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:18AMSunset 7:35PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 10:38 AM MST (17:38 UTC) Moonrise 10:18AMMoonset 11:25PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Catalina Foothills, AZ
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location: 32.29, -110.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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Fxus65 ktwc 281600
afdtwc
area forecast discussion
national weather service tucson az
900 am mst Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis Seasonably hot daytime temperatures will prevail into
early next week. Dry conditions will also occur through Friday
followed by isolated to scattered afternoon thunderstorms mainly
south of tucson late in the weekend into early next week.

Discussion
Mid morning water vapor imagery continues to reveal very dry air
across most of the southwestern united states this morning. Despite
this, low level moisture made its way northward from mexico into
southern arizona overnight and most locales are currently looking at
surface dewpoints in the upper 50s to lower 60s as of 16z. 12z ktus
sounding reveals just how shallow the moisture was is with abundant
dry air above 650mb. Surface dewpoints will slowly mix out through
the day today and should be in the 30s by late afternoon.

Conflicting signals from the ncar ensemble this morning as a few
members are suggesting scattered showers across far southern
arizona, meanwhile the past few runs of the hrrr and ua WRF models
are completely dry. Given the shallow nature of the aforementioned
moisture and strong subsidence, i'm inclined to lean heavily toward
the dry solution. Thus, no changes are necessary to the inherited
pops wx forecast. Outside of t TD adjustments, no significant
changes are necessary through tonight or through the rest of the
week for that matter.

Aviation Valid thru 29 18z.

Clr to few clouds 13-15k ft agl. Sfc wind this aftn wly nwly 10-20
kts with gusts to near 30 kts. Strongest speeds NE of ktus and
particularly near ksad. Sfc wind vrbl in direction less than 12 kts
at other times. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

Fire weather Dry conditions through Friday. Isolated afternoon
and evening thunderstorms are forecast to return this weekend into
early next week. The bulk of these thunderstorms will be east to
south of tucson. West to northwest winds at 10-15 mph Wednesday and
Thursday afternoons, with the strongest speeds northeast of tucson
and especially in vicinity of safford. 20-foot winds will then be
mainly less than 15 mph Friday into early next week.

Prev discussion With high pressure now in a blocking position to
our south and southwest, a dry westerly flow is pushing moisture
back out of the area over the next few days. Other than a complex in
sonora pushing a shallow outflow into southeast cochise county
overnight, dew points are in the 30s to lower 40s (down 10 to 20
degrees compared to 24 hours ago). Precipitable water has also
dropped back into the .5 to .6 inch range as per latest sounding and
goes estimates. So, dry with temperatures falling back a few degrees
(but still a little above average) through Friday.

By Saturday or Sunday, a weaker flow and a modest push of moisture
from the south will bring a few buildups back to the mountains with
isolated thunderstorms possible near the international border.

Monday and Tuesday high pressure will be in a more favorable
position to import deeper moisture into the area from the east and
south. Don't be surprised if current model moisture fields are a bit
underdone for next week. Our pop values are a little higher than
model ensemble suggestions.

Twc watches warnings advisories None.

Leins meyer glueck
visit us on facebook... Twitter... Youtube... And at weather.Gov tucson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Davis-Monthan Air Force Base, AZ8 mi1.7 hrsSSE 910.00 miFair89°F55°F32%1009 hPa
Tucson, Tucson International Airport, AZ12 mi46 minSSW 410.00 miFair94°F54°F26%1008.2 hPa
Tucson Ryan Field Airport, AZ17 mi54 minSW 13 G 1810.00 miFair97°F51°F22%1013.5 hPa

Wind History from DMA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6SW3W7
G17
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NW9NW5W3CalmSW7SW5S6S7S6S6S6S9S11S9E4
1 day agoNW5W5N6N7
G18
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NE4NW8NW7S4S10S8S5S6S6S7S5S8S9SW6W7W7
2 days agoN4N4N6NE6W8N8N9
G21
NW12NW19
G23
NW14
G22
SW3SW11S5SE11SE14SE12S10SE16
G22
SE12SE10SE8SE6E5Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tucson, AZ
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.