Wednesday, April24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Payne Springs, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 8:02PM Wednesday April 24, 2019 3:30 AM CDT (08:30 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:53AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Payne Springs, TX
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location: 32.29, -96.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 240820
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
320 am cdt Wed apr 24 2019

Short term
Today and tonight
showers and thunderstorms will continue across the region today
as a weak cold front sags slowly southward and a strong upper low
moves eastward across the state. Some impressive localized
rainfall totals on Tuesday with some areas of collin county
receiving in excess of 7 inches of rain along with some 4+ inch
amounts west of i-35 corridor. Since the pattern today will not
change much and even stronger large scale lift will move in, we
expect the threat for heavy rainfall to continue. Therefore, we
will leave the flash flood watch in effect through this evening
and expand it southeastward since the heavy rain area should shift
southward with the front.

We will also keep a threat of severe thunderstorms today,
especially across central texas where the air has been least
influenced by overnight convective outflows. Instability and
shear should be sufficient for long lived updrafts with a
potential for large hail and downburst winds, especially this
afternoon. There will even be some isolated tornado threat,
especially across the extreme southeast zones.

As far as the current severe thunderstorm watch #97 goes, we will
keep in riding through 5 am, but the best potential for severe
storms should stay just south of the dfw metroplex.

The temperature forecast will be a challenge today since the
region will be dominated by pockets of rain cooled air. We have
decided that the best course of action was to ride with the model
blends, keeping the northwest half of the region in the 60s and
the remainder of the forecast area in the lower and middle 70s.

The rain will taper off west to east tonight with the passing
upper low and the arrival of drier and cooler air. Although some
residual flooding will remain overnight, we will not extend the
current flash flood watch beyond midnight cdt tonight.

79

Long term
Thursday through Tuesday
other than some residual wrap around showers and a few storms
across the eastern half of the region, Thursday will be a much
quieter day with decreasing clouds from west to east and
temperatures warming back into the 70s.

The weather pattern will be much less active this weekend through
early next week with dry west to northwest flow aloft. The only
slight chance for rain will be near the red river Saturday
through Sunday with the passage of a shortwave and the arrival of
a weak cold front. We will keep pops very low (10%) for now since
moisture should be very limited. Slightly better rain thunderstorm
chances will arrive Monday night Tuesday with the approach of a
stronger low pressure system and the return of deeper moisture.

Temperature this weekend through early next week will be
seasonably warm with highs from the upper 70s to the middle 80s
and lows mainly in the upper 50s and 60s.

79

Aviation issued 1151 pm cdt Tue apr 23 2019
06z tafs
outflow which has gusted out ahead of the late evening
thunderstorms has brought northerly winds in the metroplex over
the past hour. These winds should come back around to the
southeast in the next few hours as gradient winds ahead of a weak
cold front take over. Additional showers and thunderstorms will
persist for several more hours with the axis of convection
shifting ever so slowly southward with the outflow boundary.

Activity should reach the waco area prior to sunrise but will not
be as intense as what has occurred in the dfw area. The primary
concern tonight has already begun to shift from severe storms to
flooding and flash flooding as thunderstorms train over the same
areas. Zooming out on a regional radar mosaic reveals a train of
storms extended well west into west texas ahead of the approaching
upper low over northern mexico, with cells marching steadily
eastward. A lull in the convective activity can be expected
during the morning hours, but storms will re-fire by Wednesday
afternoon as the system moves in from the west. The strongest
storms on Wednesday will be over central texas, but all locations
should see at least some convection with the main round Wednesday
afternoon. Storms will move east of the area Wednesday night, but
wrap-around showers along with borderline MVFR ifr conditions
will persist into Thursday morning. The front and associated north
winds will be though all locations by Wednesday night.

30

Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 70 60 78 58 78 90 80 20 5 0
waco 71 58 77 57 78 100 80 20 5 0
paris 71 59 74 54 77 80 80 60 5 0
denton 69 58 77 55 78 80 70 20 5 0
mckinney 70 59 76 55 77 90 80 30 5 0
dallas 71 60 78 59 80 90 80 30 5 0
terrell 72 60 76 57 78 90 90 40 5 0
corsicana 72 59 76 57 78 90 90 30 5 0
temple 72 58 78 57 79 100 80 20 5 0
mineral wells 67 56 78 54 78 80 60 20 0 0

Fwd watches warnings advisories
Flash flood watch through this evening for txz102>104-115>122-
129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

79 08


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Corsicana, Campbell Field-Corsicana Municipal Airport, TX24 mi37 minNW 310.00 miOvercast65°F62°F90%1014.1 hPa

Wind History from CRS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5SE7SE9SE7SE3E5SE7SE8SE7SE6SE10S14S11SE11SE8SE8SE7SE8SE7SE10S3CalmCalmNW3
1 day agoS12S10S10SE7SE7S13S13
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2 days agoS8S7S6S8S11S11S16
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.