Wednesday, December12, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Casas Adobes, AZ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 5:21PM Wednesday December 12, 2018 1:02 AM MST (08:02 UTC) Moonrise 11:19AMMoonset 10:14PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Casas Adobes, AZ
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location: 32.34, -111     debug


Area Discussion for - Tucson, AZ
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Fxus65 ktwc 120420
afdtwc
area forecast discussion
national weather service tucson az
920 pm mst Tue dec 11 2018

Synopsis Expect dry conditions across much of the area the rest
of the week along with a modest cooling trend. For late in the
weekend and early next week, there is a slight chance of showers
south and east of tucson. However, temperatures will remain
relatively mild for this time of year.

Discussion Models remain in excellent agreement through
Wednesday as a weak closed low continues to move southeast. The
low will track across central baja and into sonora with little to
no impacts for southeast az. At this time, the forecast remains
dry. Some forecast model solutions do hint at a long shot chance
of a shower or sprinkle across the higher terrain around the
international border along east of douglas. Otherwise, dry for the
rest of the area. Another dry system will pass to the northeast
of the area Wednesday night through Thursday and will usher in
cooler weather for Thursday.

Aviation Valid through 13 06z.

Ceilings AOA fl150 (with patchy virga) will continue into evening
before clearing overnight. Anticipate more distinct westerly
winds Wednesday afternoon with some minor gustiness possible.

Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

Fire weather Anticipate a notable uptrend in winds on
Wednesday (favoring westerly directions) as the southern end of a
weather system brushes the area. Gusts gusts in the 15-25 mph
range will be common in the afternoon on the valley floors over
eastern portions of the forecast area with higher speeds at higher
terrain. Winds will remain elevated at ridgetops overnight
favoring northerly directions. However, critical thresholds are
not expected. Anticipate some lingering breezes on Thursday but
favoring northeast and easterly directions. Temperatures trend
downward on Wednesday and Thursday followed by a notable decrease
in humidities. Over the weekend and early next week, there will be
a couple of opportunities for light rain but confidence in the
occurrence of wetting rain is not high at this time. No strong
wind events are anticipated.

Prev discussion A weak upper low centered over the channel
islands this afternoon will track southeastward the rest of the
day and overnight then weaken quite a bit during the the day
Wednesday as it moves over sonora. Moisture with this system is
limited to the upper half of the troposphere. Also, with that
track the bulk of it will miss the forecast area. Thus, not
anticipating precip will reach the ground but instead just thick
high clouds with some patchy virga. There is an upstream system
helping to kick this one along. While it is a larger and stronger
system, it will mostly pass to the north and east of the forecast
area. But it will help push the clouds out for mostly clear skies
Wednesday and Thursday along with cooler temperatures. There will
be more noticeable winds as well with breezy to windy conditions
for higher terrain areas and in some foothill locations. Made some
minor upward adjustments to the wind speeds, but overall, no
changes in the short term.

An upper level ridge builds over the area Friday bringing warmer
daytime temperatures. This ridge moves east of the area on
Saturday as an upper level trof moves into the western conus.

Thereafter plenty of uncertainty on timing of potential southern
stream systems impacting the area late in the weekend into early
next week. At this time went with slight chance of valley rain and
high elevation snow showers.

Twc watches warnings advisories None.

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Davis-Monthan Air Force Base, AZ13 mi64 minESE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy49°F40°F73%1015.1 hPa
Tucson, Tucson International Airport, AZ16 mi69 minN 010.00 miFair50°F42°F74%1015.7 hPa

Wind History from DMA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE12SE13SE12SE11SE14SE13SE9SE8E7SE11S7SE8SE5SW5SW5S3CalmCalmNW3E4CalmS3SE3E3
1 day agoSE10SE10SE9SE12SE14
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2 days agoS5SE6SE4SE3SE3S5SE7SE4SE5CalmCalmN5N6N6NW7NW7NW6NW4CalmCalmSE4SE8SE7SE8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tucson, AZ (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tucson, AZ
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.