Thursday, November22, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Richland Hills, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 5:25PM Thursday November 22, 2018 4:21 AM CST (10:21 UTC) Moonrise 5:26PMMoonset 6:16AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Richland Hills, TX
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location: 32.77, -97.2     debug

Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 220934
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
334 am cst Thu nov 22 2018

Short term
Today and tonight
thanksgiving day should be largely uneventful weather wise with
increasing cloud cover and daytime high temperatures in the 50s
and 60s. Increased subsidence as evidenced in goes-17 satellite
imagery suggests that most areas will remain mostly rain-free
during the daylight hours today. However, I cannot rule out a few
sprinkles across the brazos valley early this morning as the
compact shortwave continues to move eastward through the piney
woods. Cirrus will continue to invade from west ahead of a trough
across the eastern pacific. Low level moisture will surge
northward later this afternoon and into the evening yielding an
increase in mid and low level clouds. There could be a few
sprinkles where the moisture depth is sufficient---most likely
across parts of central texas and possibly for some locales west
of highway 281. Widespread measurable rain is not expected.

Overnight conditions will be milder late Thursday into Friday
morning---compared to previous mornings---as a stout upper trough
advances eastward and keeps the nocturnal pbl from completely
decoupling from the free atmosphere. 925mb flow is forecast to
climb up to around 35 knots and with some nocturnal mixing,
surface winds should slowly increase through the night. The
tightening height gradient aloft should serve to help a decent
swath stratus surge northward which should also contribute to
milder conditions. The WAA regime may be sufficiently strong
enough to produce a higher probability for some sprinkles and
i've included this in the worded forecast. If the moisture return
northward looks more impressive in hi-res guidance later today, a
mention of measurable rainfall may be warranted for the overnight
periods into Friday morning.


Long term
Friday through Wednesday
the end of the week and into next week looks like it will remain
mostly dry with only a minimal shot for rain on Friday. A strong
shortwave trough will be approaching the southern plains Friday
morning and established southerly flow will have already pulled in
some moisture to the region. We'll likely start the day off cloudy
with perhaps a few sprinkles in the morning. The disturbance will
track just to our north with the strongest forcing for ascent
removed from our area. Through the morning hours, there will be
some scattered light rain showers that may develop along and east
of i-35, but these should quickly move east of the region by
afternoon. Strong drying on the back side of the system will
result in a rapid clearing of the cloud cover by early afternoon
and a nice warmup. High temperatures will likely top out in the
low to mid 70s for most areas with humidity 25-35%.

Saturday will be another warm day as another strong disturbance
digs into the central rockies. This will result in strong surface
cyclogenesis across eastern colorado and southwest kansas. A
992 mb surface low will likely be positioned across eastern
colorado by Saturday afternoon with south-southwesterly winds
responding in our area. 925-850 mb flow is expected to strengthen
to near 40 kt by late afternoon, resulting in warming temperatures
and increasing surface winds. Surface temperatures are expected to
climb into the upper 70s and lower 80s by afternoon. The
combination of warm temperatures, gusty winds, and humidity around
20% will lead to elevated fire weather concerns Saturday
afternoon. While we haven't had to deal with fire concerns over
the last few weeks, recent hard freezes have effectively cured
grasses across the region. With Friday being a priming day with
initial drying and an initial warm up, Saturday could see more
significant grass fire activity.

With the surface cyclone and associated strong upper disturbance
staying well to our north, we'll remain precipitation free across
north texas, but a strong dry cold front will swing through the
region late Saturday night. Gusty northwest winds and much cooler
air will filter into the region. Highs on Sunday will top out in
the upper 50s to lower 60s, but strong northwest winds will make
it feel much cooler. We'll still have to continue to monitor for
grass fire potential behind this front as it will remain dry.

High pressure will settle into the region Sunday night and Monday
through Wednesday should generally be clear with slowly moderating
temperatures through mid week.


Aviation issued 1207 am cst Thu nov 22 2018
06z tafs
a passing shortwave continues to produce showers across southeast
texas, but with the trough axis now east of the i-35 corridor, no
additional precipitation is expected in near any of our TAF sites.

Although downglide has ensued, the considerable extent of mid
cloud will be slow to erode.

A broad surface high remains draped across the area, maintaining
light winds. But as lee troughing develops on Thursday in response
to a jet streak approaching from the desert southwest, southerly
winds will become better organized and increase in speed across
north and central texas. The resulting moisture flux will steadily
moisten the low levels, and ceilings below fl050 will become
widespread Thursday night. With the 06z package, introduced MVFR
ceilings into the predawn hours Friday morning.


Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 62 52 72 46 78 0 10 20 0 0
waco 62 52 73 46 79 0 10 20 0 0
paris 60 46 64 43 72 0 10 40 0 0
denton 62 51 72 45 78 0 10 10 0 0
mckinney 62 49 70 45 76 0 10 20 0 0
dallas 63 52 72 47 79 0 10 20 0 0
terrell 62 50 70 45 76 0 10 20 0 0
corsicana 62 51 69 45 76 0 10 20 0 0
temple 61 51 73 45 79 0 10 20 0 0
mineral wells 63 51 72 43 80 0 10 5 0 0

Fwd watches warnings advisories

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Grand Prairie, Grand Prairie Municipal Airport, TX9 mi26 minN 010.00 miFair44°F35°F73%1026.1 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, TX9 mi28 minN 09.00 miMostly Cloudy38°F37°F100%1025.5 hPa
Fort Worth, Meacham International Airport, TX9 mi28 minN 010.00 miOvercast44°F39°F83%1025.6 hPa
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, TX13 mi28 minNNE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy42°F35°F76%1025.1 hPa
Fort Worth Spinks Airport, TX15 mi26 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy40°F37°F90%1026.4 hPa
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX16 mi28 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy39°F33°F79%1025.9 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX18 mi28 minN 010.00 miFair42°F36°F79%1025.3 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX20 mi28 minE 310.00 miA Few Clouds43°F37°F80%1025.6 hPa
Dallas / Addison Airport, TX24 mi46 minENE 31.25 miSky Obscured with Haze44°F36°F76%1026.1 hPa

Wind History from GKY (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3Calm3E4NE5CalmCalmSE6SE4E3SE4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmNW6NW4N6NE9NE6NE6NE7NE10NE7NE4N8NE7N5N4N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoNW8N5NW4NW5N4NW5335N6N7N4NW3NE4CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmW3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.