Monday, November19, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Worth, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 5:26PM Monday November 19, 2018 6:22 PM CST (00:22 UTC) Moonrise 3:36PMMoonset 3:14AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Worth, TX
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location: 32.77, -97.29     debug

Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 192337
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
537 pm cst Mon nov 19 2018

Upper level high pressure will remain over the region through
Tuesday, resulting inVFR conditions with a mostly clear sky.

A northerly wind will continue at all TAF sites through Tuesday
afternoon at speeds generally below 10 knots.


Short term issued 328 pm cst Mon nov 19 2018
skies will continue to clear this afternoon from north to south
as a deep layer of dry air continues to plunge southward. With the
dry air, clear skies and light winds... Optimal radiational
cooling is anticipated. Have nudged temperatures a few degrees
below MOS values, especially across some of the sheltered and low-
lying areas. Most areas should see overnight lows fall into the
30s with parts of the big country and across the sheltered low-
lying areas falling below 32 degrees. The dry air aloft, coupled
with some breeziness at 925mb (wind speeds around 15 to 20 knots)
should for the most part mitigate a widespread fog threat. The
exception to this may be across some of these sheltered spots
where very shallow fog may develop.


Long term issued 328 pm cst Mon nov 19 2018
Tuesday through early next week
north and central texas will begin the period situated between a
large scale upper trough to the east and a shortwave trough
(embedded in the southern stream flow) to over baja california.

The resulting upper level flow will produce shortwave ridging and
subsidence overhead. At the surface, a high pressure ridge will
be centered just north of the red river on Tuesday. So after a
chilly start, plentiful Sun will allow temperatures to climb into
the mid and upper 50s by Tuesday afternoon. Light north winds and
weak cold air advection south of the surface high should keep
temperatures from climbing any higher than that.

Winds will veer to the east late Tuesday night and then to the
southeast Wednesday morning as the surface ridge shifts east
of the area. Mid and high clouds will increase during the day
Wednesday as the shortwave approaches from the west. Scattered
showers should develop just west and south of the area by midday
Wednesday where moisture and lift will be on the increase in
advance of the approaching shortwave, and these showers should
begin to affect the area by Wednesday afternoon. The lack of
significant moisture return will keep precipitation totals on the
light side, and confined to areas mainly along and south of i-20
(where the higher pops will be). The activity will move quickly
east of the region Wednesday night as the shortwave heads for the
central gulf coast. The exiting disturbance will leave north and
central texas with dry weather and seasonable temperatures (lows
around 40 and highs around 60) for thanksgiving day.

Meanwhile, a stronger shortwave will be traveling east across the
great basin thanksgiving afternoon and evening. The subsequent
strengthening of a lee-rockies surface trough will enhance the
pressure gradient across the plains, leading to increasing
southerly low level flow across the forecast area Thursday night.

The latest progs continue to dig and strengthen the shortwave over
the southern plains late Thursday night and Friday morning,
generating strong forcing for ascent over the area on Friday.

Despite the system's intensity, moisture return will likely be too
limited and brief for convective development across much of the
area, and at this time it looks like this will be mainly an east
texas through the mississippi valley convective event. However,
there should be a window of opportunity Friday late morning and
afternoon for shower and thunderstorm development east of
interstate 35 before activity accelerates off to the east.

It is still a bit to early to get an accurate assessment on the
severe threat due to model discrepancies regarding timing and
strength. Even if the ECMWF (which remains the most aggressive
with overall intensity) verifies, the threat for strong to severe
thunderstorms would likely still remain just east of the area
where convective parameters will be more favorable. For now we
will keep the chance pops for areas generally along and east of
the i-35 corridor with the probability of strong to severe storms
being far too low to mention.

Saturday is shaping up to be a nice one as subsidence behind the
shortwave creates warm and dry weather, with highs in the upper
60s and lower 70s. This will be short-lived, however, as the next
upper trough swings across the plains Saturday night and a strong
cold front pushes through the area. The latest timing for this
front is looking like Saturday night or Sunday, with only low-end
pops expected due to the lack of moisture. A return to seasonably
cool weather can be expected early next week behind the front.


Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 37 58 36 58 40 0 0 0 10 5
waco 34 61 37 58 41 0 0 0 30 10
paris 37 56 34 56 37 0 0 0 5 5
denton 32 57 35 57 39 0 0 0 5 5
mckinney 33 57 35 57 38 0 0 0 5 5
dallas 39 59 36 58 40 0 0 0 10 5
terrell 38 58 36 58 39 0 0 0 10 10
corsicana 39 60 36 58 40 0 0 0 20 10
temple 36 61 37 58 42 0 0 0 30 20
mineral wells 32 58 34 58 38 0 0 0 20 5

Fwd watches warnings advisories

79 25

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Worth, Meacham International Airport, TX5 mi29 minN 010.00 miFair50°F33°F52%1022.2 hPa
Fort Worth, Naval Air Station, TX6 mi90 minN 510.00 miPartly Cloudy54°F30°F42%1020.5 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, TX13 mi29 minENE 410.00 miFair50°F36°F59%1022.3 hPa
Fort Worth Spinks Airport, TX14 mi34 minN 010.00 miFair50°F33°F54%1022.7 hPa
Grand Prairie, Grand Prairie Municipal Airport, TX14 mi32 minN 010.00 miClear50°F33°F54%1022 hPa
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX15 mi29 minNNW 410.00 miA Few Clouds51°F33°F50%1022.7 hPa
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, TX17 mi29 minENE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy48°F34°F58%1021.8 hPa
Dallas, Redbird Airport, TX23 mi29 minN 010.00 mi46°F36°F68%1022.3 hPa
Dallas Love Field, TX24 mi29 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy51°F35°F54%1022.4 hPa

Wind History from FTW (wind in knots)
Last 24hrNW7NW5NW5NW5NW5CalmNW4NW5NW7N6NW4NW4N4N6N4NW4Calm45SW344NW6Calm
1 day agoE7SE7SE10SE7NW14
2 days agoS8S8S8S9S8S7S9S6S7S4SW3S6E3E4S6S9S12S15SE14

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.