Saturday, September23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Azle, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 7:24PM Saturday September 23, 2017 1:15 PM CDT (18:15 UTC) Moonrise 9:30AMMoonset 8:50PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Azle, TX
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location: 32.91, -97.55     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 231703
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
1203 pm cdt Sat sep 23 2017

Aviation
Ifr CIGS across central texas have eroded due to boundary layer
mixing, and given way to scattered cumulus.VFR conditions can be
expected for the rest of the afternoon, evening and most of the
overnight hours. One exception will be over central texas where
stratus is likely to invade once again by daybreak tomorrow, and
have included MVFR conditions for kact at 12z Sunday. Otherwise,
isolated showers are possible later this afternoon but should
remain east of area TAF sites.

30

Update issued 1002 am cdt Sat sep 23 2017
north and central texas remains on the southwest edge of an upper
level ridge, which extends all the way to the great lakes. A weak
inverted trough continues trudge slowly west along the gulf coast
and may provide enough lift for isolated convection across the
eastern portions of the forecast area. Isolated showers have been
added to areas generally along and east of i-35 35e for this
afternoon with pops remaining below 20 percent. Otherwise, low
clouds across the southern counties should scatter out by midday.

30

Short term issued 317 am cdt Sat sep 23 2017
today and tonight
north texas will remain sandwiched between a deep upper trough
over the western u.S. And a weaker trough over the southeastern
u.S. Through tonight. This will mean quiet weather for most of us
with continued above normal temperatures.

Regional satellite imagery shows mostly clear skies across north
texas with the exception of some lower clouds in the hill country.

Cloud cover is a little less extensive this morning given that
some drier air has moved in from the east and the low level jet is
oriented more southeasterly. Most low clouds should primarily
affect our far southwestern counties through the morning.

Limited moisture and a lack of any appreciable forcing mechanism
should help limit convective chances this afternoon across the
area. We'll keep pops generally at 10% or less across the area.

Temperatures will be warm again with highs in the lower 90s
areawide, although the east-southeast flow through 700 mb should
keep things from getting too warm. No precipitation is expected
tonight although we may begin to see an increase in mid level
cloud cover spreading in from west texas.

Dunn

Long term issued 317 am cdt Sat sep 23 2017
Sunday onward
the main focus through the extended portion of the forecast is
the cold front and associated rain chances through the middle
portion of next week. Where there is still considerable
disagreement among model guidance with this system, the general
trends continue to favor areas west of i-35 for the highest rain
chances, while locations to the east could remain drier. With
limited instability in place, the severe weather threat is
expected to remain low throughout this time with locally heavy
rainfall being the main concern. Based on some trends in guidance,
have made some slight decreases to pops for reasons discussed
below.

Another warm and mostly dry day is expected on Sunday as an upper
ridge remains overhead. However, the ridge will begin to get
squashed between the large upper trough positioned across the
western us and a weaker upper low drifting across the southeast
us. As the ridge begins to weaken, some subtle ascent could
prompt a couple afternoon showers across our northeastern
counties, although this potential is not high enough to include a
mention in the worded forecast right now. Dewpoints should mix
out into the mid or low 60s which will keep heat index values
below 100f despite 90+ degree temperatures.

The western trough will continue to deepen and slowly shift east
to begin the week. As numerous disturbances pivot though the
large-scale trough, several rounds of showers and thunderstorms
will develop across west tx. Most of the forcing is expected to
remain west of our forecast area through Monday, although it's
possible that a couple storms could begin approaching our western
counties by late in the day. The trough's associated cold front
will also be making very slow southeastward progress during this
time, but without any feature to shove it south, it will remain
northwest of our area through the early portion of the week.

Rain chances will increase on Tuesday and Wednesday as the front
finally begins to move into north tx. However, most of the large
scale ascent associated with the upper trough should stay to our
northwest. Our rain chances will increase primarily due to the
ascent associated with the approaching frontal zone, and not
necessarily due to an increase in dynamic forcing aloft. This has
me questioning the widespread QPF that the GFS has been
generating, and the slightly drier ECMWF solution is looking more
reasonable at this time. This will also be the story on Wednesday
as both models eject a more potent disturbance north of our area
while shifting the primary trough axis farther west. As this
occurs, some upper ridging should actually be occurring overhead
above the stalled frontal zone with a 590dam ridge becoming
centered across southeast tx. This doesn't bode well for rain
chances east of i-35 where forcing for ascent will largely be
absent aside from the limited convergence along the front.

Throughout this time, rain chances will be highest the farther
west your location, and the highest rain totals through the
midweek time frame should be west of our forecast area. The severe
weather threat will also be low due to meager instability from
poor lapse rates through the mid levels.

The stalled front will slowly be drifting south Wednesday night and
Thursday and cooler drier air begins filtering in behind it. Rain
chances will linger across most of the area through Thursday
night before a secondary cold front punches southward through the
plains. This front should deliver some substantially drier air
which will scour out the moisture all the way to the gulf on
Friday, leaving us cooler and drier to begin the weekend. Overall,
it looks like a very pleasant early fall weekend could be in
store with temperatures in the 70s and low 80s with low humidity.

-stalley

Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 92 74 94 74 93 5 5 5 5 5
waco 92 71 93 70 92 10 5 10 10 10
paris 90 71 89 70 91 10 5 10 5 5
denton 91 71 91 70 91 5 5 5 5 5
mckinney 90 72 90 71 92 5 5 5 5 5
dallas 92 75 94 75 93 5 5 5 5 5
terrell 90 72 92 70 92 10 5 5 5 5
corsicana 91 72 92 71 92 10 5 5 5 5
temple 90 71 90 70 91 10 5 10 10 10
mineral wells 90 70 91 71 89 5 5 5 10 10

Fwd watches warnings advisories
None.

30 58


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Worth, Naval Air Station, TX11 mi24 minSE 10 G 1910.00 miMostly Cloudy90°F64°F44%1012.4 hPa
Fort Worth, Meacham International Airport, TX12 mi23 minSE 1310.00 miPartly Cloudy91°F69°F49%1012.7 hPa
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX13 mi23 minSSE 12 G 1610.00 miMostly Cloudy90°F66°F47%1012.3 hPa
Bridgeport, Bridgeport Municipal Airport, TX24 mi21 minSSE 12 G 1710.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F64°F46%1014.9 hPa
Decatur, Decatur Municipal Airport, TX24 mi21 minS 14 G 2010.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F64°F46%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from NFW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE12
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.