Monday, October15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Encinitas, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 6:16PM Monday October 15, 2018 3:28 AM PDT (10:28 UTC) Moonrise 1:05PMMoonset 11:28PM Illumination 33% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ750 Coastal Waters From San Mateo Point To The Mexican Border And Out To 30 Nm- 218 Am Pdt Mon Oct 15 2018
Today..Wind N 15 to 25 kt with isolated gusts to 30 kt. Wind waves 5 ft. Mixed swell nw 2 to 5 ft at 6 seconds and sw 2 to 3 ft at 16 seconds.
Tonight..Wind N 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. Mixed swell N 3 to 5 ft at 5 seconds and sw 2 to 3 ft at 16 seconds.
Tue..Wind N 10 to 15 kt...becoming nw in the afternoon. Gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. Mixed swell N 3 to 4 ft at 5 seconds and sw 2 ft at 16 seconds.
Tue night..Wind nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt...becoming ne after midnight. Wind waves 3 ft in the evening...becoming 2 ft or less. Mixed swell nw 3 to 4 ft at 6 seconds and sw 2 ft at 16 seconds.
Wed..Wind E to 10 kt...becoming W in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less...becoming 3 ft in the afternoon. Mixed swell W 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds and sw 2 ft at 16 seconds.
Wed night..Wind nw 10 to 15 kt in the evening... Becoming variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 2 to 3 ft and sw 2 ft.
Thu..Wind variable less than 10 kt...becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 2 ft and sw 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..Wind N 10 kt in the evening...becoming variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 2 to 3 ft and sw 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..Wind variable less than 10 kt...becoming W 10 kt with gusts to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 2 to 3 ft and sw 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..Wind N 10 kt. Gusts to 15 kt in the evening. Wind waves 3 ft in the evening...becoming 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 2 to 4 ft and sw 2 to 3 ft.
PZZ700 218 Am Pdt Mon Oct 15 2018
Synopsis for the far southern california coast.. At 1 am a 1035 mb high was over southern idaho and a 1015 mb low was over ensenada mexico. Offshore flow will strengthen this morning, creating a period of gusty northeast offshore winds mainly near camp pendleton this morning, but also intermittently anywhere within the stretch between camp pendleton and san clemente island. These intermittent gusts would be briefly hazardous to small craft through about midday. Lighter winds south of a line from oceanside to south san clemente island. Offshore winds will decrease this afternoon, but northeast winds are expected nights and mornings with northwest winds during afternoons and evenings through Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Encinitas, CA
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location: 33.03, -117.51     debug


Area Discussion for - San Diego, CA
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Fxus66 ksgx 150411 aaa
afdsgx
area forecast discussion
national weather service san diego ca
910 pm pdt Sun oct 14 2018

Synopsis
Some patchy stratus may occur late this evening along the coast.

From late tonight through Tuesday, a santa ana weather pattern will
bring strong gusty northeast winds to the mountains, valleys and
even some coastal areas, along with low humidity and higher
temperatures. The offshore flow will be much weaker Wednesday
through Friday, but dry warm weather will continue. Upper low
pressure could bring a few clouds this weekend.

Discussion For extreme southwestern california including orange...

san diego... Western riverside and southwestern san bernardino
counties...

evening update: made an update this evening to add a wind advisory
for Monday for the coachella valley, san diego county deserts, san
gorgonio pass, and coastal san diego county. The winds in the desert
will be strongest below the south facing slopes and could even
approach wind advisory level (45 mph) in the coachella valley. The
winds in coastal san diego county will be strongest (35-40 mph)
north of encinitas towards camp pendleton where santa ana wind will
surface out of the northeast. Winds will likely remain below
advisory level in the city of san diego although still gusty at
times throughout the day Monday.

Have also added blowing dust in areas of strong winds especially for
the northern inland empire where blowing dust could create impacts
to travel during the strongest winds. There could also be some
blowing dust sand concerns in the lower deserts immediately below
the south facing slopes.

Other than the above changes the forecast remains on track with a
strong offshore gradient developing late tonight, continuing through
Tuesday. The strongest winds will be likely late tonight through
Monday, although periods of strong winds will be likely through
Tuesday although not quite as strong. The strongest winds will be
likely below the cajon pass and in the santa ana mountains where
gusts as high as 80 mph will be possible in the more remote
locations, and gusts of 60 mph are forecast for populated areas,
which could cause damage to trees and property.

The remainder of the previous forecaster discussion issued at 200 pm
Sunday afternoon remains valid below:
the big change will occur late tonight and early Monday as a santa
ana wind event develops. Winds will gradually increase from the
northern mountain crests a little after midnight tonight south and
southwest through the coastal foothills and valleys, including
through and below passes and canyons. Winds likely will not arrive
in the san diego county valleys until after sunrise Monday.

Strongest support aloft will be late tonight and Monday morning,
with high-resolution models, including the local WRF and cansac wrf,
indicating gust potential between 70 and 80 mph in the strongest
locations, mainly below cajon pass and in the santa ana mountains in
the 4 am-noon pdt time range Monday. San diego county should have
somewhat weaker winds than farther north, with peak gust potential
around 50-55 mph in strongest locations. There will be much less
support for strong winds Monday night and Tuesday, but local gusts
over 50 mph will still be possible Tuesday morning. Humidity will be
low due to the offshore flow, below 10 percent at times.

Temperatures will be higher once the offshore flow arrives with
mostly 80s west of the mountains starting Monday.

The upper low which will move through the region from north to south
Monday will remain over the SW us the rest of the week, with the
interior SW being the most likely location of the low. This will
keep us on the back side of the low with NE flow aloft and mostly
weak offshore flow at the surface. Some model runs have the upper
low moving west towards so-cal or northern baja next weekend which
could enhance the offshore flow again, though that is dependent on
the track of the low. Some moisture wraps around the low, based on
the 12z GFS solution, and that could even bring some precipitation.

12z ECMWF has some precip just to the north and east of our area.

Have not added any precip for next weekend, but if models continue
to show some precip in or near our forecast area, then I will add
that to the forecast package Monday. MOS guidance shows it could be
quite warm next weekend with 90s possible west of the mountains
based on GFS mos.

Aviation
150200z... .Coastal low clouds will develop after 05z tonight with
bases near 2500 ft msl and spreading 15-20 miles inland, then a slow
clearing around 10-11z once offshore winds develop. N-ne winds will
strengthen tonight with sfc gusts 35-45 kt on the coastal mountain
slopes and through and below the passes after 06z, then increasing
to 45-55 kt by Monday morning and spreading into the valleys and
orange county coastal plain. Llws likely at sbd, kont, and ksna
Monday morning prior to winds surfacing. Stg-svr uddfs likely over
and S SW of the mountains. Gusty sfc winds will continue into
Tuesday and begin to diminish Tuesday evening.

Marine
Northeast wind gusts to around 20 kt possible near and northeast of
san clemente island Monday morning through Monday evening. No
hazardous marine weather is expected Tuesday through Thursday.

Fire weather
Critical fire weather conditions will occur at least Monday and
Tuesday due to the santa ana winds. Fuels which will be initially
wet from the recent rains should dry out Monday as humidity will be
10 percent or less in most low elevation locations, combined with
winds 20-40 mph with local gusts 55-75 mph (santa ana mtns and
inland empire). Strongest winds will be Monday morning with winds
somewhat weaker Tuesday. Mostly lighter winds are expected Wednesday
through Friday, though humidity will stay low.

Skywarn
Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are
encouraged to report significant weather conditions.

Sgx watches warnings advisories
Ca... Red flag warning from 3 am Monday to 8 pm pdt Tuesday for orange
county coastal areas-orange county inland areas-riverside
county mountains-including the san jacinto ranger district
of the san bernardino national forest-san bernardino county
mountains-including the mountain top and front country
ranger districts of the san bernardino national forest-san
bernardino and riverside county valleys -the inland empire-
san diego county inland valleys-san diego county mountains-
including the palomar and descanso ranger districts of the
cleveland national forest-santa ana mountains-including the
trabuco ranger district of the cleveland national forest.

Wind advisory until 8 pm pdt Monday for coachella valley-san
diego county deserts-san gorgonio pass near banning.

High wind warning until 3 pm pdt Monday for orange county inland
areas-san bernardino county mountains-san bernardino and
riverside county valleys-the inland empire-santa ana
mountains and foothills.

Beach hazards statement until 10 pm pdt this evening for orange
county coastal areas-san diego county coastal areas.

Wind advisory from 6 am to 6 pm pdt Monday for san diego county
coastal areas.

Pz... None.

Public fire weather... Maxwell jmb
aviation marine beaches... Connolly


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46225 - Torrey Pines Outer, CA (100) 9 mi28 min 67°F3 ft
46224 - Oceanside Offshore, CA (045) 10 mi28 min 67°F3 ft
46242 - Camp Pendleton Nearshore, CA (043) 14 mi60 min 65°F3 ft
46254 17 mi58 min 66°F2 ft
LJAC1 - 9410230 - La Jolla, CA 18 mi46 min NNE 5.1 G 6 64°F 65°F1015.5 hPa
LJPC1 - La Jolla, CA (073) 18 mi68 min NNE 5.1 2 ft
46258 19 mi28 min 69°F4 ft
SDBC1 - 9410170 - San Diego, CA 28 mi46 min 1015.3 hPa
46232 - Point Loma South, CA (191) 35 mi28 min 67°F4 ft
TIXC1 - Tijuana River Reserve, CA 37 mi103 min NE 1 62°F 1016 hPa58°F
46235 37 mi28 min 66°F3 ft
46086 - San Clemente Basin 46 mi38 min NNW 12 G 14 65°F 67°F4 ft1015.7 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for La Jolla, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Carlsbad, McClellan-Palomar Airport, CA14 mi35 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds61°F57°F90%1015 hPa
Oceanside, Oceanside Municipal Airport, CA16 mi36 minN 08.00 miMostly Cloudy58°F55°F93%1015.4 hPa
Oceanside, Camp Pendleton, Marine Corps Air Station, CA20 mi33 minN 010.00 miOvercast57°F57°F100%1015.5 hPa
San Diego, Miramar MCAS/Mitscher Field Airport, CA22 mi93 minENE 410.00 miA Few Clouds61°F55°F81%1015.2 hPa
San Diego, Montgomery Field, CA24 mi35 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds61°F57°F90%1015.5 hPa

Wind History from CRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalm334W9W9W75W6W6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmS3S5SE4S3N4NW4455W6W4W5W4W5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmW8W8W10
G15
NW8W104SW7SW6SW6W9CalmCalmCalmSW5CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for La Jolla, Scripps Pier, California (3)
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La Jolla
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:09 AM PDT     3.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:53 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:21 AM PDT     3.04 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:03 PM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:55 PM PDT     4.41 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:15 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:04 PM PDT     0.94 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:27 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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22.52.93.23.33.23.133.13.23.43.84.14.34.44.33.93.42.72.11.51.10.91

Tide / Current Tables for La Jolla, Scripps Pier, California
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La Jolla
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:28 AM PDT     3.38 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:53 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:30 AM PDT     3.23 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:03 PM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:48 PM PDT     4.32 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:15 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:05 PM PDT     1.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:27 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.633.23.43.43.33.23.23.33.53.84.14.34.34.23.83.32.72.11.51.111.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for San Diego, CA (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station San Diego, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.