Thursday, May23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Princeton, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:20AMSunset 8:26PM Thursday May 23, 2019 5:57 PM CDT (22:57 UTC) Moonrise 11:52PMMoonset 9:27AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Princeton, TX
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location: 33.15, -96.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 231945
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
245 pm cdt Thu may 23 2019

Short term
Tonight
north and central texas this afternoon remain sandwiched between
a ridge of high pressure anchored over the southeast, and a deep
mid-tropospheric trough stretched across the rocky mountains. The
fwd county warning area (cwa) is well within a maritime tropical
(mt) air mass with dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s. A
quick 10-minute walk around the block during lunch readily
revealed just how humid it has become over the past few days.

For the rest of this afternoon, little to no synoptic-scale
forcing over our CWA should keep a firm cap on any shower and
thunderstorm activity, except for perhaps in our southeastern
counties. The href has hinted at the possibility of some weak
convection southeast of an athens to cameron line this afternoon,
and visible satellite imagery does indeed show some percolating
cumulus down there. Given this, have opted to throw in some low
(20-30 percent) pops for the afternoon, but this could be
aggressive if anything. Regardless, any convection that does
develop would remain below severe limits, and likely be in the
form of a brief downpour and a few rumbles of thunder. Expect
anything that does develop to quickly diminish after sunset with
the loss of daytime heating.

For tonight, expecting a near carbon copy of last night. We should
get a renewed surge of stratus clouds as an intense low-level jet
develops. This cloud cover, as well as sultry low 70s dewpoints
should keep low temperatures in the low to mid 70s, leading to a
rather muggy night, and keeping air conditioners across north and
central texas working overtime.

37

Long term
Friday through Wednesday
north texas will remain positioned between a stout mid level ridge
over the southeastern u.S. And persistent troughing over the
western u.S. Through at least the early part of next week. We'll
be primarily influenced by the ridge with generally low rain
chances and warm humid conditions.

The dryline will remain active given the upstream trough and
periodic shortwave disturbances passing through. Most of the
convection will occur over west texas with weak attempts at making
a run at some of our western counties each evening through the
weekend. The best chance appears to come on Friday when
thunderstorms develop off to the west aided by a weak shortwave
that tracks a little farther east through the evening. We'll
maintain some very low pops primarily across our far northwestern
counties. Otherwise, we'll continue to deal with nocturnal stratus
intrusions that keep skies mostly cloudy from early morning into
early afternoon through the upcoming memorial day holiday. Highs
will top out in the upper 80s and lower 90s each afternoon through
Monday.

By Tuesday, there are indications that the strong ridging to the
east will begin to break down and a fairly potent disturbance will
swing into the plains. This likely represents the next best chance
for areawide rain storm chances as weak front slides southward
through the plains. Low chances for scattered thunderstorms will
continue through the mid late week period.

Dunn

Aviation issued 1222 pm cdt Thu may 23 2019
18z TAF issuance
concerns -- overnight morning MVFR stratus. Gusty s-sely winds.

The 18z TAF issuance is largely unchanged from the previous taf
issuance. North central tx remain between an upper-level ridge
anchored over the southeast and an upper-level trough digging over
the rocky mountains. The result is deep gusty s-sely flow across
the region. CIGS this afternoon have managed to return toVFR
amidst surface heating and strong mixing from gusty winds.

Tonight... As the nocturnal LLJ picks up once again... And low-level
moisture remains abundant... Expecting another round of MVFR
stratus at all TAF sites. CIGS should drop to MVFR around midnight
local time and continue into the morning hours (an approximate
repeat of last night's trends). A few TAF sites could see
temporary cig reductions to below fl020... With confidence highest
at kact where moisture will be a bit richer. Kact is the only taf
site where sub-fl020 CIGS have been explicity indicated... But
tempo groups (or possibly brief prevailing groups) may need to be
added to metroplex TAF sites in later issuances as confidence
increases in timing.

37

Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 74 87 71 89 72 0 5 0 0 0
waco 74 88 72 89 71 5 5 0 0 0
paris 71 87 68 87 70 0 0 0 0 0
denton 73 87 70 87 71 0 5 5 0 5
mckinney 73 87 70 87 71 0 0 0 0 0
dallas 75 89 73 89 72 0 5 0 0 0
terrell 73 88 71 89 71 0 0 0 0 0
corsicana 73 89 71 89 70 0 0 0 0 0
temple 73 87 70 88 71 5 5 0 0 0
mineral wells 73 86 70 87 68 5 5 10 0 5

Fwd watches warnings advisories
None.

91


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
McKinney - McKinney National Airport, TX6 mi64 minSSE 16 G 2110.00 miFair88°F69°F54%1013.5 hPa
Dallas / Addison Airport, TX22 mi2.2 hrsSSE 16 G 2810.00 miMostly Cloudy88°F68°F52%1014.6 hPa
Greenville / Majors, TX23 mi77 minSSE 13 G 1910.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F69°F52%1015.2 hPa

Wind History from TKI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE15
G21
SE12SE9SE10SE6SE8S12S14S14S12S10SE9SE8
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1 day agoS17S13
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2 days agoS17
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SW8S14W16
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S10S5SW8SW10SW10S9SW12SW13
G21
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SW16
G21

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.