Tuesday, November13, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pilot Point, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 5:28PM Tuesday November 13, 2018 10:58 PM CST (04:58 UTC) Moonrise 12:07PMMoonset 10:36PM Illumination 36% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pilot Point, TX
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location: 33.36, -97     debug


Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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Fxus64 kfwd 140348
afdfwd
area forecast discussion
national weather service fort worth tx
948 pm cst Tue nov 13 2018

Update
A few adjustments were made to tonight's expected low temperatures
after assessing to overall trend. Lows will dip down into the low
20s across the northwest, and mid to upper 20s elsewhere. Clouds
have dissipated for most of north and central texas, with the
exception of the far eastern counties where low level moisture
remains in place.

Radar continues to indicate that light precipitation is falling
from the clouds between lamar and henderson counties. Given the
very dry layer of air between 700-900mb, all of that precipitation
is sublimating before reaching the ground.

Strong isentropic ascent on the back side of the departing low
pressure system will lead to additional radar echoes through the
night for areas northeast of a bonham to canton line. Once again,
given the very dry air in place, it is unlikely that sufficient top-
down moistening will occur, preventing precipitation from make it
to the ground.

Hernandez

Aviation issued 542 pm cst Tue nov 13 2018
00z tafs
only a few clouds remain across north and central texas TAF sites
as dry air continues to filter in.VFR conditions will remain
through this TAF cycle with the absence of moisture at all
levels. Northernly winds will persists through tonight, with a
slight northwesterly shift tomorrow.

Hernandez

Discussion issued 346 pm cst Tue nov 13 2018
tonight through Tuesday
another unseasonably cold night awaits north and central texas
tonight, before we enjoy a gradual moderating temperature trend
through the remainder of the week. The back edge of the receding
stratus deck over our eastern counties should cross out of our
area by early evening, yielding clear skies virtually everywhere.

Surface high pressure should settle in across our region, allowing
winds to decouple and slacken significantly. This will provide
for some solid radiational cooling later tonight, sending morning
temperatures well down into the 20s across all but the far
southern southeast counties.

After another chilly day Wednesday, we'll see a nice day to day
temperature rebound Thursday through Saturday, culminating in 60s
over the area on Saturday. For better or worse, this warming trend
will be stopped in its tracks Sunday, as another strong cold front
sweeps southward through our area. Temperatures across our
northern counties will remain locked in the 40s and lower 50s,
while locales south of and east of dfw will struggle into the 60s.

Coincident with the frontal passage will be a quick visit by a
shortwave dropping through the central and southern plains on
Sunday. While we're confident that Sunday will be a cloudy, cool
days, the rainfall potential remains murky. Not all that
impressed by the lift and moisture potential with this system, but
do feel the combination is sufficient to warrant low end chance
pops, mainly across the eastern counties of north texas. Believe
any rainfall will be relatively light, and thunder will be
isolated if it occurs at all.

The outlook for Monday Tuesday doesn't get a whole lot clearer,
unfortunately, due to some inconsistencies between the ECMWF and
gfs solutions at this time step. There'll be enough lift to
justify some low end pops in our southern zones Monday, while a
more generous swath of chance of pops will be in order area-wide
on Tuesday. Right now, this higher confidence on Tuesday is driven
by the scenario of a fast moving southern stream shortwave
zipping through the desert southwest, into texas by Tuesday-
Wednesday. The models aren't in lockstep on this system, but do
show some rough similarities in its handling at this point. This
could very well be subject to change as we proceed through the
rest of the week. Fortunately, temperatures - though remaining
well below normal (at least for highs) - should stay well above
freezing for the first part of next week, eliminating any winter
precipitation concerns for now.

Bradshaw

Preliminary point temps pops
Dallas-ft. Worth 26 46 30 58 40 0 0 0 0 0
waco 25 48 30 59 38 0 0 0 0 0
paris 25 43 27 53 35 0 10 0 0 0
denton 23 46 28 57 38 0 0 0 0 0
mckinney 23 44 28 55 37 0 0 0 0 0
dallas 26 46 31 57 41 0 0 0 0 0
terrell 25 46 29 56 37 0 5 0 0 0
corsicana 27 45 30 56 39 0 0 0 0 0
temple 25 49 30 60 37 0 0 0 0 0
mineral wells 22 47 28 62 38 0 0 0 0 0

Fwd watches warnings advisories
None.

08


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Denton Enterprise Airport, TX15 mi66 minNNW 710.00 miFair28°F19°F69%1034.1 hPa
Gainesville, Gainesville Municipal Airport, TX23 mi64 minN 610.00 miFair28°F19°F72%1034.2 hPa

Wind History from DTO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN14
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1 day agoNE10NE12NE8NE9NE8NE10N10N12N14N13N12
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2 days agoSE8SE6S6SE9S11SE9SE9SE9SE9SE10SE14SE11SE12SE10SE7E5E3E7SE8SE7E7E6NE7NE8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Fort Worth, TX (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.