Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Guadalupe, AZ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:18AMSunset 7:33PM Monday May 29, 2017 8:09 AM MST (15:09 UTC) Moonrise 9:28AMMoonset 11:31PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Guadalupe, AZ
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location: 33.41, -112.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Phoenix, AZ
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Fxus65 kpsr 291100
afdpsr
area forecast discussion
national weather service phoenix az
400 am mst Mon may 29 2017

Updated aviation and fire weather...

Synopsis
Very typical memorial day holiday weather will continue with
afternoon high temperatures climbing into the 90s and lower 100s.

Temperatures will peak on Monday and Tuesday before some cooling
starts during the middle of the week. Scattered mountain storms
will also be possible, mostly for Tuesday and Wednesday.

Discussion
A quiet weather pattern continues for the desert southwest with dry
westerly flow aloft. Regional height rises will continue into Monday
with models indicating h5 heights between 582 to 585dm. This will
translate into very warm temperatures 5 to 8 degrees above seasonal
normals. Memorial day will have a moderate heat risk for much of the
area including phoenix metro, yuma, and EL centro.

Nevertheless, a trough currently located off the california coast
will begin to make its presence known with increasing clouds and
moisture into the area by late Monday evening. The chance for
elevated thunderstorms Monday evening is not substantial but the
threat is greater than zero. Model soundings indicate some
convective available potential energy (cape) over the highest
terrain features north and east of phoenix while ncar ensemble
forecasts show isolated pockets of reflectivity over the mogollon
rim.

Tuesday and Wednesday look to be the best days for elevated
thunderstorms. Increased southeasterly winds in the lowest half of
the atmosphere will draw additional moisture into the area. GFS and
nam model soundings indicate a range of 200 to 600 j kg of cape
over the higher terrain including the rim, white mountains, and
the pinal mountains. Any thunderstorms that do develop will have
the potential for lightning strikes and producing outflow winds
that may pose fire weather concerns for ongoing fire suppression
operations and potential for new fires. Unfortunately,
precipitation amounts with any storms leaves much to be desired
with most model outputs indicating 0.01 of an inch or less of
rain. Additionally, the surface pressure gradient will tighten as
the trough progresses through california which will lead to breezy
conditions for Wednesday afternoon. Gusts 15-25 mph will be
possible, especially along the lower colorado river area and over
the higher elevations in gila county.

Otherwise, temperatures will drop to near seasonal normals for the
middle part of the week before gradually warming as h5 heights
recover. The GEFS indicates h5 heights will return to the 582-586dm
range by the weekend. As such, the temperature forecast was weighted
more towards the upper half of the available guidance.

Aviation
South-central arizona including kphx, kiwa, and ksdl, and
southeast california southwest arizona including kipl and kblh:
little to no aviation impacts through Tuesday morning with only
periodic cirrus CIGS spreading into the region. Sfc winds will
remain light (under 15kt), though the daily wind shift around the
phoenix terminals will likely occur about an hour later than the
past couple days.

Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs.

Fire weather
Wednesday through Sunday:
with temperatures hovering not terribly far from the early june
average, the greatest fire weather threat will be isolated
thunderstorms with little to no measurable rainfall Wednesday over
parts of southern gila county. Drier air will move back over the
districts starting Thursday ending the thunderstorm lightning
threat. Winds will obtain the typical late afternoon breeziness
Wednesday and Thursday with somewhat lighter winds through the
weekend. Minimum humidity levels will fall to around 10% except in a
15-20% range over higher terrain of gila county, as well as lower
elevations of southeast california. Overnight recovery will
generally be fair.

Spotter information statement
Spotter reports should not be needed this week.

Psr watches warnings advisories
Az... None.

Ca... None.

Visit us on facebook, twitter, and at weather.Gov phoenix
discussion... Deemer
aviation... Mo
fire weather... Mo kulhman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Phoenix, Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport, AZ2 mi78 minE 310.00 miA Few Clouds78°F30°F18%1007.4 hPa
Scottsdale Airport, AZ15 mi76 minNW 310.00 miFair74°F37°F26%1007.9 hPa
Glendale, Glendale Municipal Airport, AZ16 mi79 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds75°F33°F22%1010.5 hPa
Chandler, Chandler Municipal Airport, AZ16 mi82 minN 010.00 miFair73°F30°F20%1010.2 hPa
Mesa / Falcon Field, AZ17 mi71 minN 440.00 miClear72°F30°F22%1010.8 hPa
Goodyear Municipal, AZ19 mi82 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds73°F35°F25%1009.8 hPa
Phoenix, Phoenix-Deer Valley Municipal Airport, AZ19 mi76 minE 610.00 miFair78°F25°F14%1007.5 hPa
Phoenix-Mesa Gateway Airport, AZ21 mi2.4 hrsESE 645.00 miClear66°F21°F18%1010.5 hPa
Luke Air Force Base / Phoenix, AZ21 mi2.2 hrsNNW 610.00 miFair68°F31°F26%1007.8 hPa

Wind History from PHX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6SE6Calm4W5W8SE6W63W8W7W7W8CalmW3NW3W5SW4CalmE5E5SE7E3SE10
1 day agoCalmSE6Calm5Calm4W8W13W9SW7SW4W6SW4SW3CalmW9SW6SW3SW4CalmCalmE7E6SE6
2 days agoS11
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W15W10W8SW5W7NW5SE7E7E5E5S3SE5E5SE7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Phoenix, AZ (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Phoenix, AZ
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.