Thursday, November22, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Brook Highland, AL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 4:42PM Thursday November 22, 2018 4:35 AM CST (10:35 UTC) Moonrise 5:41PMMoonset 6:33AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brook Highland, AL
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location: 33.45, -86.71     debug

Area Discussion for - Birmingham, AL
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Fxus64 kbmx 220857
area forecast discussion
national weather service birmingham al
257 am cst Thu nov 22 2018

Short term
Today and tonight.

Looking at radar to our west this morning, it is difficult to stick
with zero pops for the day across the south. However, that is
exactly the plan for the day. Yes that disturbance, short wave is
out there, but models and flow keep the bulk of the moisture to our
south, while disrupting the coverage as the system works into the
drier airmass in place. The only impact to our forecast area will be
in the south, where cloud cover will increase late morning and then
slide east through the afternoon, before clearing tonight. So
temperatures will be a touch cooler south today with the added cloud
cover, but still most of the area will see upper 50s to low 60s for
the day. Clouds will decrease after sunset, only to increase in the
southwest close to sunrise as the next system approaches.


Long term
Friday through Thursday.

We've got a couple of key synoptic features that will drive our
weather for Friday. First, high pressure slides off the carolina
coast and sets up a cold air damming pattern. This will create a
backdoor cold front that moves east to west across central al, which
will influence our sensible weather early Friday morning through the
afternoon hours. Expect noticeably cooler temperatures for afternoon
highs, especially in eastern portions of our area, and mostly dry
conditions due to the drier easterly flow. Second, a deepening
trough through the central plains will push a cold front through the
ms river valley Friday afternoon, approaching central al by the
evening. This will increase rain chances from west to east beginning
after sunset Friday, becoming more widespread just before midnight
and into the overnight hours. By Saturday morning, the front should
be moving through our eastern counties, ending rain chances from
west to east before clearing out of central al completely by
Saturday afternoon. Instability remains minimal with this system, so
i don't expect much in the way of thunderstorms. Temperatures remain
in the upper 40s to low 50s for much of time Friday night into
Saturday morning, so expect a cold rain for any outdoor plans Friday

Low level ridging builds in across the area Saturday afternoon
through Sunday morning ahead of another deepening trough dipping
into the upper plains. Expect a slight warming trend Saturday into
Sunday with partly cloudy skies. Winds shift more southerly by
Sunday as the upper level low becomes closed and lifts a surface low
through the mid ms valley and into midwestern states. A cold front
stretches southward from the surface low and will push through
central al Sunday evening and into the overnight hours. Moisture
return ahead of this system is slow, so i'm not expecting widespread
rain with the Sunday night frontal passage; therefore, i've kept
pops in the 30-40% range.

The cold front is south and east of our area by Monday morning as
the colder and drier air mass sinks in across central al. The upper
level low deepens and becomes generally stationary over the great
lakes region Monday through Wednesday, providing a persistent
northwesterly flow pattern across central al for most of next week.

This will lead to an extended period of below-average temperatures
with low temps and high temps running 5-10 degrees below normal for
this time of year.

25 owen

06z TAF discussion.

Surface high pressure will keepVFR categories dominant this
period. The atmosphere is rather dry and any moisture present is
right at the surface or up high. Many locations are approaching
zero dew point depressions already late this evening, but surface
moisture is ground based. Therefore, some localized ground fog is
possible and may be enhanced near water bodies. Left a short
duration mention of 5sm br for tcl eet mgm toward daybreak.

Otherwise, just cirrus across the skies. Radar shows some echoes
back across louisiana, but the atmosphere is too dry here and the
weak disturbance rides south of here. Winds light northerly to
calm overnight becoming easterly at 5-6kts Thursday afternoon.


Fire weather
A drier airmass has settled over the region, influenced by
surface high pressure. No rain is forecast through Friday morning,
though relative humidity values will remain above critical
thresholds. Rain returns to the area Friday afternoon and evening.

There are no fire weather concerns at this time.

Preliminary point temps pops
Gadsden 60 36 51 44 61 0 0 10 90 40
anniston 60 38 52 45 62 0 0 10 80 40
birmingham 60 40 53 49 64 0 0 10 90 30
tuscaloosa 61 40 56 49 66 0 0 30 90 20
calera 59 39 53 47 64 0 0 10 80 20
auburn 59 38 52 47 63 0 0 10 80 50
montgomery 60 40 56 49 67 0 0 10 80 30
troy 60 40 57 50 67 0 0 10 80 30

Bmx watches warnings advisories

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Birmingham, Birmingham International Airport, AL8 mi42 minN 010.00 miFair36°F33°F89%1026.8 hPa
Alabaster, Shelby County Airport, AL19 mi42 minN 09.00 miFair36°F34°F93%1025.6 hPa

Wind History from BHM (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmN5N11N6NE10N5N10
1 day agoN8NW7N6NW8N11N8NW11N116NW10NW12
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW5SW7SW9SW11W8W8W5NW3N3CalmW4W5W4W6NW9NW7N8NW5N8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Birmingham, AL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Birmingham, AL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.