Wednesday, December12, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ladera Ranch, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 4:45PM Wednesday December 12, 2018 9:33 AM PST (17:33 UTC) Moonrise 11:48AMMoonset 10:40PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ750 Coastal Waters From San Mateo Point To The Mexican Border And Out To 30 Nm- 201 Am Pst Wed Dec 12 2018
Today..Wind se 10 kt in the morning...becoming variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 2 to 4 ft at 12 seconds.
Tonight..Wind variable less than 10 kt...becoming ne 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 2 to 4 ft at 11 seconds.
Thu..Wind E to 10 kt in the morning...becoming variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 2 to 3 ft at 13 seconds.
Thu night..Wind variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 2 to 3 ft at 17 seconds.
Fri..Wind variable less than 10 kt...becoming nw 10 kt with gusts to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 1 to 3 ft at 16 seconds.
Fri night..Wind nw 10 kt. Gusts to 15 kt in the evening. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 1 to 3 ft.
Sat..Wind nw 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..Wind variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..Wind variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..Wind variable less than 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell W 2 to 3 ft.
PZZ700 201 Am Pst Wed Dec 12 2018
Synopsis for the far southern california coast.. At 1 am, a nearly neutral flow pattern over the coastal waters featured a 1019 mb low at the center of a coastal eddy circulation. The eddy will peak this morning then fade late today as offshore flow develops. Offshore flow will peak Thursday. Weak onshore flow returns Friday. Light and variable winds are expected through the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ladera Ranch, CA
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location: 33.52, -117.6     debug


Area Discussion for - San Diego, CA
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Fxus66 ksgx 121709
afdsgx
area forecast discussion
national weather service san diego ca
900 am pst Wed dec 12 2018

Synopsis
A santa ana weather pattern will bring gusty winds to the mountains
and deserts tonight and Thursday. This pattern will bring a warmer
day to the coastal and valleys areas tomorrow, and a cooler day to
the mountains and deserts. The weather will be dry and mild through
the weekend, followed by clouds and perhaps a chance of light rain
Monday as a weak trough moves inland. On Tuesday, high pressure
builds over the southwest for dry, mild weather through Friday.

Discussion For extreme southwestern california including orange...

san diego... Western riverside and southwestern san bernardino
counties...

pockets of early morning low clouds dissipated with the rising sun
today, and the rest of the afternoon will be mostly sunny with
scattered high clouds at times. A shallow marine layer will keep
high temperatures a little below average west of the mountains
today, while the mountains and deserts will be a little above
average.

This temperature regime flip-flops on Thursday with the onset of a
santa ana pattern that will bring warming west of the mountains and
cooling to the mountains and deserts. Coastal and valley highs will
be in the 70s, with 80 degrees possible at some orange county sites
where downslope warming will be the greatest. Mountain highs will in
the 50s, high desert highs in the upper 50s, and lower desert highs
in the upper 60s to low 70s.

As for the winds, a 1040 mb surface high settles over southern
idaho, strong enough to support a period of gusty offshore winds
Thursday morning. This won't be a terribly strong offshore wind
event, but there will be gusts to 45 mph in the windiest santa ana
prone mountains, passes and easterly valleys. The offshore winds
abate Thursday afternoon through Friday morning, with weak onshore
flow returning Friday afternoon.

On Saturday and Sunday a weak trough passes through bringing high
clouds but nothing much more than that. Temperatures will be a
little warmer than average, and winds will be fairly light.

*from previous discussion*
for Monday and Tuesday, the range of solutions among the global
models and their ensemble members has not changed much for the
weak low pressure system that will be in the vicinity of southern
california on Monday. The weaker and more inland solutions would
be mostly dry for southwest california, while the more amplified
solutions briefly close off an upper lower near or just offshore
of the california coast before moving it inland. Given that a
subtropical plume of moisture with precipitable water values
approaching one inch will be directed toward southern california,
there would be greater potential with this scenario for more
widespread precipitation. The intermediate scenario is one with a
cold front and associated precipitation weakening as it moves east
and south of point conception with light precipitation possibly
extending into portions of southwestern california for Monday
afternoon and evening. The current forecast remains closest to
that intermediate scenario.

Aviation
121630z... Coast valleys... Very patchy low clouds and areas of vis 3-
5 sm hz will improve by late morning, withVFR conditions expected
this afternoon. Patchy low clouds, with bases around 1500 ft msl and
tops near 1800 ft msl, may develop along the coast early tonight
before offshore flow develops. Confidence in low clouds affecting
coastal aerodromes tonight is low to moderate.

Mountains deserts... East to northeast surface wind gusts of 30-40 kt
are possible Thu morning along coastal mountain slopes and
foothills. Otherwise, few sct high clouds through the period.

Marine
No hazardous marine weather is expected through Sunday.

Skywarn
Skywarn activation will not be needed today.

Sgx watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... None.

Public... Moede 17
aviation marine... Jjt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46224 - Oceanside Offshore, CA (045) 25 mi34 min 63°F5 ft
46253 31 mi34 min 63°F3 ft
46256 34 mi34 min 62°F3 ft
PRJC1 34 mi46 min E 7 G 8
PFXC1 36 mi46 min E 6 G 7
PFDC1 37 mi46 min ENE 7 G 8
AGXC1 37 mi46 min ENE 7 G 8 1019.8 hPa
PSXC1 37 mi46 min E 4.1 G 6
OHBC1 - 9410660 - Los Angeles, CA 38 mi52 min 62°F1020 hPa
BAXC1 38 mi46 min E 6 G 7
PXAC1 39 mi46 min Calm G 1
46222 - San Pedro, CA (092) 39 mi34 min 62°F4 ft
46225 - Torrey Pines Outer, CA (100) 42 mi34 min 63°F4 ft
46254 48 mi34 min 62°F4 ft
LJAC1 - 9410230 - La Jolla, CA 49 mi52 min ESE 5.1 G 7 62°F1020.1 hPa
LJPC1 - La Jolla, CA (073) 49 mi74 min ESE 7 4 ft

Wind History for Los Angeles Pier J, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Mcolf Camp Pendleton (Red Beach), CA18 mi38 minE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy0°F0°F%1020.3 hPa
John Wayne-Orange County Airport, CA18 mi41 minN 45.00 miMostly Cloudy with Haze59°F53°F81%1019.9 hPa
Oceanside, Camp Pendleton, Marine Corps Air Station, CA20 mi39 minN 07.00 miMostly Cloudy50°F45°F83%1020.4 hPa

Wind History from SNA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr5S5W3W5SW7SW5SW7SW5S3CalmSE3E5Calm3CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmE4E34N4
1 day agoCalm3CalmSW8S6SW5SW3S4S3W3E3NW34CalmE3E5CalmCalmCalmE4CalmE5NE3Calm
2 days agoCalmN3CalmSW7SW6SW4SE3SW4S3CalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for San Clemente, California
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San Clemente
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:59 AM PST     3.40 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:07 AM PST     2.76 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:45 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:47 AM PST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:05 AM PST     4.65 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:43 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:48 PM PST     0.38 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:40 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.33.43.33.12.92.82.83.13.64.14.54.74.54.13.42.51.60.90.50.40.61.11.82.5

Tide / Current Tables for Newport Bay Entrance, Corona del Mar, California
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Newport Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:15 AM PST     3.53 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:12 AM PST     2.94 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:46 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:48 AM PST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:14 AM PST     4.60 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:44 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:56 PM PST     0.43 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:41 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.33.53.53.33.12.933.23.644.44.64.54.13.52.61.81.10.60.40.61.11.72.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for San Diego, CA (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Santa Ana Mtns, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.