Sunday, August20, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Garden City, SC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 7:57PM Sunday August 20, 2017 11:20 AM EDT (15:20 UTC) Moonrise 4:20AMMoonset 6:17PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 953 Am Edt Sun Aug 20 2017
Rest of today..Variable winds 10 kt or less...becoming s. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tonight..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers and
Tue..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft...then 2 to 4 ft after midnight.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft...then 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..SW winds 10 kt...becoming e. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 953 Am Edt Sun Aug 20 2017
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A weak front will stall across the area through today. Bermuda high pressure will remain in place through mid week, and a cold front will approach from the west late in the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Garden City, SC
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location: 33.58, -79     debug

Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 201415
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
1015 am edt Sun aug 20 2017

A weak front will slowly dissipate across the area through tonight.

High pressure will expand across the area from the western atlantic
Monday thru Wednesday, continuing the heat and high humidity. A
modest cold front will approach from the northwest late Wednesday
night. Latest weather models progress this cold front across the
area early Thursday, and off the carolina coasts and well offshore
by late Thursday. Canadian high pressure will ridge across the area
Friday thru Saturday bringing with it a temporary reprieve from the
summer heat and high humidity.

Near term through tonight
As of 1015 am Sunday... A weak front will continue to slowly drift
south across the area and weaken through tonight. The front may push
a little farther south across the coastal waters where it will be
aided by convective outflow. The area of stratus and flog will
continue to erode, however low-level moisture will support
additional clouds during the day. The weak front in the area along
with the main source of lift along the sea breeze justifies chance
pops through the day. Highest pops focused along the coastal areas.

Max temperatures could be tempered by the initial cloud cover across
the area this morning, however should be able to reach 90f along the
coast and the mid 90s far western areas. Lessening chance of
showers thunderstorms tonight with an increasing chance of fog and
stratus. Lows are expected to range from the lower mid 70s inland to
the mid upper 70s at the immediate coast. Otherwise, could see minor
coastal flood thresholds met at downtown wilmington with high tide
this evening.

Short term Monday through Tuesday night
As of 330 am Sunday... Cloudiness and increased potential for
convection will threaten the viewing of the solar eclipse mon
afternoon. The hier chance for convection and associated
cloudiness will exist across the southern ilm CWA and also
across the coastal counties of the ilm cwa. The western atlantic
ridging aloft will expand westward across the fa and to the
gulf coast states. However, a weak inverted trof aloft
extending from the upper low over the central gulf of mexico
early mon, will weaken as it pushes onshore and inland during
mon. The dynamics from this feature combined with sfc features
ie. Sea breeze and whats left of a stalled front, will result in
clouds and chance for convection. Have kept pops in the low
chance category, mainly as mentioned earlier across the southern
ilm CWA and the immediate coast. Have leaned toward the drier
gfs this period which would support a better viewing chance of
the solar eclipse.

For Monday night thru Tue night, the western atlantic ridging
across the fa into the northern gulf of mexico will help keep a
partial lid on convection across the fa. However, not strong
enough to prevent sea breeze and piedmont trof induced
convection Tue afternoon and evening. Pops will remain in the
low chance category. Convection ahead of a cold front late tue
night, will be on the doorsteps of the ilm CWA come daybreak
wed. As for daily MAX min temps this period, both will run
slightly above normal for this time of the year.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday
As of 300 pm Saturday... High pressure will reside just off
shore extending down from off the coast of the mid atlantic
region on tues. At the same time a broad ridge aloft on tues
will be displaced by a trough digging down from the northwest
through mid week. This trough will push a cold front into
the carolinas on Wed reaching the eastern carolinas late wed
into thurs and slowly moving off the coast into fri. The models
show it pushing far south and east to bring drier weather on
Friday into Fri night across the forecast area.

Initially expect moisture convergence along the coast early
tues along periphery of high with some convection along or off
shore becoming enhanced by sea breeze front tues aftn. By
wed, cold front reaches into the carolinas with gradient
tightening ahead of it with moisture pooling over the eastern
carolinas and dynamics aloft on the increase. Pcp water values
will be above 2 inches with convection on the increase ahead of
the front as it drops southeast into the area Wed night into
thurs. Drier air with lower temps expected by weeks end as
front moves off the coast by fri. Looks like we may even see a
decent northeast surge behind front by late fri. As it looks
now, inland should begin to dry out thurs night with moisture
slow to leave the coast on fri.

Temps will start out warm into mid week ahead of the front,
near 90, but will drop off to the mid 80s thurs into Fri as
front pushes south and east.

Aviation 12z Sunday through Thursday
As of 12z... Ifr lifr conditions inland terminals thru 13-14z due
to fg and vv. Coastal terminals will see MVFR from br thru 13z.

All terminals from 14z thru this aftn and evening will seeVFR
conditions. Will see diurnal CU develop by late morning and
persist into the evening in the 3.5k to 5.0k foot levels. Did
not include any tsra with convection coverage overall being
isolated. If anywhere, the sea breeze or the dissipating
stalled front just inland from the coast could provide the lift
for isolated storms. Synoptic winds generally start out from
the ene 5 kt and veer this aftn and evening to the se-s 5 to 10
kt, except around 10 kt across the coastal terminals due to the
aid of the sea breeze or in this case, the resultant wind
boundary. Winds will quickly lower after sunset with most
terminals becoming calm by midnight thru the predawn Mon hrs.

Fog, possibly dense inland, will again make an appearance across
all terminals after 06z.

Extended outlook... Increasing coverage of showers tstms by tue
through wed. Flight restrictions will also be possible each
early morning due to stratus fog wed.

Near term through tonight ...

as of 1015 am Sunday... Scattered convection generally beyond 20
nm offshore will persist through the remainder of the morning.

The pressure gradient is rather light with a weakening front
across the waters north of CAPE fear. Variable wind will be
the rule, until later in the day when weak southerly flow is
expected with the sea breeze developing. Light variable flow
will return tonight with the weak pressure gradient in place
across the waters. Weak surge possible toward morning with
northeasterly flow possible during the early morning hours
around daybreak. Seas 2 to 3 ft expected, outside any areas of

Short term Sunday night through Monday night ...

as of 330 am Sunday... Sfc ridging will extend across the local
waters from the western atlantic high during this period. At the
start of this period, the ridge axis will extend inland north of
the local waters. This will result in E to SE wind directions
during mon. The sfc ridge axis will drop southward across the
local waters Mon night and tue, and by Tue night, this ridge
axis will be south of the local waters, extending inland
vicinity of georgia and northern florida. This will result in
veering wind directions, becoming south Mon night into tue, and
sw Tue night. The sfc pg will remain relaxed Mon thru early tue
with wind speeds 5 to 10 kts. The sfc pg will be in a tightening
phase late Tue thru Tue night ahead of an approaching cold
front. This will yield windspeeds in the 10 to 15 kt range.

Significant seas will initially commence around 2 ft Mon thru
early Tue and increase to 2 to 4 ft late Tue thru Tue night. An
ese, 1 to 2 foot ground swell at 7 to 8 second periods will
initially dominate the seas spectrum. Wavewatch3 and swan models
indicate this dominating swell will increase to 2 to possibly 3
feet with periods also increasing to 9 to 10 seconds Tue thru
tue night.

Long term Tuesday through Thursday ...

as of 300 pm Saturday... Southerly winds around high pressure
extending down from off the mid atlantic coast will become
more SE tues aftn in sea breeze but will remain basically 10
kts or less. Winds will begin to veer and increase out of the
southwest tues night into Wed as a cold front makes its way into
the carolinas tightening the overall pressure gradient. This
front will make it into the eastern carolinas Wed night into
thurs with stiff SW winds continuing ahead of it. The winds will
begin to veer late thurs into Fri as the front makes its way
into and through the waters. Shower and thunderstorm activity
will be on the rise ahead of the front through mid week.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Srp
short term... Dch
long term... Rgz
aviation... Dch

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 7 mi51 min 1018 hPa
NIWS1 - North Inlet-Winyah Bay Reserve, SC 19 mi96 min W 1.9 83°F 1018 hPa79°F
SSBN7 33 mi141 min 2 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 33 mi73 min N 1.9 G 3.9 83°F 85°F1018.2 hPa

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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1 day
2 days

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Myrtle Beach Air Force Base, SC8 mi36 minVar 410.00 miA Few Clouds82°F78°F89%1018.6 hPa
Conway Horry County Airport, SC18 mi46 minENE 35.00 miFair with Haze82°F77°F84%1018.6 hPa
North Myrtle Beach Grand Strand Airport, SC22 mi28 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds85°F78°F80%1018.8 hPa

Wind History from MYR (wind in knots)
Last 24hrS7S12S12S16
1 day agoW8SW7S12S14
2 days agoSE8S10S12SW13S8

Tide / Current Tables for Garden City Pier (ocean), South Carolina
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Garden City Pier (ocean)
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Sun -- 12:54 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:20 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:47 AM EDT     5.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:55 PM EDT     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:10 PM EDT     6.62 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:17 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Little Bull Creek entrance, Bull Creek, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Little Bull Creek entrance
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Sun -- 05:21 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:00 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:16 AM EDT     2.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:08 PM EDT     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:45 PM EDT     3.09 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.