Tuesday, November13, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Stuckey, SC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 5:15PM Tuesday November 13, 2018 11:18 PM EST (04:18 UTC) Moonrise 11:55AMMoonset 10:23PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ256 Coastal Waters From Murrells Inlet To South Santee River Sc Out 20 Nm- 947 Pm Est Tue Nov 13 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from 2 am est Wednesday through Friday afternoon...
Overnight..N winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft. A chance of rain.
Wed..NE winds 20 to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft, building to 5 to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain likely.
Wed night..NE winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Rain.
Thu..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft in the afternoon. Showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, then 3 ft after midnight.
Sat..N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 947 Pm Est Tue Nov 13 2018
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A stationary front will linger along the coast, while weak low pressure moves up the carolina coasts overnight. Unsettled marine conditions will persist into Thursday, followed by drier and cooler weather as high pressure builds in for the weekend. A cold front will move through the area Monday night and bring a surge of cooler air for Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stuckey, SC
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location: 33.6, -79.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 132352
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
652 pm est Tue nov 13 2018

Synopsis
A stationary front will linger along the coast, while weak low
pressure moves up the carolina coasts overnight. Periods of
rain, possibly heavy at times Thursday, will be followed by
drier and cooler weather into the weekend. A cold front will
cross the coast Monday night, bringing a surge of cooler air
next Tuesday and Wednesday.

Near term through Wednesday
As of 645 pm Tuesday... No significant edits were needed for the
early evening updates, only to trim pop values in the very early
going for coastal zones, as it looks to take a little time yet
to get the rain farther east. Rain will fill in along the coast
overnight as shortwave energy edges up the coast, as can be seen
by the activity currently impacting the lower sc coast from
tybee to paris island, although this may become patchy or light
in nature as it arrives in a gradual decaying trend late. T td
and wind look good for the overnight hours, no changes here.

As of 3 pm Tuesday... Weak front stalled along the coast this
afternoon will be joined by a stronger cold front this evening and
overnight. The second front will also end up stalling offshore
overnight as the mid-level patten evolves. Flow aloft increases
tonight and becomes boundary parallel as trough moving into NE tx
starts to close off. This 5h low will be slow to track east across
the lower ms valley on wed. Overnight, southwest flow aloft will
gradually increase while at the low levels surface high starts
building in from the northwest. Isentropic lift gradually increases
overnight but not expecting a lot of measurable rain overnight,
instead think drizzle and mist are more likely. Cold advection will
drop overnight temps into the mid 40s for most areas as the wedge
sets up.

Fronts remain stacked up off the coast overnight into wed
(eventually becoming a single entity). All indication are the wedge
will hold on into Wed evening as the 5h low develops a surface wave
into a closed low over the NE gulf of mexico or central fl. The low
starts moving northeast, along the coast as the period ends.

Isentropic lift continues slowly increasing tomorrow into tomorrow
evening and forecast soundings suggest at least some rain showers
around during the day. Precip coverage is likely to be limited by
the relatively weak nature of the lift and periods of both mid and
low level dry air. Clouds and continued northeast flow cold
advection will keep highs below climo wed, although along the coast
timing the onshore movement of the front will be tricky. Inland
areas will stay in the upper 40s to around 50 but along the
immediate coast there exists potential for late day highs into the
60s, if the front moves onshore early. Current forecast does not
call for this to happen, but the potential, while low, is there.

Short term Wednesday night through Thursday night
As of 300 pm Tuesday... A closed mid upper-level low will lift
up and across the mississippi river and ohio river valleys
through the period. Deep moisture from the gulf of mexico will
surge northward across the carolinas ahead of this feature.

Upper-level diffluence will enhance lift primarily on the west
side of the surface front to produce widespread rainfall
Wednesday night into Thursday. Current QPF projections are for
areal average of 1-1.5" inches of rain over most of the
forecast area during the period. The quasi-stationary frontal
boundary will waver along the coast as a surface low rides up
the coastline Wednesday night, and depending on exact timing and
location, portions of coastal counties may experience a predawn
surge in temps before the low moves north and winds become
northwest. Rain will taper off from southwest to northeast on
Thursday, with high temperatures ranging from around 50 inland
to the 60s at the beaches. Again, depending on exact location of
the front Thursday morning, the high temperatures along the
coast may be realized in the early morning. The atmospheric column
will dry out rather abruptly Thursday afternoon above 850 mb,
but lingering low-level moisture is expected to result in some low
cloudiness hanging on well into Thursday night, before beginning
to clear west to east before dawn Friday.

Long term Friday through Tuesday
As of 300 pm Tuesday... Zonal flow aloft will usher surface high
pressure from the gulf coast states into the area Friday-
Saturday. Sunday into Monday, the high will slide off to the
northeast as a trough digs across the great lakes and into the
mid-atlantic region. High temps by Sunday and Monday should
reach the low-mid 60s before a cooler airmass arrives Monday
night, setting the stage for highs in the mid-upper 50s for
Tuesday. See no significant chance for precipitation during the
period.

Aviation 00z Wednesday through Sunday
As of 00z... Moderate to high confidence ifr will persist at
kflo klbt this TAF valid period. Lifr may become less likely
overnight and Wednesday morning at kflo klbt, but should return
late in the TAF period. Ifr will be likely at kcre kmyr this taf
period. Kilm will have periods of ifr but should remain MVFR
for the most part after 08z.

Extended outlook... MVFR ifr continuing through Wed and thurs
as another low pressure system lifts across the southeast
through mid week, leaving unsettled weather. Drier,VFR
conditions Friday into the weekend.

Marine
Near term through tonight ...

as of 3 pm Tuesday... Once SCA comes to an end but another has been
issued for the overnight through Wed night period. Following passage
of second cold front this evening (which will also stall just east
of the waters) cold advection and pinched gradient will conspire to
increase wind speeds to 20 to 25 kt by Wed morning. Prior to winds
exceeding 25 kt seas will build as northerly flow kicks up, with
seas at or above 6 ft by daybreak. Winds and seas will remains above
sca thresholds through the end of the period. May see a few gusts
approaching gale force but at this point it looks like gale force
winds will occur north of the area, where water temps are a little
warmer and the gradient is a little more defined. However, cannot
rule out upgrade to gale warning with a later issuance.

Short term Wednesday night through Thursday night ...

as of 300 pm Tuesday... Northeast flow will be ongoing Wednesday
evening, with a surface wedge of high pressure inland and a weak
low riding up the south carolina coast. Solid small craft
advisory conditions will be in place. Winds will shift in the
predawn hours Thursday morning as the low crosses the waters,
becoming w-nw by 18z, and rain will taper off during the
afternoon. Mixing down of higher wind speeds on Thursday will
yield gusts to 30 knots, which look to persist through most of
Thursday night.

Long term Friday through Sunday ...

as of 300 pm Tuesday... High pressure will build over the waters
through the period. It will take a little while for winds seas
to drop below small craft advisory thresholds, but this should
happen by early Friday afternoon. NW winds Friday will become
more northerly Saturday and Sunday, and the pressure gradient
will weaken as the high settles just north of the waters.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 2 am Wednesday to 1 pm est Friday
for amz250-252-254-256.

Synopsis... Crm 8
near term... Iii 8
short term... Crm
long term... Crm
aviation... Mrr


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NIWS1 - North Inlet-Winyah Bay Reserve, SC 22 mi94 min N 5.1 60°F 1021 hPa59°F

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Georgetown County Airport , SC21 mi24 minN 310.00 miOvercast57°F55°F94%1020.7 hPa
Conway Horry County Airport, SC23 mi44 minN 45.00 miFog/Mist55°F55°F100%1021 hPa
Kingstree Williamsburg Regional Airport, SC24 mi24 minN 010.00 miLight Drizzle54°F51°F94%1021.7 hPa

Wind History from GGE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3W3CalmW4CalmNW5W6NW4NW4CalmNW3W5NW6NE5NW3
1 day agoN7N4N4N3NE5NE6N6N4NE7NE7NE6N4N5N4N6NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3S6S4
2 days agoN5N5N5N5N7N7N5N7N7N6N8N9N6NE6N3N5N6CalmN5N5N4NE4N4N6

Tide / Current Tables for Rhems, Black Mingo Creek, Black River, South Carolina
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Rhems
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Tue -- 05:13 AM EST     1.73 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:47 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:29 AM EST     1.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:54 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:16 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:48 PM EST     1.99 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:23 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.21.41.51.71.71.71.61.41.31.11.11.11.21.41.71.8221.91.81.61.41.3

Tide / Current Tables for Mt. Pleasant Plantation, Black River, South Carolina
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Mt. Pleasant Plantation
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Tue -- 04:51 AM EST     1.77 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:47 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:20 AM EST     1.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:54 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:16 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:26 PM EST     2.04 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:23 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.21.41.61.71.81.71.61.41.31.11.11.11.31.51.81.9221.91.81.61.41.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.