Sunrise 6:27 AM   Sunset 7:59 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM   Moonset 9:34 AM

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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 947 Am Edt Mon Apr 29 2024
Rest of today - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 6 seconds and E 2 ft at 10 seconds. Tonight - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 6 seconds and E 2 ft at 10 seconds. Tue - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 9 seconds. Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 10 seconds. A chance of showers after midnight. Wed - SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 ft at 12 seconds. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 ft at 11 seconds. A chance of showers in the evening. Thu - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Thu night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fri night - SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 947 Am Edt Mon Apr 29 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - High pressure will anchor off the southeastern us coast this week. A decaying cold front will move through the region on Tuesday night. High pressure returns Wednesday through Friday.

FXUS62 KILM 291723 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 120 PM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

SYNOPSIS
Today remains dry and sunny due to offshore high pressure. An upper level disturbance will lead to shower and storm chances late Tuesday and Wednesday. Dry and sunny weather returns Thursday and Friday. From there, a cold front approaches the area, bringing chances for showers and storms by the weekend.


UPDATE/
No changes to the forecast this morning.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Surface high will remain parked off the coast as ridging at 850/700/500 mb slowly shifts offshore later today into tonight.
Subsidence and dry air will keep the region dry with minimal cloud cover. Temperatures will be near to a little above climo with the sea breeze keeping coastal sites a bit cooler. Main forecast concern for today will be morning fog and enhanced onshore flow following the passage of the sea breeze. Boundary layer winds will be stronger tonight into Tuesday morning and fog will be less of a concern, although patchy fog will still be possible inland. Lows tonight will end up several degrees above climo.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Cloud cover continues to increase Tuesday ahead of a shortwave aloft approaching the area. A few isolated showers are possible inland later in the day as some of the better forcing arrives.
This shortwave deepens and becomes quite the little trough pattern as it pushes eastward and offshore Tuesday night through Wednesday. Upper forcing looks much better here, and there's a very subtle coastal trough forming nearby. This creates more robust shower and thunderstorm chances. SBCAPE looks to eclipse above 1000 J/kg by Wednesday afternoon, coinciding with pretty good low-level lapse rates and DCAPE between 500-1000 J/kg.
Considering the decent bulk shear, this indicates some good downdrafts in thunderstorms, but some pieces are missing. Lapse rates aloft are quite pedestrian, which is not much of a surprise around here. Wind and hail could be a factor with some storms, but nothing suggests much of a severe threat.

Rain chances taper off Wednesday night as the shortwave pushes offshore. Highs each day in the low-to-mid 80s. Lows in the lower 60s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Mid-level ridging sets in Thursday and Friday, which brings overall quiet weather here. A dry cold front will try to drop southward into the area Thursday morning, but it may not make it all the way here. Even if it does, no rain chances here. A weak Piedmont trough sets up inland, which will try to squeeze out an isolated shower or two Thursday and Friday, but dry air aloft and good subsidence will likely eliminate this idea. Highs each day in the low-to-mid 80s, lows in the lower 60s.

Shower and thunderstorm chances increase by the weekend, as a cold front approaches and may stall across the area by Sunday.
Temperatures remain locked in where they have been.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VFR through the period as high pressure keeps skies clear and atmosphere seems to stay mixed enough overnight to preclude fog. In fact the only FM groups will be to address the diurnal change in wind speeds and also introduce an increase in cloudiness tomorrow.

Extended Outlook...VFR will dominate. MVFR/IFR visibility possible each morning around daybreak. Shower/thunderstorm impacts at all terminals possible Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday evening.

MARINE
Through Tonight...Surface high off the coast maintains southerly flow today and tonight. Sea breeze will lead to enhancement of winds nearshore with a bit more of an onshore component.
Nearshore gusts of 15-20 kt will be possible in the afternoon and early evening before the sea breeze circulation breaks down.
Seas will run 2-3 ft with occasional 4 ft away from shore. Seas will be a mix of an easterly swell and a southerly wind wave.

Tuesday through Friday...SSW to SW winds at 5-10kts are accompanied with 2-3ft seas through Wednesday. Shortwave trough aloft moves offshore Wednesday night, allowing winds to veer westerly, then northerly by Thursday morning, then ESE Thursday afternoon through Friday. Seas steadily drop down to 1-2ft.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Bucksport
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:32 AM EDT     2.48 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:39 AM EDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:48 PM EDT     1.95 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:30 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bucksport, Waccamaw River, South Carolina, Tide feet

Socastee Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:35 AM EDT     2.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:32 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:51 PM EDT     1.69 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:23 PM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Socastee Bridge, ICWW, South Carolina, Tide feet

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