Thursday, March23, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Bucksport, SC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 7:31PM Thursday March 23, 2017 12:19 PM EDT (16:19 UTC) Moonrise 3:19AMMoonset 2:08PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 1135 Am Edt Thu Mar 23 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until 5 pm edt this afternoon...
Rest of today..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tonight..E winds 15 to 20 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft...subsiding to 2 to 3 ft after midnight.
Fri..E winds 10 kt...becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Fri night..SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sat night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Mon..SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
AMZ200 1135 Am Edt Thu Mar 23 2017
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Canadian high pressure will build southward into the mid-atlantic states through Thursday, then will move offshore for the weekend. A weak cold front will approach the waters on Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bucksport, SC
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location: 33.65, -79.1     debug

Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 231215
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
815 am edt Thu mar 23 2017

Temperatures will run below normal through early Friday as cool
high pressure holds across the area. A warming trend will begin
Friday afternoon through the weekend, as a low pressure system
slowly approaches from the west. This system will bring a chance
of rain late in the weekend, followed by another system Monday
into Tuesday.

Near term /through tonight/
As of 815 am Thursday... Have cancelled the freeze warning as
temperatures are on the rise and now above freezing everywhere.

No other changes to the near term forecast. Relevant portion of
previous discussion from earlier this morning follows:
today will be slightly warmer (less cold) than previously
though even if by 2-3 degrees. Even so, highs a few degrees
within 60 are still about a good 10 degrees below climatology.

Our light NE to E winds will veer to SE as the day wears on as
high pressure to our north progresses eastward. This trend lasts
into tonight and the addition of moisture may lead to some fog
along coastal areas.

Short term /Friday through Saturday night/
As of 3 am Thursday... Primary headline this period is a notable
warming trend after a nippy start daybreak Friday. High
pressure migrating offshore Friday and strong low pressure
churning toward the central mississippi valley will bring a
robust warm air advection regime, with low to mid 70s looking
like a good bet both Friday and Saturday. This will bring low
temperatures Saturday morning 12-16 degrees milder compared to
Friday morning. Minimal or no rain chances this period however
until after Saturday. The atmospheric column will remain quite
dry above 800 millibars both days, with periods of cumulus in
the cards Friday afternoon through Saturday.

Long term /Sunday through Wednesday/
As of 3 am Thursday... Rain chances are best inland Sunday as a
low pressure system swerves north, well west of the coast. A
warm and humid day Sunday all areas, well into the 70s, if not a
few 80s depending on cloud cover extent, even ceiling breaks
could warm the air quickly. A rumble of thunder is possible and
favored inland. A few low pressure centers beneath short-waves
will sustain low end rain chances Monday into Tuesday. QPF looks
quite low but hopefully enough to knock a little pollen out of
the sky and pines. No cold air on the horizon and temperatures
overall appear to run above normal through the extended period.

Aviation /12z Thursday through Monday/
As of 12z...VFR all terminals through the TAF valid period with
cool and dry high pressure overhead.

Extended outlook... Fog possible Thursday night. OtherwiseVFR.

Near term /through tonight/...

as of 815 am Thursday... Small craft advisory remains in effect
with no changes. Latest obs show seas in the 5 to 6 ft range
with NE winds of around 20 kts. Previous discussion from earlier
this morning follows:
though winds have tapered inland they continue to be breezy
along the beaches and still downright howling over the coastal
waters. As such a small craft advisory continues. The gradient
will abate today albeit quite gradually and conditions will
remain unfit for most recreational mariners for most of the day.

In fact with conditions so slow to abate and seas lagging as
they always do we may need a short-lived scec headline after the
advisory ends this evening into early tonight. But later
tonight conditions will fall below any thresholds, though some
choppy 4 or occasional 5 ft seas will linger and many mariners
may want to put off boating until the much quieter short term.

Short term /Friday through Saturday/...

as of 3 am Thursday... A veering wind trend this period but
manageable as high pressure slips offshore. Winds Friday and
Saturday 15 kt or less, except a few higher gusts near shore in
the afternoon as the sea breeze gears up. Seas 3 feet or less
mainly in SE waves every 6-7 seconds. No tstms expected this
period nor obstructions to visibility. A light to moderate chop
for both days.

Long term /Sunday through Monday/...

as of 3 am Thursday... No advisories are expected Sunday and
Monday but seas may approach 4 feet since southerly flow remains
persistent. Isolated marine showers can be expected this period
but tstms if any would be confined to the gulf stream if at all.

Seas 3-4 feet mainly in SE waves between 7-10 second intervals
with a moderate chop. The warm land temps will support a sea
breeze so expected gusts near 20 kt near shore in the afternoon

Ilm watches/warnings/advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt this afternoon for amz250-

Synopsis... Mjc
near term... Rek/mbb
short term... Mjc
long term... Mjc
aviation... Rek
marine... Mjc/rek/mbb

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 10 mi50 min 1034.4 hPa
NIWS1 - North Inlet-Winyah Bay Reserve, SC 21 mi95 min NE 17 50°F 1033 hPa39°F
SSBN7 35 mi110 min 2 ft

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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1 day
2 days

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Myrtle Beach Air Force Base, SC9 mi35 minE 13 G 1810.00 miFair54°F35°F51%1035.2 hPa
Conway Horry County Airport, SC12 mi25 minNE 67.00 miFair52°F26°F38%1035.2 hPa
North Myrtle Beach Grand Strand Airport, SC23 mi27 minENE 9 G 1510.00 miFair54°F30°F42%1034.8 hPa

Wind History from MYR (wind in knots)
Last 24hrN18N17N15E15SE14E10E13E13
1 day agoSW9--S12S13S13S13S10S9S10S10S5S4W18
2 days ago--S10S14S15S15S11S10S10S10SW6SW6SW5SW6SW7SW8SW5SW4SW6W7W7SW8SW8W9W10

Tide / Current Tables for Bucksport, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Thu -- 03:16 AM EDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:20 AM EDT     2.16 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:08 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:06 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:32 PM EDT     2.01 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Wachesaw Landing, Waccamaw River, South Carolina
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Wachesaw Landing
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Thu -- 02:23 AM EDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:08 AM EDT     2.66 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:08 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:13 PM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:20 PM EDT     2.48 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.