Sunday, May19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Forestbrook, SC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:10AMSunset 8:13PM Sunday May 19, 2019 6:51 AM EDT (10:51 UTC) Moonrise 8:10PMMoonset 5:55AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ254 Coastal Waters From Little River Inlet To Murrells Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 642 Am Edt Sun May 19 2019
Today..S winds 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 ft.
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Tue..SW winds 10 kt, becoming se. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers through the day.
Wed..E winds 10 kt, becoming se. Seas 2 ft.
Thu..S winds 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
AMZ200 642 Am Edt Sun May 19 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure will linger offshore this week, resulting in an extended period of southwest winds, warm temperatures, and manageable seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Forestbrook, SC
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location: 33.74, -78.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 190748
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
348 am edt Sun may 19 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will linger offshore through the end of the week.

Warmer and an increasingly more humid airmass will evolve with
time. Rainfall chances through the end of next week be be very
limited and most areas will remain hot and dry.

Near term through tonight
As of 330 am Sunday... Latest sfc analysis shows 1021 mb high
pressure centered well offshore with a frontal boundary positioned
north of the local area. Not much change in the overall pattern
expected today through Monday, with upper-level ridging along the
eastern seaboard and the surface high remaining offshore. With
mainly a persistence forecast and the fact that model guidance was a
tad low on temps yesterday, went a bit higher than guidance
today... Still expecting highs ranging from the low mid 80s at the
immediate coast to the low mid 90s inland. Kept a dry forecast under
a mostly sunny sky. Very small chance again for fog tonight, with
low temps in the mid upr 60s under a mostly partly clear sky. Small
chance for rain over inland areas returns Monday. Think guidance is
still too wet, and with ridging in place and not much moisture to
work with capped pops at 20% across the area. High temps will range
from the low mid 80s immediate coast to the low 90s inland.

Short term Monday through Monday night
As of 3 am Sunday... Shortwave crossing the top of the weakening 5h
ridge centered over the gulf of mexico will push a weak trough
across the area Mon night. Trough will be accompanied by an increase
in mid-level moisture and could generate a few isolated showers
early Mon night. Weak backdoor cold front settles into the area on
tue, but what little cool air is around lags the front. Cooler air
is not likely to arrive until Tue night or Wed at this point. Could
see an isolated shower along the front during peak heating, likely
in conjunction with the sea breeze. Not a lot of moisture available,
limiting coverage of any showers that do develop to slight chance at
most. Bulk of the region will remain dry. Highs Tue will be in the
mid 80s at the coast to lower 90s inland. Warmer lows Mon night,
with upper 60s to lower 70s. Temps drop a bit for Tue night as
cooler air arrives, lows in the low to mid 60s.

Long term Tuesday through Saturday
As of 3 am Sunday... The middle to end of the week portion of the
forecast will be marked by building mid-level ridge and surface high
sliding off the coast. Best rainfall chances will be Wed with weak
backdoor front in the region. By Fri the ridge strengths and mid-
level subsidence and dry air aloft become overpowering.

-weak cold front moves in from the north Wed then dissipates on thu.

-an isolated shower is possible along the front or sea breeze
wed afternoon and evening.

-temperatures near climo Wed rise above to well above climo thu
through Sat with highs in the mid to upper 90s possible.

Aviation 08z Sunday through Thursday
As of 06z... Dry and predominatelyVFR through the TAF period.

South southwest winds 5 to 10 kt, with higher gusts after 18z.

High surface moisture could lead to patchy fog but confidence in
vsby restrictions at terminals is low attm.

Extended outlook... PredominatelyVFR continues through mid week
as high pressure dominates. Slight chance of brief MVFR
conditions each morning from low stratus and or fog.

Marine
As of 330 am Sunday... Sub-small craft advisory conditions this week
with surface high pressure positioned offshore and a fairly stagnant
weather pattern. Winds avg 10-15 out of the S through Monday, with 2
ft seas increasing to 3 ft late Monday. Just expecting 4-5 second
s SW wind wave with a lack of swell.

Southwest winds of 10 to 15 kt Mon night and Tue will become
northeast late Tue night into early Wed as weak cold front to the
north moves across the waters. Speeds drop below 10 kt Tue night as
the front passes, with northeast flow around 10 kt becoming onshore
wed afternoon as the sea breeze and high shifting off the coast work
to veer winds to onshore. Southerly flow develops Thu with
strengthening piedmont trough and high pressure offshore pinching
the gradient and increasing speeds near 15 kt. Seas will be at or
below 3 ft Mon night through the middle of the week. Highest seas
expected Mon night followed by a slow but steady downward trend.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Mas
short term... Iii
long term... Iii
aviation... Mas


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 6 mi33 min 71°F
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 25 mi43 min SW 7.8 G 14 73°F 75°F1018.4 hPa
NIWS1 - North Inlet-Winyah Bay Reserve, SC 30 mi66 min W 2.9 71°F 1017 hPa69°F
41108 49 mi51 min 74°F2 ft

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Myrtle Beach Air Force Base, SC3 mi55 minSW 410.00 miFair71°F68°F90%1018.6 hPa
North Myrtle Beach Grand Strand Airport, SC12 mi58 minN 02.00 miFog/Mist69°F69°F100%1018.2 hPa
Conway Horry County Airport, SC12 mi76 minN 07.00 miFair61°F60°F100%1018.3 hPa

Wind History from MYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--W7SW10W5S7S11S10S12S13S14S13
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SW10SW8SW7SW8SW7SW8SW9SW8SW8

Tide / Current Tables for Myrtle Beach, Combination Bridge, ICWW, South Carolina
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Myrtle Beach
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Sun -- 06:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:59 AM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:36 AM EDT     1.91 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:02 PM EDT     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.32.11.71.20.70.2-0.2-0.300.71.41.81.91.71.410.50.1-0.2-0.4-0.10.61.42

Tide / Current Tables for Myrtle Beach (Springmaid Pier), South Carolina
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Myrtle Beach (Springmaid Pier)
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:32 AM EDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:26 AM EDT     5.15 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:33 PM EDT     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:55 PM EDT     6.38 feet High Tide
Sun -- 09:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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20.5-0.4-0.40.41.73.24.45.154.33.11.70.4-0.3-0.40.41.83.4566.45.94.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.