Marine Weather and Tides
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|Sunrise 7:03AM||Sunset 7:11PM||Sunday September 23, 2018 7:57 AM EDT (11:57 UTC)||Moonrise 5:45PM||Moonset 4:29AM||Illumination 98%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Calabash, NCHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus62 kilm 231036|
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
638 am edt Sun sep 23 2018
High pressure will prevail through early next week. An upper
trough approaching from the west, will gradually push a cold
front this way, reaching our coast Friday. Drier and slightly
cooler high pressure is expected build in next weekend.
Near term through tonight
As of 400 am Sunday... Deep layer high pressure will continue
to dominate conditions through the near term period. The ridge
is keeping the bulk of the activity associated with a wavering
front across the mississippi valley at bay well to the west.
This front is analyzed across central north carolina with a
subtle wind shift essentially the only indicator. As for any
showers, there is a slim possibility of a shower or two along
this boundary this afternoon and maybe a little atlantic
activity advecting in early Monday morning. Continued to lean
toward the met numbers for temperatures although guidance is in
really good agreement overall.
Short term Monday through Tuesday night
As of 400 am Sunday... 1040mb high centered over SE canada will
ridge down the eastern seaboard thru tue. A cold front tries to
drop south to the CWA but gets hung up north of the fa tue
before being pushed back to the north. Various model mos
guidance pop forecasts range from isolated chance via the nam,
to a modest to good chance via the gfs. And, the european
basically smack in the middle. At this point, will lean toward
the drier side of guidance given the progged moisture advection
at all levels remaining humbling at best. With a drier fcst,
will lean towards hier MAX temp fcsts.
Long term Wednesday through Saturday
As of 320 pm Saturday... Bermuda to bahama upper ridge will be
holding on Tuesday and Wednesday before shifting east, as an
upstream and broad upper trough, and associated its axis, edge
eastward across the mississippi valley. It appears the trough is
of sufficient latitudinal amplification to bring a moderate
degree of 925-700mb gulf moisture pluming NE ahead of a slowly
approaching cold front. As such, rain chances ramp up a bit
Thursday and Friday. The cold front to cross the coast Friday
night. The front may be slowly clearing the sc coast into
Saturday, and overall, drier and slightly cooler air should
filter in Saturday.
Aviation 12z Sunday through Thursday
As of 12z... Some ground fog possible through 13z. High pressure
prevails once again with light winds and above normal temperatures.
An onshore winds is expected by midday with scattered cu, mainly
along the resultant. Tonight, an onshore shower is possible after
Extended outlook... MostlyVFR through this period. However,|
flight restrictions are possible in late night early morning
fog stratus each day. And brief flight restrictions are
possible within showers thunderstorms Sunday through Tuesday,
especially during the afternoon evening hours.
Near term through tonight ...
as of 400 am Sunday... Benign conditions will continue across
the coastal waters through the period. Expect mostly an
easterly flow overall with a little bend to the south this
afternoon along coastal areas with the sea breeze. Speeds will
perhaps be a couple of knots higher than previous days but
overall confined in a 10-15 knot range. Significant seas will
be 2-3 feet.
Short term Monday through Tuesday night ...
as of 400 am Sunday... Modest 1035+ mb sfc ridging will extend
down the eastern seaboard and across the carolinas at the start
of this period. Winds will run from the NE to E at 10 to 15 kt
with gusts to 20 kt. For Tuesday thru Tuesday night, a trof or
sfc low well offshore and southeast of the carolinas is progged
to move northwestward then northward Tue night, remaining just
offshore as it passes by Wed morning. The sfc low or trof will
have some tropical characteristics, but is not expected to
further organize. Winds could temporarily increase to 10 to 20
kt with g25 mainly from Mon into Tue aftn. Significant seas will
range between 2 to 5 ft thruout this period with 6 footers not
out of the question for late Mon night thru tue. The waters from
cape fear northward will have the best potential to see the
6+ footers. Dominate periods will run 8+ seconds. Overall, the
hier winds and seas will occur along and to the north thru east
of the sfc low's track.
Long term Wednesday through Thursday ...
as of 320 pm Saturday... Weak tropical low pressure, or possibly
just a surface trough will approach the carolina coasts late
Tuesday night, dissipating as it lifts to the north across the
nc outer banks Wednesday. Well established SW wind flow will
follow in wake of this feature Thursday. As the low nears
Tuesday, we may see gusty NE winds and elevated seas, so an sca
or scec possible at this time Tuesday. Tuesday onward, isolated
tstms can be expected to impact the 0-20nm waters.
Ilm watches warnings advisories
Nc... Coastal flood warning until 1 pm edt this afternoon for ncz107.
near term... Shk
short term... Dch
long term... Mjc
Weather Reporting StationsEDIT (on/off)  Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
|Stations||Dist||Age||Wind||Air Temp||Water Temp||Waves||Pressure||DewPt|
|41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2)||5 mi||49 min||NNE 7.8 G 7.8||75°F||82°F||1019.1 hPa|
|SSBN7||5 mi||117 min||1 ft|
|41108||31 mi||27 min||81°F||2 ft|
|WLON7||41 mi||45 min||71°F||78°F||1018.3 hPa|
|NIWS1 - North Inlet-Winyah Bay Reserve, SC||48 mi||72 min||NNW 4.1||72°F||1018 hPa||71°F|
|JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC||48 mi||39 min||74°F||83°F||1018.7 hPa|
|41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC||49 mi||27 min||80°F||3 ft|
|41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC||49 mi||49 min||N 5.8 G 9.7||76°F||81°F|
Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC(wind in knots) EDIT (on/off)  Help
Airport ReportsEDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports
|North Myrtle Beach Grand Strand Airport, SC||9 mi||64 min||NE 3||10.00 mi||Fair||70°F||69°F||97%||1018.1 hPa|
|Myrtle Beach Air Force Base, SC||22 mi||61 min||N 3||10.00 mi||Fair||71°F||69°F||94%||1018.4 hPa|
Wind History from CRE (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||N||NE||NE||NE||N||NE||E||E||E||SE||SE||SE||SE||E||E||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm|
|2 days ago||NE||NE||E||E||E||SE||E||E|
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GOES Local Image of EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (7,2,3,4)(on/off)  Help
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