Thursday, June20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Rayle, GA

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 8:49PM Thursday June 20, 2019 9:05 AM EDT (13:05 UTC) Moonrise 10:34PMMoonset 8:13AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rayle, GA
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location: 33.86, -82.89     debug


Area Discussion for - Peachtree City, GA
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Fxus62 kffc 201126
afdffc
area forecast discussion
national weather service peachtree city ga
726 am edt Thu jun 20 2019

Prev discussion issued 330 am edt Thu jun 20 2019
short term today through Friday ...

well you can just about throw out the hi res guidance for today as
none has really handled the current situation very well. With each
run, they try to kill off activity to the west and although it has
weakened, it is unlikely given CAPE distribution that it will
dissipate entirely as many of the guidance members try to do. So,
have gone with the manual method for the most part today indicating
likely pops for the western tier early this morning, transitioning
to mid range scattered as it progresses through the forecast area by
mid morning.

The real question will be how does this initial activity affect
additional development this afternoon. I do believe we will see a
stabilizing influence behind this first wave this morning but it
will be so early that we should destabilize once again by
afternoon. Additional strong shortwave moving from the NW should
initiate another line across north central ga and progress into
the remainder of the forecast area by late afternoon into the
evening hours. This one could have a little more punch with it
allowing for some strong to isolated severe activity.

Dry conditions with some building mid level heights in store for
the remainder of the short term period. Do have some slight chance
pops for SW potions but even that could be asking alot given drop
in deep layer moisture. Temps will be quite warm Friday with mid
90s for central ga and heat indices in excess of 100.

Deese
long term Friday night through Wednesday ...

more typical summertime conditions are expected for much of the long
term period with a mostly diurnal convection pattern.

While the upper ridge builds, models are struggling handling
potential meso convective complexes over the weekend and these will
just need to be monitored for potential rain chances.

A more organized short wave looks to enhances rain chances Monday
into Tuesday.

All in all, temperatures are favoring several degrees above normal
through much of the long term period.

Bdl

Aviation
12z update...

much uncertainty today regarding tsra chances and timing as
first complex has already moved through. Reformation is likely
this afternoon requiring a tempo for tsra but some indications
that this reformation could take place south of the atl terminals.

Winds will be an issue today with gusts approaching 25 kts at
times at atl and have included gusts for all sites with latest
issuance.

Atl confidence... 12z update...

medium on tsra timing.

High on remaining elements.

Deese

Preliminary point temps pops
Athens 89 69 92 71 70 30 5 10
atlanta 88 70 91 73 70 40 10 10
blairsville 80 62 84 64 50 50 10 30
cartersville 87 68 91 71 70 30 10 20
columbus 94 73 94 75 70 60 20 10
gainesville 85 68 89 71 60 30 5 20
macon 94 72 95 73 60 60 20 5
rome 87 67 91 71 70 30 20 20
peachtree city 90 69 92 71 70 40 10 10
vidalia 95 74 95 76 70 70 10 5

Ffc watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... Deese
long term... .Bdl
aviation... Deese


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CHDS1 - Strom Thurmond Dam, SC 39 mi46 min S 1 G 14 79°F
LMFS1 - Lake Murray SC 87 mi46 min WSW 11 G 15 79°F 1009.5 hPa

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Washington, Washington-Wilkes County Airport, GA7 mi71 minSW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy73°F71°F94%1011.2 hPa
Greensboro, Greene County Regional Airport, GA22 mi71 minSW 610.00 miOvercast77°F73°F89%1011.5 hPa
Athens, Athens Airport, GA24 mi75 minWSW 510.00 miOvercast75°F71°F88%1010.5 hPa

Wind History from IIY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW4W4SW5SW6SW5W3S4S4NE3SW5SW3S3SW4CalmCalmSW3SW3SW3SW4SW3SW4SW6SW4SW6
G14
1 day ago------------SE5S6--NW5NW8S3SE3CalmCalmCalmSW3S3SW4SW4SW4CalmS3SW3
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Peachtree City, GA (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Greer, SC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.