Friday, January19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Caswell Beach, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 5:31PM Friday January 19, 2018 6:31 AM EST (11:31 UTC) Moonrise 8:52AMMoonset 8:00PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ252 Coastal Waters From Cape Fear Nc To Little River Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 625 Am Est Fri Jan 19 2018
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NW winds 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft in the morning, then 1 to 2 ft.
Sun night..S winds 10 kt or less, becoming se after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Mon..SE winds 10 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft, then 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, subsiding to 2 to 3 ft.
AMZ200 625 Am Est Fri Jan 19 2018
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure will migrate slowly across the southeast, moving offshore on Sunday. A cold front will approach from the west Monday night, moving offshore during Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Caswell Beach, NC
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location: 33.9, -78.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 191045
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
547 am est Fri jan 19 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will migrate across the southeast through the
weekend shifting off the coast by early next week, bringing a
warming trend and maintaining dry weather. A cold front will
bring increasing rain chances late Monday into Tuesday. Slightly
cooler temperatures will follow this front, but are expected to
remain at or above seasonable levels.

Near term through tonight
As of 300 am Friday... High pressure will migrate slowly across
the southeast through tonight. The center will remain south,
maintaining a light w-sw flow. The flow aloft will remain fairly
zonal, although a shortwave will begin to move east from the
western gulf coast by early sat. This may throw a few clouds our
way by the end of this period, but overall expect mainly clear
skies. The 850 temps will be on an upward trend in WAA reaching
about 5 to 7c this afternoon with a westerly downslope flow.

Overall, plenty of sunshine today will help temps rebound
nicely, bringing them back up toward normal, reaching mid 50s
most places.

Dewpoint temps will climb a good 5 degrees by tonight, leaving
mid 20s most places. With clear skies and very light winds
tonight, expect temps to drop down between 25 and 30 most
places.

Short term Saturday through Sunday night
As of 300 am Friday... This weekend is going to feel amazing coming
after january temperatures that have so far averaged 7 to 8 degrees
below normal. Surface high pressure moving across georgia on
Saturday will relocate a few hundred miles east of CAPE fear by late
Sunday. Light winds and gradual warm advection should allow temps to
rise into the 60s both days away from the beaches. The land-to-
marine temperature differences should become large enough to
generate a seabreeze both days. For those hoping to enjoy a warm day
on the beach, a january seabreeze is going to spoil your plans as
high temperatures on the sand could have trouble getting out of the
lower to middle 50s with all that cold water nearby.

An upper level low across south texas will move eastward within the
southern branch of the jet and will pass just to our south on
Sunday. Some cirrus clouds could move across the area Saturday
afternoon and Saturday night ahead of this feature. Unusually weak
low-level baroclinicity plus ridging to the north of the upper low
should prevent any surface reflection from developing as the upper
system moves off the ga fl coast Sunday afternoon evening.

Long term Monday through Thursday
As of 300 pm Thursday... Mid upper level trough axis will shift off
the SE CONUS Sunday, along with associated mid-level cloudiness.

This will set the stage for a period of above normal temps to
continue through Wednesday ahead of a cold front. Moisture will
begin to return in low-level southerly flow Monday, with the
possibility of some showers advecting in off the ocean during the
day. Consensus on timing of the frontal passage appears to be
Tuesday morning, and that will coincide with the highest pops during
the period. Models suggest there will be little cold air arriving
immediately behind the front, with temperatures on Tuesday still
rising to around 60. They will, however, drop back into the 50s for
Thursday due to height falls and surface winds becoming more
northerly.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
As of 12z...VFR conditions through the forecast period. Winds will
continue from the west southwest. Little to no clouds expected.

Tonight, no fog expected. Winds at the boundary layer around 18 kts,
with an unfavorable moisture profile for even ground fog.

Extended outlook...VFR except for possible MVFR in scattered showers
Monday into early Tuesday.

Marine
Near term through tonight ...

as of 300 am Friday... High pressure will migrate slowly across
the southeast with the center to the southwest of the waters
leaving a general w-sw flow across the waters. Winds will remain 10
to 15 kts through the period with seas 2 to 3 ft. SW swells up to 10
sec will dampen out through tonight as shorter period SW wind wave
becomes dominant.

Short term Saturday through Sunday night ...

as of 300 am Friday... High pressure centered over georgia Saturday
morning will slide east and out into the atlantic during the
afternoon hours. This should maintain a westerly wind across the
carolina coastal waters during the morning, but as inland
temperatures exceed 60 degrees during the day a seabreeze should
develop with nearshore wind directions becoming more southerly. A
similar pattern is expected on Sunday, but with the high building
northward closer to the carolinas our overall wind speeds should be
less.

Seas on Saturday will be a combination of 10 second southeast swell
with short period wind waves. By Sunday the wind waves should
disappear leaving only the southeast swell.

Long term Monday through Tuesday ...

as of 300 pm Thursday... Weak southeasterly flow on Monday will
increase to 15-20 knots by Tuesday night ahead of a cold front.

Scattered showers will be possible Monday moving south to north,
with increasing coverage along the cold front, which is
expected to move off the coast Tuesday morning. An offshore wind
after FROPA on Tuesday looks to be relatively weak, generally
10 knots or less, in a relaxed gradient.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Rgz
short term... Tra
long term... Crm
aviation... 43


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41108 13 mi61 min 45°F3 ft
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 21 mi106 min WNW 1.9 26°F 1023 hPa13°F
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 22 mi83 min W 7.8 G 9.7 39°F 1024.4 hPa
WLON7 24 mi43 min 31°F 45°F1024 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 25 mi62 min 47°F2 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 25 mi83 min W 12 G 16 40°F 47°F1023.8 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 27 mi43 min WSW 8 G 11 34°F 47°F1024.2 hPa
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 37 mi31 min WNW 14 G 16 49°F 64°F1024.5 hPa (+0.0)31°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 39 mi83 min W 16 G 25 46°F 59°F1024 hPa
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 47 mi43 min 1027.7 hPa

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC2 mi56 minN 010.00 miFair30°F18°F63%1024.7 hPa

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW10
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W11NW7NW4CalmCalmCalmW4W4W4W3CalmW3CalmW4CalmW4
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmE5E7E7E3CalmNE7N7NE4NW8
G14
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2 days agoN3N3N5N5N3CalmS5S3S3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Yaupon Beach, North Carolina
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Yaupon Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:27 AM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:39 AM EST     4.87 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:51 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:00 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:30 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:00 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 08:45 PM EST     4.05 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.30.5-0.1-00.61.734.14.74.84.43.42.31.10.3-0.10.31.12.23.33.943.72.9

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Fear, North Carolina
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Cape Fear
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:34 AM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:51 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:53 AM EST     4.61 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:12 PM EST     0.06 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:00 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 08:58 PM EST     3.97 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.50.60-00.61.72.93.84.44.64.33.52.51.40.50.10.31.12.23.23.843.73.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.