Saturday, May25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Caswell Beach, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:02AMSunset 8:15PM Saturday May 25, 2019 6:50 AM EDT (10:50 UTC) Moonrise 12:17AMMoonset 10:59AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ252 Coastal Waters From Cape Fear Nc To Little River Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 331 Am Edt Sat May 25 2019
Today..NE winds 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Mon..SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..SW winds 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
AMZ200 331 Am Edt Sat May 25 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles..A weak cold front will drop across the waters this morning, bringing ne winds, veering to e-se this afternoon. The front will dissipate late today, bringing a return to sw and W winds much of the upcoming period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Caswell Beach, NC
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location: 33.9, -78.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 250722
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
322 am edt Sat may 25 2019

Synopsis
A weak cold front will bring slight cooling today, and onshore
winds. As this feature dissipates, temperatures will climb well
into the 90s Sunday into the upcoming week. Slight rain chances
late tonight and again Monday night, but no widespread rainfall
expected much of the week.

Near term through Sunday
As of 330 am Saturday... Weak cold front slipping down the coast will
shave off heat intensity today compared to the record-setting day
yesterday, as maritime breezes overspread the area in wake of the
faint but temperature-impacting feature.

Convergence, heating, and marginal moisture could spark an isolated
shower or TSTM this afternoon, with plenty CAPE available, but the
desert-like air above 14 kft the main inhibitor. Tonight moisture
will deepen as weak MCV perturbations drop in from the wnw, and have
maintain isolated tstms for late tonight.

Low and mid level drying during Sunday will shut down rain chances,
and in wake of exiting short-wave energy, re-amplification of the
upper ridge, and return to hot conditions, particularly with the
expected downslope wind, upper 90s many spots so another blazer.

Short term Sunday night through Monday night
As of 330 am Saturday... Massive mid level ridging continues to elongate and
push slowly southward as some shortwaves begin to albeit slowly
weaken the system. However the subtle changes are not enough to
break the intense heat with highs expected in the middle to upper
90s and or allow for convection although there is spotty activity
depicted by the gfs.

Long term Tuesday through Friday
As of 330 am Saturday... The extended period consists of much of
the same and even a brief resurgence of the ridge Tuesday and
Wednesday before what seemingly has been a semi permanent stormy
trough makes a move eastward. By next weekend a full fledged
westerly flow should be in in place further increasing pops
albeit in a very methodical pace. Temperatures remain very warm
with highs well into the 90s and steamy lows in the 70s. Some
downward trend is noted in the temperature guidance late in the
period with the subtle pattern change and increasing in shower
and thunderstorms activity.&&

Aviation 6z Saturday through Wednesday
As of 5z... Very good flight conditions. Winds to veer to e
later this morning in wake of a weak cold frontal passage, then
se this afternoon 7-12 knots with higher sea breeze gusts at
coastal airfields. At end of TAF cycle weakening tstms may drop
in from the NW from lbt to eyf, 3z-6z.

Extended outlook...VFR through weekend. Slight chance MVFR
each morning in low stratus fog, or isolated tstm.

Marine
As of 330 am Saturday...

in wake of a weak cold front, winds to change,
onshore, n-ne-e-se today, so a veering of wind in the cards, but no
advisories as the system is weak. Inshore gusts near 20 knots in
middle afternoon. Wave spectrum will see onset of NE waves 2 ft at 3-
4 seconds, with residual ssw waves dampening out this morning. As
winds turn to S and SW tonight, the upstream fetch should bring seas
up to 3 feet, in SE waves every 5-6 seconds. Sunday winds SW seas 2-
3 feet. An isolated TSTM possible late tonight nc waters.

Persistence and summertime forecast for the marine
community. With bermuda high pressure once again the dominant
feature a primarily southwest flow will be in place. Speeds will be
10-15 knots mostly on the lower end of the range during the day but
the nocturnal jetting increase is beginning to show up with
overnight speeds leaning toward the higher end of the range.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Shk
near term... Mjc
short term... Shk
long term... Shk
aviation... Vao


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41108 13 mi51 min 77°F2 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 21 mi43 min NE 7.8 G 12 74°F 77°F1018.6 hPa
WLON7 24 mi51 min 76°F 80°F1018.9 hPa (+1.5)
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 25 mi51 min 75°F3 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 26 mi43 min ENE 7.8 G 12 75°F 76°F1018.6 hPa
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 27 mi51 min NE 9.9 G 11 76°F 75°F1019 hPa (+1.5)
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 37 mi41 min NE 3.9 G 5.8 77°F 1018.2 hPa75°F
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 39 mi43 min E 14 G 18 77°F 76°F1018.3 hPa
MROS1 - 8661070 - Springmaid Pier, SC 47 mi51 min 77°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC2 mi71 minENE 4 miOvercast76°F73°F91%1018.3 hPa

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
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SW10SW8SW7SW6SW5W3CalmW4NW3NE5E3NE4NE5E3
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmSW3S5SW6S6S9S5S9SW8S8S5SW8SW8S7SW8SW11
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E8E5E5E3E6E6E6CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmN3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Yaupon Beach, North Carolina
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Yaupon Beach
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Sat -- 12:50 AM EDT     4.78 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:16 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:54 AM EDT     0.72 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:14 PM EDT     4.07 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:59 PM EDT     1.03 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.64.84.43.72.71.710.711.82.63.33.84.13.93.42.61.91.311.31.92.83.6

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Fear, North Carolina
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Cape Fear
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:56 AM EDT     4.37 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:16 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:15 AM EDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:20 PM EDT     3.72 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:20 PM EDT     0.93 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.24.44.13.52.61.810.70.81.42.22.93.43.73.63.22.51.91.3111.62.33.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.