Sunday, June16, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Holden Beach, NC

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:58AMSunset 8:26PM Sunday June 16, 2019 9:26 PM EDT (01:26 UTC) Moonrise 6:56PMMoonset 4:30AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ252 Coastal Waters From Cape Fear Nc To Little River Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 257 Pm Edt Sun Jun 16 2019
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Mon..SW to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Mon night..S to sw winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue and Tue night..SW to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft, subsiding to 2 to 4 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 257 Pm Edt Sun Jun 16 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure centered well offshore from the carolinas will continue to ridge back across the area through Mon. The ridge will shift south of the waters by mid week with a trough of low pressure developing and persisting across the eastern carolinas through the end of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holden Beach, NC
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location: 33.92, -78.37     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 162255
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
655 pm edt Sun jun 16 2019

Synopsis
Warmer and more humid weather conditions will return to the
carolinas this week as high pressure shifts well offshore. A chance
of showers and thunderstorms will exist this week until the next
cold front moves through late in the week.

Near term through Monday night
As of 300 pm Sunday... Surface high pressure will remain far
offshore through the near term. Southwesterly flow around the
high will support above normal temperatures each period along
with increasing humidity. The low-level cap, not expected to be
as pronounced tomorrow, will continue and moisture remains
limited through the column. However, can't entirely rule out
isolated to widely scattered showers tstms given the sea breeze
as a trigger in an environment with marginal to moderate
instability tomorrow. Otherwise, could see some patchy fog
and or stratus in some locations tonight. Also, minor coastal
flood thresholds will likely be surpassed at downtown ilm with
high tide later this evening.

Short term Monday night through Tuesday night
As of 300 pm Sunday... Disturbance will slide through the
carolinas in the Tuesday timeframe that will bring unsettled
weather and potential for thunderstorms. A brief break is
expected Tuesday night before the next disturbance approaches
for more rounds of showers and thunderstorms.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday
As of 300 pm Sunday...

- the pattern will remain unsettled most of the period due to
ample low-level moisture, and weak disturbances moving across
in wsw mid- level flow.

- the most prominent feature will be a prominent mid-level
trough which will move across the NE CONUS Thursday-Thursday
night, which will extend down the eastern seaboard. This will
boost precip chances late Thursday, and usher in dryer air by
Friday afternoon.

- temps near normal through the period... Highs avg in the upr
80s to lwr 90s, with lows in the low mid 70s.

Aviation 00z Monday through Friday
As of 00z...VFR conditions are expected through 06 utc when the
possibility of MVFR fog or stratus forms, winds speeds stay at or
above 5 knots so only went MVFR for inland areas. Winds will
increase from the south on Monday with speeds of 08 to 12 knots.

Extended outlook... PredominatelyVFR through the end of the forecast
period with brief MVFR ifr conditions Tuesday thru Thursday from
convection and early morning fog and or low stratus.

Marine
Through Mon night:
as of 300 pm Sunday... High pressure far offshore will maintain
its influence across the adjacent coastal waters through Monday
night. Speeds will increase through the afternoon, then diminish
late tonight into Monday morning. The sea breeze will allow
them to increase again Monday afternoon and evening. Seas will
be 3 ft or less through the period. Isolated showers tstms will
be possible as well
mon night through thu:
surface high pressure off the coast will persist mon-thu,
resulting in predominantly SW flow over the area waters. Speeds
will remain generally 10-15 kt, although there will be some
increase towards midweek as a shortwave crosses the area.

Associated modest surface low will move across and offshore of
the mid-atlantic states wed-thu, and this will enhance the
pressure gradient enough to boost winds into a 15-20 kt range.

Seas across the outer waters may reach 5-6 ft by late thu,
otherwise generally 2-4 ft expected.

Tides coastal flooding
Astronomical high tides will result in minor flooding for inland
new hanover county. Portions impacted will be battleship road
and uss north carolina road, as well as water street in downtown
wilmington with up to 3 inches of water.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... Coastal flood advisory from 9 pm this evening to 1 am edt
Monday for ncz107.

Marine... None.

Near term... Srp
short term... Mck
long term... Crm
aviation... Rh


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 8 mi78 min SSW 16 G 23 78°F 80°F1016.9 hPa
41108 23 mi56 min 79°F2 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 38 mi78 min SSW 12 G 18 78°F 79°F1016.6 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 38 mi56 min 78°F3 ft
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 47 mi46 min SSW 9.7 G 14 80°F 80°F1017.2 hPa75°F

Wind History for Springmaid Pier, SC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brunswick County Airport, NC16 mi46 minSW 510.00 miFair78°F71°F82%1017.3 hPa
North Myrtle Beach Grand Strand Airport, SC20 mi33 minSSW 1010.00 miFair79°F75°F88%1016.7 hPa

Wind History from SUT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S6S5S4S3S4CalmCalmS3S3S6S6S7SW6S7SW5S9
G14
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE6E4E6E7S6SW5S6SE5S6S6S6S3S4
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Tide / Current Tables for Shallotte Inlet (Bowen Point), North Carolina
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Shallotte Inlet (Bowen Point)
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Sun -- 02:31 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:16 AM EDT     4.48 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:32 PM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:56 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:52 PM EDT     5.69 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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20.8000.81.93.144.54.33.72.71.60.5-0.2-0.20.61.93.34.65.45.75.34.4

Tide / Current Tables for Tubbs Inlet, North Carolina
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Tubbs Inlet
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:51 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:47 AM EDT     4.23 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:52 PM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:56 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     5.37 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.20.2-0.10.41.42.53.44.14.23.831.90.8-0-0.30.21.32.63.84.85.35.24.63.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.