Monday, March18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Parker, AZ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 6:48PM Monday March 18, 2019 8:29 AM MST (15:29 UTC) Moonrise 4:19PMMoonset 5:19AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Parker, AZ
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location: 34.05, -114.31     debug


Area Discussion for - Phoenix, AZ
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Fxus65 kpsr 181225 aaa
afdpsr
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service phoenix az
525 am mst Mon mar 18 2019

Update Updated aviation discussion.

Synopsis
Warm and dry conditions will last into the middle part of the
week under mostly clear skies. This will result in above normal
temperatures and highs in the lower to middle 80s over the lower
deserts today and Tuesday. The next storm system will bring
slightly cooler conditions and some chance for rain mainly on
Thursday.

Discussion
The synoptic pattern over the southwestern u.S. Is finally
becoming more progressive as the weak trough that has been over
the desert southwest the past few days is exiting to the east.

Weak upper level ridging will take over across the region through
Tuesday with temperatures warming during the period. Highs today
will top 80 degrees over the deserts while Tuesday should add
another couple degrees. The above normal temperatures will last
into Wednesday, but a pacific trough will also be approaching
from the west.

Models have been fairly consistent showing the next trough moving
into our region on Wednesday and drifting very slowly eastward
through Friday. The trough is now looking less impressive compared
to a couple days ago, but it will still provide enough support
for periods of isolated to scattered showers beginning Wednesday
afternoon. The best potential for precip looks to be during the
daytime hours Thursday as the low center tracks across the
southern half of arizona. The bulk of the precip with this system
should end up falling over the northern half of arizona, but the
last several model runs have been backing off on QPF amounts.

Overall, it seems areas north and east of phoenix may see up to a
quarter of an inch with lower desert areas in south-central
arizona only seeing isolated light rain showers to just sprinkles.

Temperatures will take a good dip on Thursday with highs falling
back closer to 70 degrees. The trough is forecast to exit to the
east on Friday with temperatures starting to climb back into the
middle 70s. Upper level ridging should then take over into the
weekend with highs approaching 80 degrees over the warmest
deserts.

Aviation
South-central arizona including kphx, kiwa, ksdl, and kdvt:
no significant aviation issues expected over the next 24 hours.

Surface gradient & low level winds will support a general east wind
this morning, continuing through the afternoon and into the evening.

Speeds mostly below 10kt. We can expect a period where winds taper
off and become somewhat light variable after 22-23z; by 05z winds
should again return to the east for the most part. Look for clear
skies with a few afternoon high based cumulus clouds dissipating
during the early evening.

Southeast california southwest arizona including kipl and kblh:
look for light winds across the western deserts, including the lower
colorado river valley, over the next 24 hours. Speeds should
generally be below 8kt, favoring east southeast but often
light variable. Skies to be mostly clear. No aviation impacts for
the next 24 hours at least.

Aviation discussion not updated for amended tafs.

Fire weather
Tuesday through Saturday:
a warm weather pattern will predominate through Wednesday before
a weather system moves through the area for the second half of the
week. Expect above normal highs to continue in the low-mid 80s
through Wednesday. Highs will then cool to the low-mid 70s by
Thursday with slight chances of precipitation moving into the
lower deserts and better chances expected for the the higher
elevations to the east and north where there is also a fair chance
of wetting rains. Min rh values in the mid to upper teens through
Wednesday will improve to greater than 20 percent beginning
Thursday. The next system will also bring breezy southerly winds
out west on Tuesday with gusty southwesterly winds spreading
throughout the region on Wednesday and lingering into Thursday.

Breezy conditions are expected again on Saturday as well. Good
overnight recovery will improve to excellent by Thursday.

Spotter information statement
Spotter activation is not expected.

Psr watches warnings advisories
Az... None.

Ca... None.

Discussion... Kuhlman
aviation... Cb
fire weather... Sawtelle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Blythe, Blythe Airport, CA37 mi37 minW 610.00 miFair59°F37°F44%1015.2 hPa

Wind History from BLH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN6NE6NE7NE10NE9E11
G15
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E7NE7NE5N7N7N4NW6CalmCalmCalmNE4SW3CalmNW4SE3W6
1 day agoN14N15NE11
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N9NE6N8N8N8N9N8NE7N8N7CalmS3NW3N6N9NW5Calm
2 days agoN18
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NE7NW10N11N9N12NW10NW11N9NW9N8N11N8N9N12N11N11N12

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Phoenix, AZ (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Yuma, AZ
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.