Thursday, December13, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Crowell, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:34AMSunset 5:29PM Thursday December 13, 2018 5:01 PM CST (23:01 UTC) Moonrise 12:11PMMoonset 11:21PM Illumination 38% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Crowell, TX
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location: 34.11, -100     debug


Area Discussion for - Lubbock, TX
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Fxus64 klub 132113
afdlub
area forecast discussion
national weather service lubbock tx
313 pm cst Thu dec 13 2018

Discussion
The upper level low that has brought the strong wind to the region
continues to spin near the center of the state at the time of this
afd. A strong surface pressure gradient remains in place across
the region and winds above the surface remain strong as well. Once
the boundary layer decouples after sunset, we should see wind
speeds ramp down some as we lose the tap into the higher winds
above the surface. However, the surface pressure gradient will
remain tight through the night keeping sustained speeds in the 15
to 25 mph range. There was some discussion about possibly needing
a wind advisory after the high wind warning expires at 6 pm but
wind speeds should be just below wind advisory criteria so will
hold off for now. Any precipitation that is still occurring over
the rolling plains will also gradually come to an end and should
mostly be east of the area shortly after midnight.

Friday will still see breezy conditions due to the strength of the
departing storm system. There are some differences in how strong
the winds will be aloft and whether we will be able to tap into
these during the day to increase wind speeds into wind advisory
range. Otherwise, drier air will be in place and the cool air
will start to moderate and slowly warm into the weekend. This may
result in some fire weather concerns so read that section below
for more details. Shortwave ridging will cross the area on
Saturday and help highs to climb into the 60s but then we should
see increasing cloud cover late in the day as another weak trough
starts to approach the area from the west. The initial wave will
kick out across the area during the day Monday and the models are
generating some very light QPF during the afternoon. Given
dewpoints in the teens and low 20s, much of this should evaporate
and have held pops out of the forecast.

Difference start to creep in by the middle of next week as the
main trough starts to swing out across the southern rockies
towards the area. Similar to this storm system, the 12z runs of
the GFS and ECMWF are deepening the trough into a closed low as it
moves across the area but do not have the strong surface winds...

yet. Run-to-run consistency is still not there to increase
confidence in what will happen with the winds but all the models
do generate some light QPF across the area for Tuesday night
through Wednesday morning ahead of the trough developing closed
low. Temperatures will be at or above freezing for areas that have
a slight chance for rain so will leave the type as liquid for now
but this may need to be adjusted depending on how strong the storm
system is when it moves overhead.

Very end of next week and the end of this forecast package is even
more uncertain as the 12z runs drop the closed low south once the
center is east of our area which is not the more progressive some
of the previous runs had. This dive south would pull a weak cold
front into the area late Wednesday into early Thursday morning
mainly keeping highs in the 50s and lows around normal for this
time of year.

Jordan

Fire weather
Drier air will move into the region and warmer afternoon
temperatures will result in minimum rh values falling into the
mid teens for Friday and Saturday. Wind speeds will increase back
into the 15 to 25 mph for the caprock and potentially 20 to 30 mph
for the rolling plains. This could result in elevated fire
weather conditions, especially in areas that didn't receive any
moisture with the storm system today, for both Friday and
Saturday.

Lub watches warnings advisories
High wind warning until 6 pm cst this evening for txz021>044.

14 93


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Childress, Childress Municipal Airport, TX27 mi69 minN 24 G 3610.00 miMostly Cloudy and Windy47°F28°F48%1013.2 hPa

Wind History from CDS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS12S10S8S10S11S11S10S12SW11SW8N15N27
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1 day agoS12S11S7S7S8S3S7N4CalmN3N7N4N7N6N8N6NE5N6NW7N5CalmS5S9S12
2 days agoSE7SE7SE7S8S9SW9S9S9S9SW9SW8SW5S10S11S9S7SW13SW13SW14SW13SW16SW16SW10SE5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Lubbock, TX (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Frederick, OK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.