Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Myrtle Grove, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:00AMSunset 8:29PM Monday June 26, 2017 2:51 PM EDT (18:51 UTC) Moonrise 7:50AMMoonset 9:49PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 1032 Am Edt Mon Jun 26 2017
Rest of today..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..E winds 10 kt...becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Tue..N winds 10 kt...becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Isolated showers.
Tue night..N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Isolated showers.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Isolated showers.
Wed night..SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Thu..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Fri..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 1032 Am Edt Mon Jun 26 2017
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A front will continue to push offshore today. This front will weaken offshore until another front pushes it well offshore Monday night into Tuesday. High pressure will follow Wednesday through Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Myrtle Grove, NC
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location: 34.11, -77.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 261735
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
140 pm edt Mon jun 26 2017

Synopsis
Drier air and slightly cooler temperatures will begin spreading
across the area today as high pressure edges in from the west.

An upper disturbance will bring a few showers late on Tuesday
followed by a reinforcement of cooler and drier air through mid
week. Summer warmth and humidity will return late week into next
weekend.

Near term through tonight
As of 1030 am Monday... Just tweaked (down) sky cover forecast with
the benefit of this morning's visible satellite imagery. Despite
perhaps more sunshine and thus destabilization expected the last few
runs of the hrrr (which initialized great with the activity
offshore) suggests that no showers will develop over land today.

As of 3 am Monday... A long awaited cold front is situated
northeast to southwest from just south of wilmington to just
north of kingstree south carolina. A few showers are breaking
out along and south of the boundary as expected as favorable
upper level jetting passes by. These should wind down in the
next few hours and warrants only slight chance pops through 12
utc mostly along coastal and southern areas. The front will
continue to slowly push offshore through the day and with
precipitable water values dropping to below an inch, no
convection is expected. I opted for the slightly warmer met
numbers for daytime highs in the middle to upper 80s. Tonight
will be very pleasant with lows in the middle to upper 60s with
the possibility of even lower values in extreme northwest zones.

Short term Tuesday through Tuesday night
As of 3 am Monday... Primary headlines this period include an
upper disturbance in the cradle of a trough aloft followed by
unseasonably drier and cooler air for late june on Wednesday.

The moisture profiles for late Tuesday appear unsupportive of
tstms and only depicted showers. Height rises early Wednesday
will reinforce surface high pressure, prompting cool air flux
with falling dewpoints. Mugginess will disappear and maximums
Wednesday even under sunshine 83-87, vastly more comfortable
than recently, minimums 60-66 degrees at daybreak Wednesday.

Long term Wednesday through Sunday
As of 3 pm Sunday... Cooler and dry high pressure will become
established across the forecast area through much of the period.

Aloft a ridge is well establish for most of this forecast with
a trough moving into the carolinas by next Sunday.

At the surface by the last half of the forecast period, return
flow on the back side of the bermuda high will see a slight
increase in chances of precipiation by the end of the period
with little larger scale forcing forcing present.

High temperatures are expected to be slightly below normal on
Wednesday and then slowly warm to normal by Sunday. Lows are
expected to be in the middle 60s inland to near 70 at the coast
on Wednesday before returning into the low to middle 70s by the
end of the week.

Aviation 18z Monday through Friday
As of 18z...VFR through the period in a post-frontal drying regime
intically. Moisture will return as the front washes out offshore and
the winds start to turn back onshore. At this time this is not
expected to lead to fog or low clouds.

Extended outlook... Isolated flight restrictions possible with
with scattered showers late Tuesday afternoon to early evening.

Marine
Near term through tonight ...

as of 1030 am Monday... No changes planned for midday. Here's the
previous discussion:
as of 3 am Monday... Winds have shifted across the northern waters
with a northerly component now being reported at 41013 and jmpn7
as a cold front eases off the coast. The southernmost waters
are probably seeing southwest winds continuing. They to will
eventually see north to northeast winds of 10-15 knots which
will prevail through the near term forecast period. As usual the
sea breeze may distort the typical summertime synoptic flow.

Significant seas will be 2-3 feet.

Short term Tuesday through Wednesday night ...

as of 3 am Monday... Manageable but atypical marine conditions
since n-ne winds will prevail as high pressure from the west
spreads slightly cooler and drier into the area. Seas however
should hold at 3 feet or less and winds 17kt or less this period
so no caution headline or advisory anticipated. A few marine
showers may form Tuesday night as a disturbance aloft skirts by
and a few tstms near the gulf stream may erupt, but move east
not into shore. Seas 2-3 feet in a mix of weak SE swell, waning
s waves and a moderate n-ne chop.

Long term Wednesday through Friday ...

as of 3 pm Sunday... High pressure will dominate this forecast
with northeast winds at or below 10 knots on Wednesday. By
Friday there will be a break in the high pressure ridge and
winds will return from the south but only around 10 knots. Seas
will generally range around 2 feet with an 8 to 9 second period
from the southeast.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... 8
near term... mbb shk
short term... Mjc
long term... Drh
aviation... mbb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 3 mi66 min E 7 80°F 1020 hPa63°F
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 6 mi43 min NE 7.8 G 12 78°F 79°F1018.6 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 6 mi52 min 79°F2 ft
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 7 mi51 min NNE 8 G 8 79°F 80°F1018 hPa (-0.5)
WLON7 10 mi51 min 85°F 83°F1018.6 hPa (-0.7)
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 26 mi43 min E 7.8 G 12 78°F 81°F1018.2 hPa
SSBN7 39 mi111 min 1 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 39 mi43 min ENE 5.8 G 9.7 80°F 79°F1018.6 hPa
41159 47 mi68 min 80°F2 ft
41064 47 mi43 min ESE 5.8 G 9.7 78°F 80°F1018.6 hPa
41013 - Frying Pan Shoals, NC Buoy 47 mi41 min ENE 7.8 G 12 78°F 80°F1017.9 hPa71°F

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington International Airport, NC13 mi58 minN 610.00 miA Few Clouds82°F60°F47%1018.9 hPa
Brunswick County Airport, NC18 mi66 minNE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F58°F46%1019 hPa

Wind History from ILM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW8NW4W7SW9SW7SW8CalmW3NW5NW3N3CalmNW3N4CalmN4CalmN6N6N10NE8NE12N6N6
1 day agoS14SW15
G22
SW18
G24
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G26
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G25
SW9N4E3CalmCalmSW3SW5SW6SW6SW3W4SW5W6W7SW4SW7W7SW5NW7
2 days agoSW13
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SW11SW15
G22
S13

Tide / Current Tables for Campbell Island, North Carolina
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Campbell Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:17 AM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:43 AM EDT     3.95 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:19 PM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:49 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.643.22.41.50.5-0.3-01.12.33.33.83.93.52.821.20.4-0.2-01.12.63.84.4

Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington Beach, North Carolina
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Wilmington Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:05 AM EDT     -0.67 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:08 AM EDT     4.33 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:56 PM EDT     -0.66 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:35 PM EDT     5.79 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:48 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.12.50.9-0.2-0.7-0.40.51.733.94.34.13.21.90.6-0.3-0.7-0.30.72.13.74.95.75.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.