Monday, January22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Casa Conejo, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 5:18PM Monday January 22, 2018 2:24 AM PST (10:24 UTC) Moonrise 11:22AMMoonset 11:43PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 818 Pm Pst Sun Jan 21 2018
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 12 seconds.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 15 seconds.
Mon night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 5 to 7 ft at 14 seconds.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 5 to 7 ft at 14 seconds.
Tue night..NW winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 14 seconds.
Wed..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 12 seconds.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft. Chance of rain.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. W swell 5 to 7 ft. Chance of showers.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Combined seas 6 to 8 ft.
PZZ600 818 Pm Pst Sun Jan 21 2018
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 03z...or 7 pm pst...a 1030 mb high was 300 nm W of point conception and a 1032 mb high was over utah. Weak lower pres was located along the coast of sw ca. A large W to nw swell will subside tonight, followed by another large nw swell across the outer waters late tonight through Monday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Casa Conejo, CA
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location: 34.15, -119     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 220558
afdlox
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
958 pm pst Sun jan 21 2018

Synopsis
Conditions will be primarily warm and dry through early next
week, though there is a slight chance of light showers along the
central coast on Monday. A weak cold front will push through the
region later in the week, bringing cooler temperatures, gusty
winds, and possible rain and mountain snow showers.

Update A weak upper level disturbance system crossing northern
california will bring a slight chance of rain to the far nw
portion of the central coast late tonight into Monday. Mid to
upper level clouds will stream over the area, but little or no
rain is expected for SW california... Except perhaps a hundredth or
two north of cambria. As this system exits a weak ridge of high
pressure will begin to build over the west coast, with weak
northerly gradients in place at the surface. At the present time,
north winds are gusting up to 20 mph in some of the l.A. Ventura
valleys, and up to 25 mph in the l.A. Vta mountains. This should
keep low temperatures a few degrees higher than the last couple of
nights for most locations. The ridge aloft will produce a warming
trend through the next 2-3 days, with highs on Monday warming by around
3-6 degrees.

Short term (sun-wed)
ridging aloft will build back in for Tuesday and bring continued
warming. A developing shortwave trough spinning counter- clockwise
around the aleutian low pressure system will phase with a wave
over the north central pacific ocean and eject toward the west
coast through Wednesday.

Long term (thu-sun)
a cold frontal boundary will approach the region on Wednesday
night and move across the area on Thursday. Model solutions
indicate ample moisture for the possibility of precipitation. The
main question is if the westerly flow pattern will hold together
south of point conception. A majority of GFS ensemble members
suggest measurable falling as far south as ventura county, which
agrees with the ECMWF gfs solutions. Pops have been nudged higher,
especially north of point conception. Rainfall amounts will
likely range from 0.10 inch or less south to point conception up
to 0.10-0.25 inch north of point conception. The main impact will
be colder temperatures Thursday and Friday, snow levels lowering
to as low as 3000-4000 feet Thursday, and gusty winds along and
behind the cold front. Snowfall could impact the grapevine portion
of the interstate 5 corridor.

Ridging aloft looks to establish once again between Friday and
Saturday. Offshore flow could reach advisory levels over the
weekend and bring gusty santa ana winds to the region between
Friday night and Sunday, possibly lingering into Monday. The
ridge axis should move over the region through next weekend,
setting up for a warm, dry, and breezy to windy weekend.

Aviation
22 0545z
at 0523z at klax, there was no marine inversion.

High confidence in cavu tafs.

Klax and kbur... High confidence in cavu taf.

Marine
21 800 pm
across the southern outer waters zones (pzz673, pzz676) SCA conds
for seas are likely much of the time Mon through Tue night due to
a combination of winds and seas.

Across the northern outer waters zone (pzz670) SCA conds are
likely again Mon thru Mon night due to seas, with the SCA seas
expected to move into the nearshore waters north of point sal
during this time as well (pzz645).

Across the sba channel and the southern inner waters, SCA conds
are not expected until thu.

A long period NW swell will arrive in the water late tonight,
rising to 10 to 13 feet by Monday. Another long period swell is
expected Thu into fri.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... High surf advisory in effect from 4 am Monday to 4 am pst
Tuesday for zones 34-35. (see laxcfwlox).

Pz... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas in effect from 3 am
Monday to 4 am pst Tuesday for zones 645-670. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pst Wednesday for
zone 673. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect from 3 am Monday to 3 am pst
Wednesday for zone 676. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (wed-sun)
strong and impactful winds are possible Thursday and Friday over
the mountains and southern santa barbara county. Snow and travel
delays are possible over the tejon pass grapevine area late
Thursday into Friday. Gusty santa ana winds could develop over
next weekend.

Public... Hall smith
aviation... Rorke
marine... Smith
synopsis... Kj
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 23 mi54 min 59°F4 ft
46221 - Santa Monica Bay, CA (028) 28 mi54 min 60°F4 ft
ICAC1 - 9410840 - Santa Monica Pier 28 mi54 min NNE 5.1 G 8.9 57°F 60°F1024.7 hPa
46025 - Santa Monica Basin - 33NM West Southwest of Santa Monica, CA 28 mi44 min NNW 7.8 G 9.7 60°F1024.3 hPa
46262 31 mi54 min 60°F4 ft
46251 40 mi54 min 58°F4 ft
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 41 mi54 min NNE 1.9 G 7 49°F 1025.4 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 46 mi44 min E 1.9 G 3.9 57°F 59°F1025.9 hPa50°F
PXAC1 47 mi54 min N 4.1 G 5.1
BAXC1 48 mi54 min NE 7 G 8
OHBC1 - 9410660 - Los Angeles, CA 49 mi54 min 61°F1024.8 hPa
PSXC1 49 mi54 min NE 5.1 G 6
PFDC1 49 mi54 min N 7 G 7

Wind History for Santa Monica, CA
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G10

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Camarillo, Camarillo Airport, CA6 mi29 minENE 410.00 miFair48°F28°F48%1026 hPa
Point Mugu, Naval Air Warfare Center, CA7 mi28 minN 710.00 miFair46°F32°F58%1025.4 hPa
Oxnard, Oxnard Airport, CA11 mi33 minNNE 710.00 miFair49°F30°F50%1025.2 hPa

Wind History from CMA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6NE4CalmN4NE93NE6W7E10SE6W10W5W12W12W8CalmS4NE7E6NE10NE8NE7NE7NE4
1 day agoCalmNE4CalmNE4CalmCalmE3E3CalmW13W15SW16
G22
W11NW14
G21
NW10NW6NW5E6N4E3NE7CalmNE9E4
2 days agoE5E7NE6NE10--NE9E83SW5SW9SW7SW8W13SW8W8CalmE5NE5NE4NW5W5NW5E3N3

Tide / Current Tables for Mugu Lagoon (ocean pier), California
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Mugu Lagoon (ocean pier)
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:49 AM PST     3.91 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:21 AM PST     2.21 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:59 AM PST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:21 AM PST     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:51 AM PST     4.03 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:16 PM PST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:49 PM PST     0.74 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:43 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.83.93.73.32.82.42.22.32.633.53.943.83.32.71.91.30.80.711.62.33

Tide / Current Tables for Port Hueneme, California
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Port Hueneme
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:55 AM PST     3.97 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:23 AM PST     2.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:59 AM PST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:22 AM PST     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:58 AM PST     4.09 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:17 PM PST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:51 PM PST     0.77 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:43 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.843.83.432.52.32.42.63.13.644.13.93.52.821.30.90.811.62.33

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.