Sunrise 5:56 AM   Sunset 7:42 PM Moonrise 4:54 AM   Moonset 6:26 PM

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PZZ655 Inner Waters From Point Mugu To San Mateo Pt. Ca Including Santa Catalina And Anacapa Islands- 326 Am Pdt Mon May 6 2024
Today - W to nw winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Local gusts to 25 kt late from anacapa island to malibu. Wind waves 1 ft, becoming 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 7 seconds.Tonight - W to nw winds 10 to 20 kt in the evening, becoming E 5 to 10 kt. Local gusts to 25 kt in the evening from anacapa island to malibu. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft in the evening, becoming 1 to 2 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 8 seconds.Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Tue night - W winds 10 to 20 kt in the evening, becoming E 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight. Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 10 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning. Wed night - W winds 10 to 20 kt in the evening, becoming se 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 11 seconds. Thu - SE winds 5 to 10 kt early, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell W 2 to 4 ft and S 2 ft. Fri - SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. Mixed swell W 2 to 4 ft and S 2 ft.

PZZ600 326 Am Pdt Mon May 6 2024
synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - .at 10z, or 3 am pdt, a 1006 mb low was centered in arizona. A 1027 mb high was located 900 nm W of point conception. Gale force winds will affect the outer waters at times through mid week, with gusty winds spreading into portions of the inner waters at times.

FXUS66 KLOX 061136 AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 436 AM PDT Mon May 6 2024

SYNOPSIS
06/426 AM.

A warming trend will establish through Wednesday as area sits between high pressure to the west and a trough to the east. Gusty northerly winds are expected at times, especially in the mountains and in southern Santa Barbara County. A return of low clouds and fog is expected through the week, possibly extending into the valleys over the weekend.

.SHORT TERM (TDY-WED)...06/428 AM.

The satellite imagery shows the region sitting in zonal flow between an upper-level ridge of high pressure building into the eastern Pacific Ocean and an upper-level trough over the northern Intermountain Region. Clearer skies and less wind across the area is setting up for a cool start to a May morning. Some wind sheltered areas are dipping down to the mid 30s to lower 40s to start today. With several hours until daybreak, a frost advisory was added for the coldest areas in the northern interior valleys through 8 am PDT this morning.

A northerly surface pressure gradient remains across the area in the wake of yesterday's cold front. The gradient has relaxed some this morning, and some the wind advisories have been allowed to expire. Winds are still remaining just strong enough through the Interstate 5 Corridor this morning to keep the wind advisory in place. Some weakening of the winds will continue through this morning, then the gradient will tighten again this afternoon into this evening. A wind advisory was extended for the Interstate 5 Corridor through 3 am PDT Tuesday, and reissued for southwestern Santa Barbara County from 4 pm PDT this afternoon through 3 am PDT Tuesday morning. There is a chance that the southeastern portion of Santa Barbara County could see some another round of gusty winds late tonight, but the chances looks less at this time.
Surface pressure gradients, local 3-km WRF, and EPS ensemble members all indicate gusty northerly winds lingering across southern Santa Barbara County and into the Interstate 5 Corridor again Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning, so there will likely be another round of wind advisories across the same areas.

With the ridge aloft to the west of the area, a warming trend will take shape over the coming days with mostly sunny skies continuing.
Temperatures will warm to near to slightly above normal for most areas on Tuesday and above normal on Wednesday. Marine layer induced stratus clouds will likely be kept a bay (and very patchy at best) today due to a weaker marine inversion, but low clouds and fog could make a patchy appearance on Tuesday morning across the South Coast of Los Angeles County. The chances for low clouds and fog will increase through the week with the best chance for any low clouds and fog in the short term on Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning across the Los Angeles County coast and possibly extending into the Ventura County beaches.

.LONG TERM (THU-SUN)...06/435 AM.

There is still a good amount of uncertainty in the long term period. Models are struggling to handle a retrograding upper- level trough of low pressure late in the week. The forecast ensembles are still trending higher with temperatures away from the coast while leveling off the warming trend along the coastal sections toward the weekend. There are still about a fifth of the solution going warmer for late week at the coast, but most trend cooler with increasing cloud cover means. Interior portions of the area have a good chance of seeing a steady warming trend through the week. For the current time, temperatures go with NBM values and moderate the warming trend toward at the coast into the weekend, while the forecast reintroduces a mention of low clouds and fog over the weekend.

AVIATION
06/0253Z.

At 0018Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer. The top of the inversion was at 1000 ft with a temperature of 16 C.

Moderate to high confidence in TAFs. Timing of wind changes could be off by +/- 2 hours, and +/- 5 kt gusts. There is a 10-20% chance of IFR- VLIFR conds for KPRB and KSMX 08Z-17Z, and 20% chance of MVFR cigs at KSMO, KLAX, KLGB, and KVNY 10Z-16Z. Gusty W to NW winds will affect much of the region thru early tonight with areas of LLWS, turbulence and mdt UDDF.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 10-20% chance of bkn018-025 cigs 10Z-16Z Mon. There is a 20% chance of northerly cross winds to 12-18 kt through 07Z, and a 20% chance of an E wind component of 7-8 kt 08Z-17Z Mon.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 10-20% chance of bkn018-025 cigs 10Z-16Z Mon. There is a 30% chance of NW wind gusts to 25 kt through 04Z Mon and again 16Z-02Z Mon.

MARINE
05/827 PM.

In the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in the forecast.
In the southern two zones (PZZ673/676), Gale force winds will continue through tonight. Elsewhere and otherwise, Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds (and seas at times) are expected thru Wed night, with a 40% chance of SCA conds (mainly seas) continuing Thu. There is a 20% chance of Gale Force wind gusts across the waters south of Point Sal on Mon afternoon into Mon night, and a 50% chance for all outer waters Tue afternoon into Tue night.
Winds and seas should remain below SCA levels Thu night thru Sat morning.

For the Inner Waters N of Pt. Sal, moderate to high confidence in the forecast. Thru Wed night, winds are expected to reach SCA levels during the afternoon/eve hours. Seas may remain at or above SCA levels Mon night thru Wed morning, even when the winds decrease. Then, conds should remain below SCA levels Thu night thru Sat morning.

In the Inner Waters S of Pt. Conception, moderate confidence in the forecast. Expect Gale force winds to continue tonight across the western portion of the Santa Barbara channel. Otherwise, look for SCA level winds to continue tonight across eastern portions of the channel and zone 655. SCA conds are likely (70% chance)
across the Western SBA Channel during the late afternoon thru late night hours Mon and Tue, with a 30-40% chance of SCA conds during these times in the eastern portion of the SBA Channel and western portions of the southern inner waters.

LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Frost Advisory in effect until 8 AM PDT this morning for zones 38-343-344. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Wind Advisory remains in effect from 4 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 349-351. (See LAXNPWLOX).
Wind Advisory remains in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 377-378. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 PM PDT this evening for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zone 650. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 PM PDT Tuesday for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Watch in effect from Tuesday afternoon through late Tuesday night for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Warning in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).

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