Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Flowery Branch, GA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:24AMSunset 7:56PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 1:07 PM EDT (17:07 UTC) Moonrise 7:40AMMoonset 8:51PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Flowery Branch, GA
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location: 34.19, -83.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Peachtree City, GA
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Fxus62 kffc 291654
afdffc
area forecast discussion
national weather service peachtree city ga
1254 pm edt Wed mar 29 2017

Update
Old frontal boundary is situated across south central ga this
morning... With ridging aloft at 500mb. Hi-res models are progging
some isolated showers/thunderstorms along and south of the
boundary this afternoon, during peak heating. This seems
reasonable, and have tweaked pops slightly. Severe weather is not
anticipated, and the potential for strong storms remains low.

Prev discussion /issued 739 am edt Wed mar 29 2017/
prev discussion... /issued 424 am edt Wed mar 29 2017/
short term /today through Thursday/...

looking like a rather tranquil period in between the severe storms
of Monday and the upcoming system late this week. Strong closed
upper low over 4 corners and entering the southern plains will act
to build heights locally and suppress most convective activity.

Cannot completely go pop free today however as boundary begins to
lift north and acts as the focus for isolated activity over
central ga primarily. CAPE values will struggle to get to 500 to
1000 j/kg across this zone but enhanced moisture with pwat of 1.30
inches should allow for at least some limited non severe activity.

Given continued ridge influences overnight... Convection will come
to a quick end this evening. Continued mild conditions over the
area the result of the ridge as well with highs today in the lower
to mid 80s and only the upper 50s to around 60 for tonight.

Tonight into Thu will see the development of a wedge which seems
appropriate as march "cad"ness continues for the carolinas. This
will bring low clouds and cooler temps to the NE sections of the
local forecast area initially. Eventually... Should see enough
convergence... Moisture and instability to allow for a marked
increase in precipitation. Wouldnt think it would be more than
scattered coverage but all models are bullish on likely so will
bite for now and follow suit.

Best upper dynamics will remain west of the area through thu
evening but still some storms to advect in just prior to the end
of the short term. CAPE very limited at this point but still some
marginal shear values and cold temps aloft which could allow for
an isolated severe storm or two for the far NW portions.

Deese
long term /Thursday night through Tuesday/...

showers and thunderstorms will be quickly increasing across the area
Thursday night as the storm system currently affecting the southern
plains shifts eastward. The main focus during this time frame will
be the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms. The best
overlap of instability, shear, and dynamics will be to the west of
our area earlier on Thursday. By the time convection reaches
georgia, instability will be waning, but a few hundred j/kg of cape
will still be available along with decent shear, especially across
the northwest half of the area. For this reason, strong to isolated
severe thunderstorms will be possible Thursday night into Friday,
though the lion's share of the severe weather will likely be west of
the area during the day on Thursday.

Models have also sped up the system and indicate the upper shortwave
and the majority of the precipitation will largely exit east of the
area by midday Friday. Upper ridging is then in control for the
weekend, bringing a respite from the storminess, albeit a brief one.

Temperatures will be well above average both Saturday and Sunday
with mostly sunny skies.

Models agree that this brief break comes to an abrupt end by the
beginning of next week as the next system comes bowling across the
south central us. Rain chances become likely by Monday. The chance
for strong thunderstorms will be something to watch on Monday.

The active pattern looks to continue after the early week system as
models indicate another storm system on track for mid-to-late next
week, though timing and evolution differences remain.

Rw
aviation...

12z update...

still looks like MVFR/ifr clouds will remain south of the atl
terminals and just some developingVFR cumulus expected this
afternoon. Winds will be on the light side but there will be a
shift to the west side by 18z and then back to the east this
evening. Low clouds on the increase from the east tonight
requiring inclusion of MVFR CIGS fro all atl terminals and ahn.

//atl confidence... 12z update...

high on all elements.

Deese

Preliminary point temps/pops
Athens 83 59 77 60 / 0 10 70 70
atlanta 82 61 80 60 / 10 5 30 80
blairsville 77 55 70 55 / 0 10 60 80
cartersville 81 59 79 59 / 5 0 30 80
columbus 85 60 84 62 / 20 5 10 60
gainesville 80 58 73 58 / 0 10 70 80
macon 85 60 85 62 / 20 10 50 60
rome 82 59 80 59 / 5 0 20 80
peachtree city 83 58 82 59 / 20 5 30 80
vidalia 86 63 83 64 / 20 10 50 40

Ffc watches/warnings/advisories
None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CHDS1 - Strom Thurmond Dam, SC 98 mi88 min E 1.9 G 12 74°F 1020 hPa

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Gainesville, Gilmer Memorial Airport, GA7 mi15 minWSW 510.00 miA Few Clouds73°F52°F48%1017.8 hPa
Lawrenceville, Gwinnett County-Briscoe Field Airport, GA15 mi23 minSSE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy73°F53°F50%1018.6 hPa
Winder, Winder-Barrow Airport, GA20 mi2.5 hrsENE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F53°F57%1019.3 hPa

Wind History from GVL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW9NW10
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W11W7W5SW5W3CalmW3CalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmSE8SE5S5SW5
1 day agoW54S75S4SE4SE4SE3SE5SE4NW4W7W4NW6NW6S4W3CalmN4W6W7W7W8W9
2 days agoS8
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SW10SW7SW7SW5S3CalmS3CalmE3CalmSE5S3CalmCalmCalmE4CalmSW4W7W7W9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Peachtree City, GA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Atlanta, GA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.