Sunday, June16, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wrightsville Beach, NC

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:58AMSunset 8:26PM Sunday June 16, 2019 12:48 PM EDT (16:48 UTC) Moonrise 6:55PMMoonset 4:27AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 907 Am Edt Sun Jun 16 2019
Rest of today..S winds 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft, building to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers late this morning and early afternoon.
Tonight and Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft, building to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 907 Am Edt Sun Jun 16 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. High pressure centered well offshore from the carolinas will continue to ridge back across the area through Mon. The ridge will shift south of the waters by mid week with a trough of low pressure developing and persisting across the eastern carolinas through the mid to late week period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wrightsville Beach, NC
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location: 34.21, -77.79     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 161341
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
940 am edt Sun jun 16 2019

Synopsis
Warmer and more humid weather conditions will return to the
carolinas this week as high pressure shifts well offshore. A chance
of showers and thunderstorms will exist this week until the next
cold front moves through late in the week.

Near term through Monday
As of 940 am Sunday... Water vapor imagery shows a weak impulse
moving across the forecast area this morning. Widely scattered
showers are expected primarily across the CAPE fear region over the
next few hours. Any convection should remain shallow limited as a
result of the h85 capping noted in the 1200 utc mhx chs raobs.

Better insolation this afternoon will lead to high temperatures from
the lower 90s far inland zones to the mid 80s closer to the coast.

Light southwesterly flow will hold temperatures above climo with
lows tonight. A more classic summer pattern will be in place Monday
with high pressure setup offshore and warm humid flow being directed
into the carolinas.

Lastly, will likely see another round of minor coastal flooding
along the lower CAPE fear river with high tide later this evening
requiring another coastal flood advisory.

Short term Monday night through Tuesday night
As of 330 am Sunday... Ssw flow will persist through the column, as
the forecast area falls between ridging off the SE CONUS and a
shortwave trough moving from the lower ms river valley to the mid-
atlantic. Time-height cross sections show the bulk of moisture below
750 mb through the period, which will lend itself to low-chance
pops, with initiation mainly along and inland of the sea breeze and
associated with diurnal heating, as highs range from mid upper 80s
coast to around 90 inland. Convection may remain active inland
Tuesday evening with the approach of the mid-level shortwave.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday
As of 330 am Sunday...

- the pattern will remain unsettled most of the period due to
ample low-level moisture, and weak disturbances moving across
in wsw mid- level flow.

- the most prominent feature will be a prominent mid-level
trough which will move across the NE CONUS Thursday-Thursday
night, which will extend down the eastern seaboard. This will
boost precip chances late Thursday, and usher in dryer air by
Friday afternoon.

- temps near normal through the period... Highs avg in the upr
80s to lwr 90s, with lows in the low mid 70s.

Aviation 12z Sunday through Thursday
As of 12z... As the fog and low stratus lifts in the inland sc
area, expect predominantlyVFR rest of TAF period. Low clouds at
myr cre may continue MVFR ceilings for another hour or so. With
high pressure to our east, persistent southerlies will bring in
plenty of low level moisture to the area, though mid and upper
levels remain quite dry. Scattered diurnal cumulus expected this
afternoon, with few passing cirrus here and there. Slightly
elevated winds tomorrow morning could hinder fog development,
but chance we could see some ifr stratus develop across the area
overnight into morning with the increased moisture. South-
southwesterly winds this afternoon around 10kts, with increased
winds along the coast with sea breeze. South winds around 5kts
overnight tonight.

Extended outlook... PredominatelyVFR through the end of the
forecast period with brief MVFR ifr conditions Mon thru thu
from convection and early morning fog and or low stratus.

Marine
Today through mon:
as of 940 am Sunday... A weak ridge extends across the waters
from high centered farther offshore. The flow around the ridge
will remain light through the remainder of the morning, then
speeds will pick up a notch as the sea breeze circulation
becomes fully developed. Seas will be around 2 ft initially
today then build to around 3 ft as winds bump upward. A few
showers are possible especially for the waters around cape
fear northward as a weak impulse passes by in the next few
hours.

Southwesterly flow of 10-15 kts will prevail tonight with the
western periphery of the high in place across the waters before
they weaken to around 10 kts toward day break. The pattern
remains similar during Monday with speeds bumping up again
with the sea breeze Monday afternoon.

Mon night through thu:
surface high pressure off the coast will persist mon-thu,
resulting in predominantly SW flow over the area waters. Speeds
will remain generally 10-15 kt, although there will be some
increase towards midweek as a shortwave crosses the area.

Associated modest surface low will move across and offshore of
the mid-atlantic states wed-thu, and this will enhance the
pressure gradient enough to boost winds into a 15-20 kt range.

Seas across the outer waters may reach 5-6 ft by late thu,
otherwise generally 2-4 ft expected.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Srp
short term... Crm
long term... Crm
aviation... Vao


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 6 mi41 min NNW 5.8 G 12 73°F 78°F1019.4 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 6 mi49 min 77°F2 ft
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 27 mi41 min SSW 12 G 16 79°F 78°F1019.7 hPa
41108 36 mi49 min 79°F2 ft
41024 - Sunset Nearshore (SUN 2) 45 mi41 min SSW 9.7 G 14 78°F 80°F1019.5 hPa
41064 45 mi41 min SW 12 G 14 79°F 78°F1018.7 hPa
41159 45 mi49 min 78°F2 ft

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington International Airport, NC8 mi56 minSSE 410.00 miOvercast79°F70°F74%1019.2 hPa
Brunswick County Airport, NC24 mi69 minSSW 610.00 miOvercast80°F68°F70%1019.6 hPa

Wind History from ILM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6E7SE10SE6SE11
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S7SE8S9S5S4S3CalmS4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4S8S4S7S4
1 day agoNW9
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5--CalmNE7CalmSE5S4S4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmE8SE8SE8
2 days agoSW9SW9W12
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SW10SW10SW8SW6SW7SW8SW8W7W8W5NW6NW6N7N4N7NW14N13N12

Tide / Current Tables for Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina
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Wrightsville Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:31 AM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:27 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:28 AM EDT     3.55 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:23 PM EDT     -0.48 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT     4.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:54 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0.3-0.30.1122.93.53.52.91.90.8-0-0.4-0.40.21.22.43.64.44.74.33.32.1

Tide / Current Tables for Wilmington, North Carolina
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Wilmington
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:18 AM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:27 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:36 AM EDT     3.99 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:22 PM EDT     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:55 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:11 PM EDT     4.93 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.42.61.70.6-0.10.11.12.33.33.93.93.42.61.81.10.4-0.2-0.112.43.74.54.94.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.