Sunday, September24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fillmore, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 6:49PM Sunday September 24, 2017 5:18 AM PDT (12:18 UTC) Moonrise 10:56AMMoonset 9:53PM Illumination 15% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 237 Am Pdt Sun Sep 24 2017
Today..NE winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 10 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 8 seconds.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming ne 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming nw 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Tue night..W winds 10 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft.
PZZ600 237 Am Pdt Sun Sep 24 2017
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 09z...or 2 am pdt....A 1026 mb high was located pressure center was located 600 nm W of eureka and a 1006 mb low was near las vegas. Short period choppy seas will persist this week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fillmore, CA
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location: 34.4, -119     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 240954
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
254 am pdt Sun sep 24 2017

Synopsis
Gradually strengthening offshore flow will bring a warming and
drying trend with mostly clear skies to the area through next
week. There will be some gusty north to northeast winds at times
over the region, especially below and through passes and canyons.

Temperatures will be a few degrees above normal for many areas by
early next week, then increase to much above normal by late in
the week.

Short term (tdy-tue)
skies are clear and there is no marine layer nor much of an
inversion. Gradients are offshore both from the north and the east
and are more offshore than they were at this time ydy (esp from
the east) the coasts and vlys will see a good jump up in temps
today due to the sunny skies and offshore flow and all cst vly
sites will jump up to near normal MAX temps today (most areas have
had below normal temps now for the last 11 days) cool air moving
in from the great basin will keep the temps across the interior on
the cool side. There will be some morning north to north east
canyon winds 15 to 25 mph and perhaps a few gusts to 35 mph but
northing widespread enough to warrant an advisory.

On Monday offshore gradients will be about 1 mb strong in each
direction. This will lead to a little strong canyon winds in the
morning and there may be a need for some low end advisories along
the la vta county line in the morning. MAX temps will rise another
3 to 5 degrees. The cst vly areas will all be 2 to 4 degrees above
normal except the central coast with the MAX temps will be 8 to 10
degrees warmer than normal. Despite the warming the interior will
remain blo normal.

Gradients actually relax a little on Tuesday... But there is a
little better upper air support and Tuesday might be the best day
for wind advisories. Again the best area for the winds will be 10
miles either side of the la vta county line. Look for another 2 to
4 degrees of warming across the area and the interior will finally
reach normal MAX temps. MAX temps across the vlys will all be in
the 90s and the coasts will be mostly in the 80s with a smattering
of readings in the lower 90s.

Long term (wed-sat)
an upper low near yuma will bend the upper level flow pattern into
a nne direction on Wednesday. Earlier mdl runs had the low a
little further to the west which would have added a little more
oomph to the offshore winds. The current solution would support
low end advisory winds in the usual places. MAX temps will be very
similar to Tuesdays much above normal values.

Offshore flow weakens (but still remains offshore) on thu. The
upper support vanishes as well as the state will be under a large
cull area. Winds will not be a problem. There will be little
change across the interior but the coasts and vlys will cool some
exp the coast.

On Friday the GFS is a little more aggressive with a pop up ridge
and a warming trend than the ec. This looks like a warm pattern
and will favor the warmer gfs.

Although the GFS indicates a weak trof over the state on Saturday
while the ec forecasts a weak ridge the 500 mb hgts only differ by
1 dm. Offshore flow is forecast to increase and MAX temps should
head up again to warmer readings.

Aviation
24 0900z
at 0900z, there was a weak marine inversion at klax, based at 1000
feet. The top of the inversion was 2100 feet with a temperature of
18 degrees celsius.

Overall, high confidence in 12z tafs. There is a 20% chance of
ifr lifr conditions at ksmx 12z-15z.

Klax... High confidence in current forecast. East to southeast
winds will remain below 8 knots this morning.

Kbur... High confidence in current taf.

Marine
24 130 am
for the outer waters, good confidence in current forecast. Winds
and seas are expected to remain below small craft advisory (sca)
levels through Thursday although there is a 30% chance of sca
level gusts across western sections of pzz670 673 Monday afternoon
and evening.

For the inner waters, good confidence in current forecast. Winds
and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels through Thursday.

There will likely be some light north to northeast winds each
night and morning from ventura south to santa monica today through
Thursday.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pdt early this
morning for zones 670-673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (tue-sat)
a prolonged period of elevated fire danger is expected Tuesday
through Saturday due to the combination of gusty offshore winds,
very warm temperatures, low humidities, and very dry fuels. Brief
critical fire weather conditions will be possible at times especially
in the mountains. There will be potential heat impacts by Friday
and Saturday as triple digit temperatures are possible for warmest
valley locations.

Public... Rorke
aviation... Rat
marine... Rat
synopsis... Sirard
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 28 mi49 min 62°F2 ft
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 37 mi49 min N 2.9 G 2.9 59°F 1010.6 hPa
ICAC1 - 9410840 - Santa Monica Pier 38 mi49 min NE 4.1 G 5.1 62°F 66°F1010.4 hPa
46221 - Santa Monica Bay, CA (028) 42 mi49 min 67°F3 ft
46025 - Santa Monica Basin - 33NM West Southwest of Santa Monica, CA 45 mi29 min SE 3.9 G 3.9 68°F3 ft1009.9 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 46 mi29 min WSW 3.9 G 3.9 62°F 64°F3 ft1011.1 hPa59°F

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Camarillo, Camarillo Airport, CA14 mi24 minENE 310.00 miFair54°F45°F72%1011.2 hPa
Oxnard, Oxnard Airport, CA17 mi28 minENE 310.00 miFair56°F41°F57%1010.3 hPa
Point Mugu, Naval Air Warfare Center, CA20 mi23 minN 310.00 miFair54°F46°F75%1010.8 hPa

Wind History from CMA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4CalmCalmCalmW3SW5SW9SW9SW11
G16
SW10
G20
W11W8S7SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmE3CalmNE4E3
1 day agoE6NE3E3E54SW5SW7SW12SW13SW11W8SW9SW12W8S3SE5E5NE8NE7N3CalmCalmCalmE3
2 days agoE6NE5CalmSW5W8W9W11W11
G18
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G21
W17W20W20
G26
W17
G23
--S3SE6NE6N3CalmCalmE3E4CalmNE5

Tide / Current Tables for Ventura, California
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Ventura
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:29 AM PDT     4.09 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:07 AM PDT     1.92 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:46 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:57 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:18 PM PDT     4.99 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:50 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:18 PM PDT     1.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:54 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
443.73.22.62.11.92.12.53.344.754.94.43.72.92.11.51.21.31.62.22.8

Tide / Current Tables for Port Hueneme, California
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Port Hueneme
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:30 AM PDT     4.09 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:04 AM PDT     1.92 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:46 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:56 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:19 PM PDT     4.99 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:50 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:15 PM PDT     1.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 09:54 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
443.73.22.62.11.92.12.63.344.754.94.43.72.921.51.21.31.72.22.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.