Saturday, February23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fillmore, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 5:47PM Saturday February 23, 2019 1:24 PM PST (21:24 UTC) Moonrise 11:39PMMoonset 10:25AM Illumination 80% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 902 Am Pst Sat Feb 23 2019
Today..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 12 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds.
Sun..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds.
Sun night..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 12 seconds.
Mon..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 12 seconds.
Mon night..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 12 seconds.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft. Slight chance of showers.
PZZ600 902 Am Pst Sat Feb 23 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 16z...or 8 am pst, a 1029 mb high pressure center was located 400 nm west of point conception. A 1018 mb low pressure center was located over eastern oregon. There is a chance of rain Tuesday and Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fillmore, CA
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location: 34.4, -119     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 231807
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
1007 am pst Sat feb 23 2019

Aviation discussion update...

Synopsis 23 719 am.

Mostly clear skies will prevail today and temperatures will warm
slightly but remain below normal. The dry weather will persist
through the weekend and into early next week and temperatures will
warm up to near normal. There is another chance of light rain by
mid-week over northern areas.

Short term (tdy-mon) 23 903 am.

Sunny skies covered the forecast area this morning. Some hi clouds
over the E pac should move into the area by afternoon, but mostly
sunny skies will still prevail through late today. Light offshore
flow this morning will turn weakly onshore this afternoon.

Temperatures today should turn slightly warmer than yesterday but
remain several degrees below normal for all areas. Highs for much of
the coast and vlys should reach only into the upper 50s to low 60s.

Weak, flat upper level ridging is expected to move over SRN ca
today. A mainly zonal flow aloft with little change in 500 mb
heights should prevail tonight through mon. 500 mb heights should
remain in the 566 to 568 dm range thru the period.

Generally benign weather is expected over southwestern ca tonight
thru mon. Fair skies will prevail thru the period with some hi
clouds expected to drift overhead at times. There is also the
possibility that patchy marine layer clouds may begin to develop
along the central coast and l.A. County coast later Sun night into
mon morning. Some breezy offshore flow is again expected for the
wind-prone areas tonight into Sun morning, but overall winds will be
weak and variable across the region thru mon.

Temperatures are forecast to warm a few more degrees Sun and mon
thanks to gradually increasing 1000-500 mb thicknesses and some
warming in the boundary layer. Highs in the warmest vlys and coastal
areas are expected to be in the lower to mid 60s on sun, which are
still a few degrees below normal. Expected highs in the mid 60s to
near 70 for these areas on Mon are near normal for this time of
year.

Long term (tue-fri) 23 314 am.

Both the GFS and the ec agree that the flat westerly flow will
continue on Tuesday. At one point it looked like there was a going
to br a little impulse in this flow but now all it looks like it
will do is bring in some more mid and high clouds. MAX temps will
still be blo normal but not by much.

In the predawn hours Wednesday a weak impulse rotating around an
upper low parked to the west of seattle will approach the central
coast and will then move through the area during the day. Its over
ocean trajectory will allow it pick up some moisture. Still it
does not have much in the way of dynamics. The best dynamics are
north of pt conception and there will be a chance of rain there
through the day. It looks like it will not be able to round pt
conception and vta and la county should remain dry. Clouds will
likely clover most of the area. MAX temps will slip a few degrees
due to the clouds.

Some showers may linger into Thursday morning ESP if the gfs
verifies.

Both mdls develop a ridge for Thursday although the warmer ec
develops it about 12 hours earlier. There should be clearing
skies. The sunshine and the rising hgts will combine to bring
several degrees of warming to the area and in fact MAX temps could
reach normal.

The ridging persists into Friday. An approaching system will push
plenty of mid and high level clouds into the area and this will
cool temps a couple of degrees.

Both the ec and GFS indicate a run of the mill storm for the area
on Saturday but like any day 8 forecast there could be big changes
from now until the day actually arrives.

Aviation 23 1805z.

At 15z at klax... There was a weak inversion from the surface to
around 500 feet. The temperature at the top of the inversion was
about 9 degrees celsius.

Overall... High confidence in the current tafs.VFR conditions
will prevail at all terminals throughout the forecast period.

Klax... High confidence in the current taf.VFR conditions will
prevail throughout the forecast period. There is a less than ten
percent chance of east winds eight knots or greater 24 11z-17z.

Kbur... High confidence in the current taf.VFR conditions will
prevail throughout the forecast period.

Marine 23 852 am.

For the outer waters... Conditions will remain below advisory
levels through Tuesday morning. Winds will increase to small craft
advisory level in the northern and central outer waters Tuesday
afternoon and continue through Wednesday. There is a thirty
percent chance of SCA level winds in the southern outer waters
during this period.

For the inner waters... Conditions will remain below advisory
levels through Wednesday.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... None.

Hazard potential outlook (mon-fri)
No significant hazards expected.

Public... Sirard rorke
aviation... Kj
marine... Kj
synopsis... Stewart
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 28 mi33 min 54°F3 ft
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 37 mi48 min S 5.1 G 5.1 54°F 1027 hPa
ICAC1 - 9410840 - Santa Monica Pier 38 mi36 min WSW 8 G 8.9 55°F 56°F1026.3 hPa
46221 - Santa Monica Bay, CA (028) 42 mi24 min 57°F2 ft
46025 - Santa Monica Basin - 33NM West Southwest of Santa Monica, CA 44 mi24 min E 3.9 G 5.8 55°F 57°F1026.1 hPa (-0.3)49°F
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 46 mi24 min ESE 7.8 G 9.7 55°F 57°F1026.7 hPa (-0.3)46°F

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Oxnard, Oxnard Airport, CA17 mi34 minS 710.00 miFair58°F41°F53%1026.1 hPa
Point Mugu, Naval Air Warfare Center, CA20 mi28 minS 810.00 miPartly Cloudy58°F43°F58%1026.5 hPa

Wind History from CMA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6NE4E4E6CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmW3NE3S3W4SW9SW9W9W12W21W17W16
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1 day agoNE7N6NE4NW3E5NE5NE5N3N5CalmCalmNE4NE5NE9E8SE5S7W8W9W8W9SW3CalmNE3
2 days agoW14W15W4NW4E4E4CalmNE6CalmCalmNE5E7E85SW4SW10W12W7
G19
--E6CalmN9N8NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Ventura, California
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Ventura
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:13 AM PST     0.77 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:33 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:26 AM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 12:04 PM PST     4.34 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:47 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:19 PM PST     0.66 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:39 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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54.73.92.91.91.10.80.91.52.43.44.14.34.13.52.71.81.10.70.81.42.33.34.2

Tide / Current Tables for Port Hueneme, California
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Port Hueneme
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:10 AM PST     0.77 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:32 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:26 AM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 12:05 PM PST     4.34 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:47 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:16 PM PST     0.66 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:39 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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54.73.92.91.91.10.80.91.62.43.44.14.34.13.52.71.810.70.81.42.33.34.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.