Saturday, February23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carpinteria, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 5:50PM Saturday February 23, 2019 6:57 AM PST (14:57 UTC) Moonrise 11:41PMMoonset 10:27AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 255 Am Pst Sat Feb 23 2019
Today..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 kt or less in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 12 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 12 seconds.
Sun..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds.
Sun night..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds.
Mon..Winds variable 10 kt or less, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds.
Mon night..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 12 seconds.
Tue..Winds variable 10 kt or less early, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft. Slight chance of showers.
PZZ600 255 Am Pst Sat Feb 23 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 10z...or 2 am pst, a 1028 mb high was located 500 nm west of point conception. A 1001 mb low was centered in new mexico. Sun.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carpinteria, CA
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location: 34.4, -119.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 231115
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
315 am pst Sat feb 23 2019

Synopsis 22 752 pm.

Saturday morning will be cold with possible frost, but dry
conditions are expected for the day. Temperatures gradually warm
through early next week as dry weather persists. There is another
chance of light rain by mid-week.

Short term (tdy-mon) 23 257 am.

Clear skies and light winds have again allowed for good overnight
cooling and most areas will wake up to temps in the 30s.

Synoptically not too much excitement as dry NW flow shifts to the
west as it is pressed downward by a cold upper low pushing in to
washington st from british columbia.

Hgts do not change that much but there will be a slow warming
trend through the period as the airmass modifies. MAX temps will
remain below normal. (every day save one has had below normal max
temps this month) there should be just enough warming to preclude
any frost advisories tonight.

Skies will be mostly clear today. Sunday now looks a little less
cloudy than it once did as a storm that was forecast to skirt just
to the north is now forecast to arrive further to the north. A
second system will take a more southern trajectory not enough to
bring rain but enough to increase the mid and high level clouds
across the northern portion of the forecast area.

Long term (tue-fri) 23 314 am.

Both the GFS and the ec agree that the flat westerly flow will
continue on Tuesday. At one point it looked like there was a going
to br a little impulse in this flow but now all it looks like it
will do is bring in some more mid and high clouds. MAX temps will
still be blo normal but not by much.

In the predawn hours Wednesday a weak impulse rotating around an
upper low parked to the west of seattle will approach the central
coast and will then move through the area during the day. Its over
ocean trajectory will allow it pick up some moisture. Still it
does not have much in the way of dynamics. The best dynamics are
north of pt conception and there will be a chance of rain there
through the day. It looks like it will not be able to round pt
conception and vta and la county should remain dry. Clouds will
likely clover most of the area. MAX temps will slip a few degrees
due to the clouds.

Some showers may linger into Thursday morning ESP if the gfs
verifies.

Both mdls develop a ridge for Thursday although the warmer ec
develops it about 12 hours earlier. There should be clearing
skies. The sunshine and the rising hgts will combine to bring
several degrees of warming to the area and in fact MAX temps could
reach normal.

The ridging persists into Friday. An approaching system will push
plenty of mid and high level clouds into the area and this will
cool temps a couple of degrees.

Both the ec and GFS indicate a run of the mill storm for the area
on Saturday but like any day 8 forecast there could be big changes
from now until the day actually arrives.

Aviation 23 1107z.

At 11z, there was no marine inversion at klax.

Clear skies andVFR conds expected across the region thru the pd.

Klax and kbur... High confidence in the 12z TAF withVFR
conds thru the period. There is a 10-20% chance that east winds
reach 10 kt at klax between 12z-18z this morning.

Marine 23 305 am.

For the outer waters, high confidence in forecast. There is a 20%
chance of small craft advisory (sca) level wind gusts this morning.

Otherwise, SCA conds are not expected thru Tue morning. SCA level
south winds are expected Tue afternoon thru wed, except just a 30%
chance of SCA level conds in the southern outer waters zone (pzz676).

For the northern inner waters, SCA conds are not expected thru tue
morning. SCA level south winds are likely Tue afternoon thru wed.

For the sba channel and southern inner waters, SCA conds are not
expected thru wed.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... Frost advisory in effect until 8 am pst this morning for
zones 34>36-44>46-88-547. (see laxnpwlox).

Pz... None.

Hazard potential outlook (mon-fri)
No significant hazards expected.

Public... Rorke
aviation... Db
marine... Db
synopsis... Phillips
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 9 mi81 min N 6 G 7 42°F 1024.9 hPa
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 17 mi36 min 53°F3 ft
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi47 min ESE 9.7 G 12 53°F 57°F1025.1 hPa42°F
46251 44 mi57 min 57°F3 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA16 mi64 minENE 310.00 miFair36°F27°F70%1024.7 hPa
Oxnard, Oxnard Airport, CA22 mi66 minNNE 1110.00 miFair41°F26°F55%1024.9 hPa

Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmN66S8SW9SW8W10SW9W9SW3W9NE3CalmN4N5CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmNE3
1 day agoNW33SW5NW7W6N7NW16
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NE12N11NE5NE6N6N4N7NW5NW3Calm4NW4NE6NE115
2 days agoNW3CalmNW4W9W10W14W18
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Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, California (2)
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Rincon Island
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:07 AM PST     5.06 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:19 AM PST     0.80 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:34 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:26 AM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 12:16 PM PST     4.40 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:48 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:25 PM PST     0.69 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:40 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.14.84.13.12.11.20.80.91.52.33.344.44.33.72.91.91.20.70.81.32.23.24.1

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, California
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Rincon Island
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:09 AM PST     4.93 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:20 AM PST     0.79 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:34 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:26 AM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 12:18 PM PST     4.29 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:48 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:25 PM PST     0.63 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:40 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.94.74.13.121.20.80.91.42.33.23.94.34.23.62.81.91.10.70.71.22.13.14

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.