Monday, May27, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carpinteria, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:47AMSunset 8:04PM Monday May 27, 2019 4:27 AM PDT (11:27 UTC) Moonrise 2:14AMMoonset 1:41PM Illumination 40% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 329 Am Pdt Mon May 27 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through this evening...
Today..Western portion, W to nw winds 15 to 25 kt. Local gusts to 30 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, W to nw winds 10 to 15 kt in the morning, becoming 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Combined seas 4 to 6 ft dominant period 7 seconds.
Tonight..W to nw winds 15 to 25 kt with local gusts to 30 kt in the evening, becoming 10 to 15 kt. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft dominant period 8 seconds.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 9 seconds.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 9 seconds.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 10 seconds.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 10 seconds.
Thu..Winds variable 10 kt or less early, becoming W 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft.
PZZ600 329 Am Pdt Mon May 27 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 10z, or 3 am pdt, a 1026 mb high was located 900 nm W of point conception. A 1000 mb low was centered near las vegas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carpinteria, CA
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location: 34.4, -119.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 271032
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
332 am pdt Mon may 27 2019

Synopsis 26 818 pm.

A warming trend will start today and persist through Thursday.

Night through morning clouds are expected to return to most
coastal areas by Tuesday. There is a slight chance of mountain
showers by midweek.

Short term (tdy-wed) 27 310 am.

Much quieter and a little more normal weather day on tap today.

Yesterday's upper low is pushing out of the state. Dry nnw flow is
setting up on its heals. Hgts will rise from the abnormally low
555 dm ydy to a still below normal but much more reasonable 568 dm
this afternoon. North flow has banked some clouds up against the
north slopes near the kern county line and there are some patch
low clouds across the central coast but otherwise skies were
mostly clear. MAX temps will be warmer than yesterday but will
still be about 12 to 15 degrees below normal (20 degrees blo
normal in the antelope vly)
a little eddy will spin up and along some warming aloft a decent
marine layer stratus deck will develop and will cover most of the
coasts and lower vlys.

There will not be enough onshore flow nor a strong enough
inversion to hinder the stratus dissipation and skies will be
clear by late morning. Aloft there will be 570 dm hgts aligned in
a northerly direction. There will be 3 to 6 degrees of warming but
max temps will still come in well below normal.

A little trof ripples through on Wednesday. It will not do much
much except to deepen the marine layer a little bit. Onshore flow
increase a little bit which should delay the stratus dissipation
by an hour or two. Temps will not change much near the coast but
inland most of the cool air will have modified and this will allow
for a healthy 6 to 8 degrees of warming. The trof will bring just
enough lift and instability to warrant a slight chc of tstms over
the vta northern mtns and the far eastern mtns of la county.

Long term (thu-sun) 27 330 am.

Both the GFS and the ec agree that an upper low will move into the
state on Thursday and then will open up into a quasi stationary
pos tilt broad trof Friday and remain there through Sunday. There
will be moderate onshore flow through the period.

Skies will remain mostly clear save for the typical night through
morning low cloud regime.

The little trof will allow for a slight chc of mtn tstms on
Thursday but otherwise there should not be any convection.

Hgts rise to about 577 dm Friday and then change little after
that. MAX temps will rise to near normal Thursday and then will
change little each day after that.

Aviation 27 0633z.

At 2345z at klax, there was no marine layer nor a sfc based
inversion.

Moderate confidence in tafs. There is a chc of MVFR CIGS at all
sites through 14z but most sites should have only sct conds
through the period.

Klax..Moderate confidence in taf. There is a 30 percent chc of
ocnl bkn025 conds through 17z. MVFR CIGS may arrive as early as
06z Tuesday. Good confidence in no east wind issues.

Kbur... Moderate confidence in taf. There is a 30 percent chc of
ocnl bkn025 conds through 17z.

Marine 26 817 pm.

For the outer waters, high confidence in current forecast.

Northwest winds will increase to small craft advisory (sca) levels
at times tonight for the southern waters zone (pzz676) and for all
the outer waters Monday through Friday with the occasional slight
lull during the overnight hours.

For the inner waters north of point sal, moderate confidence in
current forecast. Winds should remain below SCA levels tonight.

There is a 50% chance of SCA level winds each afternoon Monday and
Tuesday. For Wednesday through Friday, winds and seas are
expected to remain below SCA levels.

For the inner waters south of point conception, moderate
confidence in current forecast. There is a 70% chance of sca
level winds this afternoon and evening and a 50% chance of sca
level winds Monday afternoon and evening. For Tuesday through
Friday, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect from 3 pm this afternoon to 9
pm pdt this evening for zone 645. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect until 9 pm pdt this evening
for zones 650-655. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect from 3 pm this afternoon to 3
am pdt Thursday for zone 670. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect until 3 am pdt Thursday for
zones 673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (wed-sun)
No significant hazards expected.

Public... Rorke
aviation... Rorke
marine... Rat sirard
synopsis... Delerme
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 9 mi52 min NE 2.9 G 6 54°F 1014.5 hPa
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi38 min W 18 G 21 54°F 54°F3 ft1015.5 hPa52°F
46251 44 mi28 min 57°F4 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA16 mi35 minW 10 G 1810.00 miFair52°F44°F75%1014.7 hPa
Oxnard, Oxnard Airport, CA22 mi37 minN 010.00 miFair49°F44°F83%1014.6 hPa

Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3CalmW3CalmW6W4W12W9W10W12W14
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1 day agoE6CalmSE3SE6SE10SE7SE9SE9SE9SE7SE7SE9SW6W6W7S3SE4E6NE5NE7N3CalmNE3Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalm3SW6SW6SW9W10W11W13W14W14W11W7SE4SE4CalmSE5CalmE4E5E4E4E6

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, California (2)
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Rincon Island
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Mon -- 12:04 AM PDT     2.65 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:14 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:02 AM PDT     3.57 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:48 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:51 AM PDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:40 PM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:51 PM PDT     4.29 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:01 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.62.72.93.23.53.63.53.12.51.91.30.90.811.52.333.74.24.34.13.73.12.6

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, California
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Rincon Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:00 AM PDT     2.59 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:14 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:54 AM PDT     3.60 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:48 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:44 AM PDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:40 PM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:48 PM PDT     4.37 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:01 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.62.72.93.33.53.63.432.51.81.20.80.711.62.33.13.84.34.44.13.73.12.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.