Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carpinteria, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:47AMSunset 8:16PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 12:10 PM PDT (19:10 UTC) Moonrise 10:52AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 851 Am Pdt Wed Jun 28 2017
Today..E winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tonight..Western portion...nw winds 10 to 20 kt. Eastern portion...w winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Thu..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Fri..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Sat..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft. Patchy fog.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog.
PZZ600 851 Am Pdt Wed Jun 28 2017
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 15z...or 8 am pdt...a 1028 mb high was located 700 nm west of seattle washington while a 1006 mb thermal low was over southeast california. The thermal low will change little through the week while the high moves closer to the coast...but will weaken some along the way.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carpinteria, CA
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location: 34.4, -119.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 281753
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
1050 am pdt Wed jun 28 2017
updated aviation discussion

Synopsis
High pressure aloft will build into the region by Friday,
bringing a warming trend away from the coast. Some cooling is
expected away from the coast this weekend into early next week as
high pressure weakens. Night to morning low clouds and patchy will
continue for coastal areas, extending into the valleys at times.

Short term (tdy-fri)
a weak eddy spun up overnight but low cloud coverage wasn't quite
as complete as expected. In any case, all areas will be a little
cooler today. A little breezy in the antelope valley and a weak
sundowner again for southern sb county again tonight but below
advisory levels in both cases. Expecting low clouds to fill in a
little better tonight. Otherwise a pretty quiet pattern today and
the next several.

***from previous discussion***
Thursday looks pretty much like a do-over day except that there
will be better marine layer stratus coverage and the stronger
onshore flow will keep more beaches cloudy. MAX temps will be very
similar to todays save for the cloudy beaches which will be
cooler.

The ridge will roll in on Friday and hgts will rise up to 592 dm.

It will arrive along will offshore flow from the north. This will
reduce or eliminate the marine layer stratus from the vlys and
will allow for a decent warm up across the area and ESP in the
vlys.

Long term (sat-tue)
the calender may say july but the weather will say june.

Friday's ridge will be replaced by a trof and stronger onshore
flow. The GFS is more trofy with stronger onshore flow (and hence
cooler) than the ec. Favored the GFS for this forecast as it has
been a little more consistent.

There will be night through morning low clouds and fog across the
coasts and most of the vlys while the remainder of the area will
have mostly clear skies. MAX temps will fall to seasonal normals
on Saturday and then will change little through the 4th of july.

Aviation 28 1750z.

Sounding marine layer information missing due to server outage.

Moderate confidence inVFR conditions everywhere through 00z, with
a 50 percent chance of bkn010 conditions at any given hour today
at koxr and 30 percent chance at klax ksmo. Moderate confidence
in deeper and more expansive marine layer tonight south of santa
barbara, and a shallower less expansive marine layer to the
north. 99 percent chance of cig 006-012 at ksmx ksbp koxr kcma
ksmo klax klgb tonight, 70 percent chance at kbur kvny, 20 percent
chance at kprb. Moderate confidence in TAF timing + - 3 hours.

Klax... Moderate confidence inVFR conditions through 03z... With a
30 percent chance of a couple of hours of bkn010 19-23z. 80
percent chance of CIGS arriving 04-10z, with bases at 008-012.

Catalina eddy expected Thursday morning, with SE winds likely
05-08kt at times after 10z. 10 percent chance of exceeding 10 kt.

Kbur... High confidence inVFR conditions through 06z. 70 percent
chance of CIGS around 006 arriving 08-13z.

Marine 28 900 am.

High confidence in small craft advisory (sca) conditions from the
central coast to san nicolas island through at least Thursday
night, with gale force winds possible by Friday night. Will likely
extend the current SCA another day with the afternoon forecast,
and may issue a gale watch for Friday. There will be lulls each
morning within 10 miles from the coast. Moderate confidence in
the santa barbara channel staying below SCA for the next few days.

Southeast winds may be locally gusty each morning in the san pedro
and santa barbara channels.

Two distinct wave types will be observable over the waters, and a
short period (6-8 second) west swell and or wind wave. The buoys
will likely highlight the long period swell at times, but the
short period swell will be most noticeable and will be highlighted
in the forecast. By later tonight, the short-period west swell
will dominate as the south swell fades.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... Small craft advisory in effect from 3 pm this afternoon to 9
pm pdt this evening for zone 645. (see laxmwwlox).

Small craft advisory in effect until 6 am pdt Thursday for
zones 670-673-676. (see laxmwwlox).

Hazard potential outlook (fri-tue)
no significant hazards expected.

Public... Mw rorke
aviation... Kittell
marine... Kittell
synopsis... Munroe
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 9 mi41 min SE 4.1 G 6 61°F 1012.8 hPa
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 17 mi41 min 63°F2 ft
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi31 min W 7.8 G 9.7 60°F 60°F1013.5 hPa59°F
46251 44 mi50 min 64°F4 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA16 mi18 minS 710.00 miA Few Clouds65°F57°F78%1012.4 hPa
Oxnard, Oxnard Airport, CA22 mi20 minWSW 610.00 miA Few Clouds67°F57°F73%1012.6 hPa

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Last 24hrS7SE6SE8SE8SE9SE10SE8SE8SE5E5CalmE6E5CalmW3CalmNE3CalmE5E4S5SE8S9S7
1 day agoS6SW65SE7SE7SE7SE6SE6SE9SE9CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmN3CalmW3SW75S75
2 days agoW8W11W8S5S5S6SE6SE4E4E6SE3SE5CalmE4CalmN3CalmN3CalmCalmSE5SE9S9SE5

Tide / Current Tables for Rincon Island, Mussel Shoals, California
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Rincon Island
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:51 AM PDT     5.48 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:48 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:56 AM PDT     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:52 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:49 PM PDT     4.40 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:07 PM PDT     2.40 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:14 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.35.55.14.33.11.70.6-0.2-0.5-0.20.61.72.83.74.34.44.23.73.12.62.42.52.93.6

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:54 AM PDT     5.44 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:49 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:01 AM PDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:53 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:04 PM PDT     4.38 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:13 PM PDT     2.61 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:15 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.35.45.24.43.320.80-0.2-00.71.62.73.64.24.44.23.83.32.82.62.733.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.