Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Harkers Island, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 7:28PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 1:16 AM EDT (05:16 UTC) Moonrise 7:10AMMoonset 8:21PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Tue Mar 28 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through late Wednesday night...
Overnight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft...except 3 to 4 ft near shore. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop... Diminishing to light chop.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Wed night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft...except around 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft... Except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Dominant period 9 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Thu night..E winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming se after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Fri..SE winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming S 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop...increasing to choppy in the afternoon. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Fri night..S winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy... Diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the evening...then showers likely after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming n. Seas 4 to 6 ft...subsiding to 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Harkers Island, NC
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location: 34.4, -76.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 290200
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport/morehead city nc
1000 pm edt Tue mar 28 2017

Synopsis
A cold front will cross the region later tonight. High pressure
will build in from the north late Wednesday into Thursday. A
warm front will move through from the southwest Friday. A cold
front will move through early Saturday. Another cold front will
approach the area early next week.

Near term /overnight/
As of 10 pm tue... Only change was to add patchy fog to zones
away from the beaches tonight, as earlier rains combined with
calm to light winds and clearing skies have led to fog
development this evening. Fog should clear by around daybreak
with N winds increasing.

Previous discussion... As of 745 pm Tuesday... Second batch of
thunderstorms have moved east to the coast as short wave axis
now moving through E nc with drying subsident flow behind it.

Have a decreasing pop trend through midnight for eastern areas,
with all locations dry after midnight with partly cloudy skies
expected. Another warm night expected with lows in the 50s.

Short term /Wednesday/
As of 1240 pm Tuesday... Dry weather expected for Wednesday as
high pressure ridges in from the sw. Winds will be out of the
north, and it will be a bit cooler. High temps will still reach
the low to mid 70s except for the dare county and the nobx where
the winds will blow off the still cold ocean, and temps will
only reach the low to mid 60s.

Long term /Wednesday night through Tuesday/
As of 230 pm Tuesday...

Wednesday night through Thursday... Ridging at the surface and
in the mid-levels will keep the region dry with a n/ne wind flow
providing slightly cooler temperatures. Seasonal temps
Wednesday night with lows generally in the mid to upper 40s. Nne
flow will keep NRN coast chilly Thursday with mid 50s rest of
the area will be in the 60s.

Thursday night through Sunday night... Moisture will start to
spread east from the mountains Thursday night with a few showers
reaching the far western CWA toward morning Friday. A deep 500
mb trough which will become negatively tilted... Coupled with
advection of deep moisture into eastern nc ahead of cold front
will lead to a rather wet Friday and have continued previous
forecasts of likely pops Friday into Friday evening. QPF totals
expected to be in the 1/2 to 1 inch range and could top an inch
in some spots. Will continue mention of thunder in the forecast
for Friday and Fri evening. Instability is not very impressive
in the latest model runs... But with negatively tilted upper
trough and plentiful moisture... A few thunderstorms will be
quite possible. Highs Friday will range from the mid 60s outer
banks to lower 70s inland. Small chc of lingering shra coast
early Sat then dry and mild rest of the weekend with high pres
crossing to the N and ridge aloft over the area. Highs Sat and
sun will range from the the upper 50s to lower 60s NE cst to
low/mid 70s sw.

Monday through tue... Another impressive SRN stream short wave
will impact the area with good cvrg of shra and a few tsra late
mon into tue. Given uncertainty of timing this far out will
keep pops in chc range but did add some tsra as area shld be in
warm sector. Highs will be in the 70s inland to 60s beaches.

Aviation /02z Wednesday through Sunday/
Short term /through 18z wed/...

as of 745 pm Tuesday... Improving conditions expected this
evening as showers/storms exiting E nc. Model guidance
continues to indicate we could see a low stratocumulus deck
around 3k ft advect into E nc affecting all TAF sites for a
period on Wed morning. Return toVFR expected by later wed
morning with N winds 6-12 kt expected.

Long term /Wednesday night through Sunday/...

as of 230 pm Tuesday... With ridging in place at the surface and
in the mid- levels... ExpectVFR conditions into Thursday evening.

Widespread sub-vfr conditions are likely Friday and Friday
night as numerous showers and a few thunderstorms will occur
with slow moving cold front. Improving conditions to mostlyVFR
later Saturday and Sunday with surface and mid-level ridge
again building over eastern nc.

Marine
Short term /today and tonight/...

as of 305 pm Tuesday... Sw winds now around 10-20kt are expected
to continue and strengthen a bit more later this evening. Winds
will diminish tonight after a cold front moves through, but are
expected to pick up again out of the N around 15-20 kt by
Wednesday morning. Seas are expected remain 4-6 ft across the
central and southern waters and build up to 7 ft overnight with
contribution from swell produced by a low pressure area lifting
north across the western atlantic. Will continue the SCA for
the waters south of oregon inlet.

Long term /Wednesday night through Sunday/...

as of 230 pm Wednesday... Nne winds will grad diminish to 10 to
15 kts most areas later Wed night into Thu as high pres builds
in from the n. Seas are expected to subside below 6 feet all
waters by early thu. Winds will veer to ese 10 to 15 kts on
backside of high Thu night with seas 3 to 5 feet. Ssw winds will
ramp up to 15 to 25 kts Fri into Fri evening ahead of a
low/cold front. These winds will lead to seas reaching 6 to 8
feet late Fri and Fri night. The cold front will push offshore
by early Sat with wnw winds 10 to 20 kts becoming more N late.

Seas will subside to 4 to 6 feet sat. High pres will build in
from the NW Sun with N to NE winds AOB 15 kts and seas mainly 3
to 5 feet... Poss some lingering 6 footers far outer central and
nrn wtrs.

Mhx watches/warnings/advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Thursday for amz152-154.

Small craft advisory until 2 am edt Thursday for amz156-158.

Synopsis... Sk/sgk
near term... Tl/sgk
short term... Sgk
long term... Rf/ctc
aviation... Dag/rf/tl/sgk
marine... Rf/sgk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CLKN7 - Cape Lookout, NC 16 mi77 min W 9.9 G 11 64°F 1012.9 hPa (-0.4)
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 22 mi47 min W 1 G 1.9 62°F 62°F1012.2 hPa
41159 23 mi34 min 64°F5 ft
41064 23 mi69 min WSW 12 G 16 65°F 1013.1 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 49 mi69 min W 9.7 G 14 67°F 70°F1012.2 hPa

Wind History for Beaufort, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Beaufort Smith Field, NC23 mi79 minW 36.00 miFog/Mist62°F62°F100%1013.3 hPa

Wind History from MRH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S8S7SW7SW6S5SW6SW10SW10SW11SW9W5SW5S10S12SW12SW12SW8W10
G19
S10SW5NW6W3NW5
1 day agoSE3S3SE4W7CalmCalmCalmCalmW5W7SW8SW9S9S10S8S10S7S6S6S7S6S6S7S7
2 days agoCalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE4S7SE9SE8SE7SE11
G17
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Tide / Current Tables for Cape Lookout Bight, North Carolina
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Cape Lookout Bight
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Wed -- 02:41 AM EDT     -0.82 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:42 AM EDT     4.61 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:52 PM EDT     -0.82 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:07 PM EDT     5.27 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:20 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.40.1-0.7-0.8-0.20.92.33.64.44.64.131.70.3-0.6-0.8-0.40.72.23.74.85.354.1

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Lookout (ocean), North Carolina
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Cape Lookout (ocean)
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:31 AM EDT     -0.77 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:37 AM EDT     3.93 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:42 PM EDT     -0.77 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:02 PM EDT     4.49 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:20 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1-0.1-0.7-0.7-0.20.82.13.23.83.93.42.41.20.1-0.6-0.7-0.30.723.24.24.54.23.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.