Sunrise 6:01 AM   Sunset 8:11 PM Moonrise 4:37 PM   Moonset 3:12 AM

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AMZ158 S Of Cape Lookout To N Of Surf City Nc Out 20 Nm- 1252 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 5 am edt early this morning - .
Rest of tonight - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Wave detail: ne 4 ft at 5 seconds and S 1 ft at 5 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Mon - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Wave detail: ne 4 ft at 5 seconds and sw 1 ft at 4 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy. Mon night - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft, except 2 to 3 ft near shore. Wave detail: ne 4 ft at 6 seconds and se 1 ft at 11 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop after midnight. Tue - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: ne 3 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Wed - NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 8 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Adjacent sounds and rivers flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop, increasing to a moderate chop in the afternoon. Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers a moderate chop. Fri - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. Fri night - S winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Adjacent sounds and rivers light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ100 1252 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - Breezy northeasterly winds early this week with a high pressure ridging from our north and low pressure offshore. Mostly dry through mid week before the next potential frontal system late week.

FXUS62 KILM 200743 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 343 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure maintains dry conditions through the first half of the work week. Temperatures warm through mid week with rain chances not returning until late Thursday into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Dry high pressure will maintain control as it ridges southward into the area. This will bring unseasonably cool air into southeast NC and northeast SC with highs today close to 80 most locales and lows tonight mainly in the mid to upper 50s. Some low-level moisture advecting into the area and trapped beneath the nocturnal inversion this morning and again tonight will likely yield some low clouds/fog. Think the better chance of fog will be tonight though given lighter low-level winds.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Shortwave ridging aloft aligns itself across the east coast through the period with persistent surface high pressure. This will lead to dry conditions through the short term period with a warming trend.
Some sources of forecast uncertainty could be cloudiness and lows Tuesday night as the center of the high looks to nudge NE. This could allow flow around the high to bring in stratus overnight, which would inhibit radiational cooling despite calm winds. Still lowered temps in our colder spots slightly. Otherwise, light onshore flow becoming more SW by the end of the period. Highs warm from the lower 80s to near 90; Lows near 60 warming into the mid 60s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
High pressure moves offshore ahead of a shortwave Thurs night.
Forcing clips the northern part of the area with low rain chances. A cold front will then approach through the end of the week. The temperature forecast is a bit difficult as it will depend on how far south this front pushes. Current trends show that it will stick north of the area, so have risen temps slightly from previous forecast. Spotty forcing aloft paired with enhanced moisture will support increased shower/storm chances through the end of the period.

AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Generally VFR to start the 06Z TAF period across SE NC and NE SC.
Still leaning toward VFR at all 5 TAF sites through the period with high pressure in control, although some low-level moisture will be present so can't rule out MVFR cigs, especially at KILM around daybreak.

Extended Outlook...VFR will dominate but early morning vis/cig restrictions possible each day. Also, showers/storms also possible starting Thu night.

MARINE
Through Tonight...High pressure to the north will maintain gusty northeast winds into this evening before some improvement overnight.
Seas will also be elevated up to 5 ft, mainly due to wind waves but also some mixed swells, but overall conditions should stay below Small Craft Advisory levels.

Tuesday through Friday Night...Sub-SCA conditions under predominant high pressure with increasing rain chances Thurs night. Onshore flow AOB 10 kts becomes more SW 10-15 kts by Thurs. Seas 2-3 ft becoming more 2 ft by Wed. Swells SE at 9-10 sec with a decreasing NE swell 7- 9 sec.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ108.
SC...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for SCZ056.
MARINE...None.

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New River Inlet
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Mon -- 12:15 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:13 AM EDT     2.71 feet High Tide
Mon -- 12:07 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:33 PM EDT     3.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

New River Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

New Topsail Inlet
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Mon -- 12:58 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:17 AM EDT     2.71 feet High Tide
Mon -- 12:50 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:37 PM EDT     3.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

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