Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Surf City, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 8:28PM Monday June 26, 2017 4:51 AM EDT (08:51 UTC) Moonrise 7:48AMMoonset 9:48PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 315 Am Edt Mon Jun 26 2017
Today..NE winds 10 kt...becoming E 10 to 15 kt late this morning and afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Tonight..E winds 10 kt...becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Tue..N winds 10 kt...becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Isolated showers.
Tue night..N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Isolated showers.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night..SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Thu..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
Fri..S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 315 Am Edt Mon Jun 26 2017
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A front will continue to push offshore today. This front will weaken offshore until another front pushes it well offshore Monday night into Tuesday. High pressure will follow Wednesday through Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Surf City, NC
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location: 34.45, -77.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 260639
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
239 am edt Mon jun 26 2017

Synopsis
Drier air and slightly cooler temperatures will begin spreading
across the area today as high pressure edges in from the west.

An upper disturbance will bring a few showers late on Tuesday
followed by a reinforcement of cooler and drier air through mid
week. Summer warmth and humidity will return late week into next
weekend.

Near term through tonight
As of 3 am Monday... A long awaited cold front is situated
northeast to southwest from just south of wilmington to just
north of kingstree south carolina. A few showers are breaking
out along and south of the boundary as expected as favorable
upper level jetting passes by. These should wind down in the
next few hours and warrants only slight chance pops through 12
utc mostly along coastal and southern areas. The front will
continue to slowly push offshore through the day and with
precipitable water values dropping to below an inch, no
convection is expected. I opted for the slightly warmer met
numbers for daytime highs in the middle to upper 80s. Tonight
will be very pleasant with lows in the middle to upper 60s with
the possibility of even lower values in extreme northwest zones.

Short term Tuesday through Tuesday night
As of 3 am Monday... Primary headlines this period include an
upper disturbance in the cradle of a trough aloft followed by
unseasonably drier and cooler air for late june on Wednesday.

The moisture profiles for late Tuesday appear unsupportive of
tstms and only depicted showers. Height rises early Wednesday
will reinforce surface high pressure, prompting cool air flux
with falling dewpoints. Mugginess will disappear and maximums
Wednesday even under sunshine 83-87, vastly more comfortable
than recently, minimums 60-66 degrees at daybreak Wednesday.

Long term Wednesday through Sunday
As of 3 pm Sunday... Cooler and dry high pressure will become
established across the forecast area through much of the period.

Aloft a ridge is well establish for most of this forecast with
a trough moving into the carolinas by next Sunday.

At the surface by the last half of the forecast period, return
flow on the back side of the bermuda high will see a slight
increase in chances of precipiation by the end of the period
with little larger scale forcing forcing present.

High temperatures are expected to be slightly below normal on
Wednesday and then slowly warm to normal by Sunday. Lows are
expected to be in the middle 60s inland to near 70 at the coast
on Wednesday before returning into the low to middle 70s by the
end of the week.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
As of 06z... Expect mostlyVFR conditions through the period. A
little uncertainty or lower confidence for the next few hours
as there is an outside possibility of some MVFR br or stratus.

However feel the dry air advection is just enough to keep this
limited or non existent. Cloud cover will diminish appreciably
later this morning and this afternoon.

Extended outlook... Flight restrictions possible with mainly
isolated showers and thunderstorms Tue afternoon.

Marine
Near term through tonight ...

as of 3 am Monday... Winds have shifted across the northern waters
with a northerly component now being reported at 41013 and jmpn7
as a cold front eases off the coast. The southernmost waters
are probably seeing southwest winds continuing. They to will
eventually see north to northeast winds of 10-15 knots which
will prevail through the near term forecast period. As usual the
sea breeze may distort the typical summertime synoptic flow.

Significant seas will be 2-3 feet.

Short term Tuesday through Wednesday night ...

as of 3 am Monday... Manageable but atypical marine conditions
since n-ne winds will prevail as high pressure from the west
with slightly cooler and drier spreads into area. Seas however
should hold at 3 feet or less and winds 17kt or less this period
so no caution headline or advisory anticipated. A few marine
showers may form Tuesday night as a disturbance aloft skirts by
and a few tstms near the gulf stream may erupt, but move east
not into shore. Seas 2-3 feet in a mix of weak SE swell, waning
s waves and a moderate n-ne chop.

Long term Wednesday through Friday ...

as of 3 pm Sunday... High pressure will dominate this forecast
with northeast winds at or below 10 knots on Wednesday. By
Friday there will be a break in the high pressure ridge and
winds will return from the south but only around 10 knots. Seas
will generally range around 2 feet with an 8 to 9 second period
from the southeast.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None
marine... None.

Synopsis... 8
near term... Shk
short term... Colby
long term... Drh
aviation... Shk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 22 mi51 min NNW 5.1 G 6 74°F 80°F1016.6 hPa (-0.6)
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 24 mi52 min 80°F2 ft
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 24 mi103 min NNW 5.8 G 12 76°F 79°F1017.7 hPa
NOXN7 - North Carolina Reserve, NC 28 mi66 min WSW 1 72°F 1019 hPa
WLON7 29 mi51 min 74°F 83°F1017.3 hPa (-0.7)
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 33 mi103 min W 7.8 G 12 76°F 80°F1017.3 hPa
41159 34 mi38 min 80°F3 ft
41064 34 mi103 min NW 3.9 G 7.8 78°F 80°F1018.1 hPa
BFTN7 - 8656483 - Beaufort, NC 48 mi51 min N 6 G 8 76°F 78°F1016.8 hPa (-0.3)

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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G28

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
MCAS New River, NC18 mi55 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy73°F72°F96%1017.7 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW3W7W3W4W7W6W5--W7W74NW5NW6NW9N5CalmS3CalmSW6SW8NW4SW3CalmCalm
1 day agoSW10
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2 days agoSW4SW4SW6SW5W9SW10SW13
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Tide / Current Tables for Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina
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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:54 AM EDT     -0.71 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:53 AM EDT     4.33 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:45 PM EDT     -0.70 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:20 PM EDT     5.79 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.82.10.6-0.4-0.7-0.30.723.24.14.33.92.91.60.3-0.5-0.7-0.20.92.445.25.85.6

Tide / Current Tables for New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina
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New Topsail Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:54 AM EDT     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:10 AM EDT     3.03 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:46 PM EDT     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:37 PM EDT     4.06 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:48 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.22.21.20.3-0.3-0.4-0.10.81.82.632.92.41.70.90.1-0.3-0.400.92.23.33.94

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.