Sunrise 6:06 AM   Sunset 8:05 PM Moonrise 8:50 AM   Moonset 12:00 AM

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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 319 Am Edt Sun May 12 2024
Today - W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and E 2 ft at 9 seconds. Tonight - NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: W 2 ft at 4 seconds and E 1 ft at 8 seconds. Mon - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 5 seconds and E 1 ft at 9 seconds. Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 4 seconds and E 2 ft at 9 seconds. Showers likely after midnight. Tue - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 5 seconds and E 1 ft at 10 seconds, becoming S 5 ft at 6 seconds and E 1 ft at 9 seconds. Showers. A slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a chance of tstms in the afternoon. Tue night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: S 6 ft at 7 seconds and E 1 ft at 9 seconds. A chance of tstms. Showers.Wed - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. Wed night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Thu - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Thu night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

AMZ200 319 Am Edt Sun May 12 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles -
a weak offshore flow will develop this morning and continue for most of the day. By early Monday a southerly flow will begin to appear and remain in place a good part of next week.

FXUS62 KILM 120759 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 359 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dry weather continues through Monday. High rain chances for Tuesday through Wednesday with an approaching storm system. Dry again Thursday, before wet weather returns late week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
A weak pressure gradient will reside across the area through the near term period in the wake of a weak boundary moving across this morning. Temperatures will be slightly warmer today nearing 80 degrees in most areas under mostly sunny skies.
Monday morning lows in the middle 50s or so.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY/
Continued dry into Monday as sfc high pressure shifts offshore.
Expect increasing mid/high clouds through the day as moisture increases in the WSW flow aloft, with light southerly sfc flow.
Temps near climatological norms, with highs in the upr 70s to lwr 80s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
Wet weather expected for a good portion of the long term period as two upr-level troughs affect the area...one Tue/Wed and the second Fri/Sat. Isentropic lift increases with a passing warm front Tue leading to categorical PoPs. The rain may be moderate to heavy at times as favorable forcing passes directly over the area. The clouds and rain will keep temps a bit lower Tue than previous days...highs only in the mid/up 70s. Some drier air wraps around for Wednesday, but with the upr-level trough directly over the area rain chances remain in the chance-likely range. Dry then for Thur as a mid-level ridge traverses the area. Next upr-level trough moves in late week, but will keep PoPs no higher than 50% as agreement isn't high amongst guidance with the timing as this is still several days out.

AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR conditions expected through the period.

Extended Outlook... Widespread VFR through Monday. Flight restrictions may occur Monday night into Tuesday with the next weather system moving in. Improving conditions into Wednesday.

MARINE
Through Tonight: A weak surface trough will move across the waters this morning shifting winds to a west/northwest direction. Wind speeds will remain modest at best just above ten knots or so. By Monday morning the pressure pattern remains weak but it seems a bit of a southerly component begins to develop. Significant seas will be 1-3 feet.

Monday through Thursday: One last day of benign marine conditions Mon as broad sfc high pressure shifts offshore and winds become out of the SSE at ~10 kt in the aftn. Marine conditions then deteriorate by Tue as a warm front lifts north through the area ahead of the next low pressure system, with southerly flow increasing to ~20 kt and seas up to 5-6 ft. SCA conditions are possible and may continue until late Wed before low pressure to the north pushes offshore later in the day. Improving marine conditions into Thur as weak sfc high pressure builds in from the west.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Ocean City Beach (fishing pier), North Carolina, Tide feet

New Topsail Inlet
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Sun -- 12:15 AM EDT     Moonset
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Sun -- 06:32 AM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
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Sun -- 06:25 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
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New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina, Tide feet

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