Tuesday, September26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Goleta, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:50AMSunset 6:50PM Tuesday September 26, 2017 5:42 AM PDT (12:42 UTC) Moonrise 11:48AMMoonset 10:19PM Illumination 33% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 117 Am Pdt Tue Sep 26 2017
Today..Western portion...winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion...ne winds 10 to 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 9 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 10 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Wed..Western portion...winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion...ne to E winds 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 10 seconds.
Wed night..W winds 10 kt in the evening...becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 10 seconds.
Thu..Winds variable 10 kt or less...becoming sw 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 10 seconds.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 9 seconds.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Strongest western portion. Combined seas 3 to 5 ft.
PZZ600 117 Am Pdt Tue Sep 26 2017
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 09z...or 2 am pdt....A 1025 mb high was over the eastern pacific with a ridge extending to a 1023 mb high over idaho. A thermal trough was along the ca coast.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Goleta, CA
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location: 34.47, -120     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 261006
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
306 am pdt Tue sep 26 2017

Synopsis
Weak offshore flow will bring a warm and dry conditions with
mostly clear skies to the area through this week and into the
weekend. There will be some gusty north to northeast winds at
times over the region, especially below and through passes and
canyons. A few nighttime marine clouds may sneak into the l.A.

Coastal area by mid week. Temperatures will be a few degrees
above normal for many areas early this week, then increase to much
above normal for late this week and into the weekend.

Short term (tdy-thu)
skies are clear across socal this morning. Dry northerly flow is
overhead. Gradients are still offshore but not as much as they
were 24 hours ago. There are some canyon winds but with no upper
or thermal support they are all sub advisory. Away from the coast
max temps will be similar to yesterdays - maybe a degree or two
cooler in vlys. The coasts will be cooler due to weaker offshore
flow and an earlier sea breeze.

A weak eddy will spin up tonight and its likely (but not certain)
that some marine layer clouds will spread over parts of the la
county coast as well as catalina island. The offshore flow will
also be weaker and this along with slightly lower hgts will knock
a few degrees off of temps everywhere but ESP across the coasts.

A weak ridge moves into the area on Thursday and hgts rise to
582dm up from Wednesday's 576 dm. This will lead to an increase in
temps across the vlys and interior sections. The offshore grad
decrease to almost neutral and this trend will counter the
increase in hgts and coastal temps will be similar to Wednesdays.

The weak eddy is forecast to continue and the la coast will again
see some morning low clouds.

Long term (fri-mon)
ec and GFS agree that an upper low will move through the pac nw
Friday and flatten the flow over ca. By Saturday the upper low
will be entering idaho and cyclonic flow will prevail over the
state. There is no eddy forecast and there is enough offshore flow
to keep the marine clouds away so the forecast calls for clear
skies. It is not too difficult to imagine some low clouds forming
and this will need watching. Whatever the case the very warm temps
that were forecast earlier seem rather unlikely now and MAX temps
now reflect the cooler forecast.

The ec and GFS do not agree on much at all for the Sunday and
Monday forecast. The one thing they do agree on is that onshore
flow will return. Think this will be enough to bring some morning
low clouds to the coasts as well as a cooling trend to the area.

Max temps should be several degrees blo normal both Sun and mon.

Aviation
26 0412z
at 0400z, there was no marine inversion at klax.

Overall, good confidence in 06z TAF package. Weak offshore flow
will keep all sitesVFR through the period. There will be some
llws turbulence issues across the valleys and foothills as the
northeasterly flow develops overnight across ventura and los
angeles counties.

Klax... High confidence in 06z taf. There is a 15% chance of east
winds exceeding 7 knots 10z-18z. There is a 30% chance of llws
08z-20z.

Kbur... High confidence in 06z taf. There is a 40% chance of
moderate llws 08z-20z.

Marine
26 200 am
for the outer waters, high confidence in current forecast. Winds
and seas will remain below SCA levels through Thursday then will
increase to SCA levels Friday and Saturday.

For the inner waters, moderate confidence in current forecast. For
the waters north of point sal, winds and seas will remain below
sca levels through Thursday with a 50% chance of SCA level winds
Friday and Saturday during the afternoon and evening waters. For
the waters south of point conception, there is a 30% chance of sca
level northeast winds from ventura to santa monica this morning.

Otherwise, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels
through Saturday although there is a 40% chance of SCA level
winds Saturday afternoon across the western half of the santa
barbara channel.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... None.

Hazard potential outlook (thu-mon)
there will be local fire weather danger through Saturday.

Public... Rorke
aviation... Rat
marine... Rat
synopsis... Sweet
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 17 mi33 min W 3.9 G 5.8 62°F1008.6 hPa
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 17 mi67 min NNW 1 G 1.9 60°F 1008 hPa
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 29 mi33 min WNW 5.8 G 7.8 59°F1007.7 hPa
PTGC1 - Point Arguello, CA 35 mi43 min N 8 G 9.9 67°F 1008.4 hPa (-0.9)
HRVC1 36 mi43 min 62°F 1008.3 hPa (-1.0)
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 37 mi43 min 64°F2 ft
46218 - Harvest, CA (071) 42 mi43 min 59°F4 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA9 mi50 minN 010.00 miFair53°F46°F77%1007.7 hPa
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA10 mi48 minN 010.00 miFair46°F37°F71%1009.8 hPa

Wind History from SBA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE3CalmCalmSE4S63SW5SW6SW6W7SW5W6W3CalmSE4CalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5SW4SW8SW10W11W12W9W6W7SE4CalmW3CalmW6E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalm6S7S7S6SW8SE7S10SE5SE5SE4E4CalmNW3CalmCalmNE3NE3NW3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Gaviota, California
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Gaviota
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Tue -- 03:25 AM PDT     3.20 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:52 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:34 AM PDT     2.73 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:48 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:15 PM PDT     4.36 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:51 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:12 PM PDT     1.41 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:19 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.32.733.23.232.92.82.72.93.23.53.94.24.44.343.632.41.91.61.41.5

Tide / Current Tables for Santa Barbara, Pacific Ocean, California
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Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:29 AM PDT     3.31 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:49 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:22 AM PDT     2.92 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:45 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:07 PM PDT     4.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:49 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:56 PM PDT     1.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:17 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.42.83.13.33.33.232.92.93.13.43.74.14.34.54.44.13.632.31.81.51.41.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Los Angeles, CA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.