Wednesday, January23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Solvang, CA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 5:23PM Wednesday January 23, 2019 2:18 PM PST (22:18 UTC) Moonrise 8:36PMMoonset 9:08AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 910 Am Pst Wed Jan 23 2019
Today..Variable winds 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 ft at 16 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 15 seconds.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable 10 kt or less. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 14 seconds.
Thu night..Eastern portion, sw winds 10 to 15 kt becoming ne 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Western portion, W winds 10 to 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt or less after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 13 seconds.
Fri..Eastern portion, ne winds 15 to 20 kt becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Western portion, winds variable 10 kt or less becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 13 seconds.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 16 seconds.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Combined seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 2 to 3 ft.
PZZ600 910 Am Pst Wed Jan 23 2019
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park..At 17z...or 9 am pst, a 1035 mb surface high was centered in nevada, with a ridge extending to a 1032 mb high 400 nm W of san francisco. A weak troughw was located across the inner waters. Gusty winds out of the northeast will affect the inner waters south of point conception this morning, especially between ventura and malibu.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Solvang, CA
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location: 34.47, -120.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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Fxus66 klox 231757
afdlox
area forecast discussion
national weather service los angeles oxnard ca
957 am pst Wed jan 23 2019

Synopsis 23 815 am.

Gusty offshore winds will continue through today across ventura
and los angeles mountains as well as some valleys. Fair skies and
warm conditions are expected through the weekend.

Short term (tdy-fri) 23 947 am.

Santa ana winds have diminished as the upper level support has
gone away so all advisories have been canceled. Most areas will be
a little warmer today with continued offshore flow but with more
ridging aloft.

***from previous discussion***
the air mass will continue warm tonight and although some vly
locations will have blo normal min temps there will be much less
near freezing conditions.

Thursday will be a very nice day with offshore flow bringing sub
advisory level gusts to the canyons in the morning. The warm
airmass, weak offshore flow and cloud free skies will keep max
temps running 2 to 4 degrees above normal.

A little inside slider moves over the area Thursday night and will
increase the east to west offshore flow Friday morning. The
offshore flow from kdag is forecast to peak at 7mb which is strong
enough to bring advisory level NE winds to the east and northeast
oriented passes and canyons as well as the areas below them. Hgts
are a little lower and this will knock a degree or two off of the
max temps.

Long term (sat-tue) 23 320 am.

The ec and GFS are in good agreement through the period. On
Saturday the ridge will begin to move over the state and by Sunday
the ridge will be centered over the state. On Monday the ridge is
knocked down by a trof moving out from the great basin. This trof
continues to move down through the state on Tuesday. The GFS which
had been advertising continued ridging on Mon and Tue switched and
now is much like the ec.

The offshore flow is similar to Friday morning and there will
probably be some low end advisory level gusts on Saturday morning.

Max temps will continue to run 2 to 4 degrees above normal under
sunny skies.

Sunday will be the warmest day of the next 7 as the ridge moves
directly over the state. The offshore flow will weaken so while
there will be some canyon winds they will not reach advisory
levels. MAX temps will end up 4 to 8 degrees above normal.

Cooler Monday as hgts fall and offshore flow relaxes due to the
approaching trof. Still MAX temps will be 2 to 5 degrees above
normal.

Tuesday looks like it could be a very interesting day as both the
ec and GFS build in a large sfc high into the great basin. Both
the ec and the GFS show almost 10 mb of offshore flow from kdag.

If this verifies dangerous wind gusts will be common across much
of la and vta counties.

Aviation 23 1740z.

At 1800z, there was no marine layer at klax.

Vfr conditions are expected thru the period.

Klax... High confidence in the 18z TAF withVFR conds thru the pd.

Kbur... High confidence in the 18z TAF withVFR conds thru the pd.

Marine 23 929 am.

For the outer waters, fairly high confidence in the forecast.

Winds and seas will likely remain below small craft advisory
levels thru sun. There is a 30% chance of SCA level winds tonight
thru Thu evening, mainly across the northern two zones (pzz670-673).

For the inner waters north of point sal, mostly high confidence
in the forecast. Winds and seas are expected to remain below sca
levels through sun.

For the inner waters south of point conception, moderate
confidence in current forecast. SCA level winds are no longer
expected.

There is a 20% chance of SCA level NE winds late Thu night fri
morning across eastern portions of the sba channel and the southern
inner waters from pt mugu to santa monica, and a 40% chance of
sca level winds in these areas late Fri night Sat morning.

Lox watches warnings advisories
Ca... None.

Pz... None.

Hazard potential outlook (fri-tue)
Advisory level north to northeast winds will be possible night
and morning hours Fri and Sat for wind-prone areas of ventura and
los angeles counties. These areas may have advisory-level to
possible high wind warning level wind gusts Mon night into tue.

Public... Mw rorke
aviation... Sweet
marine... Sweet
synopsis... Kd lp
weather.Gov losangeles


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA 20 mi38 min 5 ft
HRVC1 24 mi30 min 57°F 1024.9 hPa
PTGC1 - Point Arguello, CA 24 mi138 min NNW 8.9 G 9.9 55°F 1027.6 hPa (-0.6)
46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA 25 mi28 min W 7.8 G 7.8 58°F 58°F3 ft1024.5 hPa52°F
NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 28 mi42 min WSW 8 G 9.9 60°F 1024.5 hPa
46218 - Harvest, CA (071) 30 mi18 min 59°F5 ft
46217 - Anacapa Passage, CA (111) 47 mi27 min 58°F2 ft

Wind History for Santa Barbara, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Ynez, Santa Ynez Airport, CA12 mi1.7 hrsSW 310.00 miFair63°F37°F39%1025.7 hPa
Lompoc, Lompoc Airport, CA19 mi2.4 hrsW 510.00 miFair63°F39°F41%1027.2 hPa
Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, CA21 mi2.4 hrsWSW 510.00 miFair61°F41°F48%1026.7 hPa

Wind History from IZA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6W6W5W5SW3CalmNE3E7CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3SW5
1 day agoNW11
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NW11NW9NW6NW9W5NW7NW5NW7CalmNW3N7NE5N8NW3CalmCalmCalmW6SW4SW3SW4
2 days agoW11
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Tide / Current Tables for Gaviota, California
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Gaviota
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Wed -- 04:48 AM PST     1.49 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:04 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:07 AM PST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:56 AM PST     6.14 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:21 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:54 PM PST     -1.10 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:36 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.33.93.12.31.71.51.92.73.955.96.15.84.73.21.60.2-0.8-1.1-0.70.31.62.83.9

Tide / Current Tables for Cuyler Harbor, San Miguel Island, California
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Cuyler Harbor
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:45 AM PST     1.46 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:03 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:07 AM PST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:50 AM PST     6.01 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:22 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:51 PM PST     -1.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:37 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.23.832.21.61.51.92.83.955.865.64.531.50.1-0.8-1.1-0.60.31.62.93.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Vandenberg AFB, CA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.