Tuesday, March26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Holly Ridge, NC

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 7:27PM Tuesday March 26, 2019 6:09 AM EDT (10:09 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 10:06AM Illumination 71% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ250 Coastal Waters From Surf City To Cape Fear Nc Out 20 Nm- 330 Am Edt Tue Mar 26 2019
.gale warning in effect from 3 pm edt this afternoon through Wednesday morning...
Today..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming ne 20 to 25 kt late this morning and afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. A chance of showers early this morning, then a slight chance of showers late this morning.
Tonight..NE winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
Wed..NE winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
Wed night..NE winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
Thu..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Thu night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
Fri..NE winds 10 kt, becoming s. Seas 4 to 5 ft, subsiding to 3 ft.
Sat..S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
AMZ200 330 Am Edt Tue Mar 26 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. A cold front will move east of the waters later this morning. Strong high pressure will build in from the north causing strong winds and rough seas Tuesday into Thursday. High pressure to the west will build over the waters late in the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holly Ridge, NC
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location: 34.49, -77.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, NC
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Fxus62 kilm 260726
afdilm
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington nc
326 am edt Tue mar 26 2019

Synopsis
Lingering rain will end by daybreak as cold front moves
offshore. Breezy and cooler weather is expected today and
Wednesday as high pressure builds in from the north. The high
will move off the coast late Thursday, with a warming trend into
next weekend. A cold front may bring an isolated shower Sunday.

Near term through Wednesday
As of 3 am Tuesday... A cold front is currently sliding off the coast
as high pressure builds over the upr midwest. Anafrontal precip
continues early this morning as a mid-level shortwave trough slides
through the carolinas. The rain will end from NW to SE later this
morning, giving way to a breezy and cooler day behind the cold front
with caa. Temps will not even make it to 60 most places and the
brisk northerly winds will make it feel even cooler. Decreasing
clouds through the day.

Skies will clear by tonight as high pressure builds in, but pressure
gradient remains tight with enhanced n-ne flow. The northerly flow
will continue to drive CAA through the night with temps dropping
down into the 30s. A few spots could reach down toward freezing, but
frost is not expected due to the wind.

Cool and dry into Wednesday as well, with high pressure sliding off
the NE coast and NE flow continuing. High temps only in the upr 50s
to around 60.

Short term Wednesday night through Thursday night
As of 3 am Tuesday... Mid-level cutoff takes shape north of the
bahamas Wed night with the pattern aloft over the southeast becoming
more progressive Thu and Thu night as the cutoff slowly drifts east-
northeast. Elongated high pressure just off the new england coast
extends southwest into the carolinas early in the period. The center
of the high shifts farther east Thu into Thu night, with its
influence steadily weakening. Although cold advection winds down by
wed evening, cold air in place coupled with light winds and deep dry
air clear skies will allow for some radiational cooling. Winds will
not fully decouple with speeds expected to be 3 to 6 mph overnight.

Typical cold spot will likely flirt with freezing during the predawn
hours.

Weak high pressure remains in control Thu and Thu night as weak warm
advection starts to develop later in the period. Modification of the
air mass coupled with warm advection will help push highs into the
mid 60s for most areas. Clear skies, deep dry air and calm winds
will allow for excellent radiational cooling conditions Thu night
with lows once again well below climo. Temperatures at or below
freezing do not appear to be a concern at this point with coldest
spots likely to end up in the mid 30s.

Long term Friday through Monday
As of 3 am Tuesday... Steering flow shifts from zonal Fri morning to
flat troughing early next week. Northern stream system moving across
the northeast southeastern canada drags a cold front into the region
sun. High pressure ahead of the front will keep the region warm and
dry through the end of the week. Limited moisture return ahead of
the front and strong dynamics displaced well north of the area
suggest a dry frontal passage. The front stalls just south of the
area Sun night with a southern stream system along the gulf coast
working to return the front north later mon.

-temperatures above well above climo Fri through Sun night.

-deep westerly flow through Sun limits moisture return ahead of
cold front early next week. Rainfall chances remain low into
mon.

-best rainfall chances will be Mon afternoon and evening when
front stalled to the south returns north.

-temperatures well below normal Mon and slightly below normal
mon night. Freezing temperatures very unlikely.

Aviation 07z Tuesday through Saturday
As of 06z... .A cold front and accompanying rain showers are
currently making their way across the cwa. Elevated rain
chances continue through early this morning as a shortwave will
continue to provide lift behind front. Cloud deck between 5 and
10 kft will become MVFR at inland terminals around by 7-8z and
coastal terminals around 9z. Chance ceilings could become ifr
briefly, but confidence too low for TAF inclusion. Ceilings
should improve toVFR around 18z, with skies clearing shortly
after. Southwest winds to become quickly northerly behind
frontal passage, with gusty north winds sustained around 15kts
and gusting into the 20s.

Extended outlook...VFR conditions through the rest of the week.

Marine
As of 3 am Tuesday... Strengthening winds veer to the NW then ne
today behind a departing cold front. A gale warning is still in
effect, starting mid afternoon today and lasting through Wednesday
for frequent gusts up to 35-40 kt expected as strong high pressure
builds north of the area. Seas up to 8-9 ft out 20 nm.

Strong northeast flow Wed night starts decreasing Thu with influence
of the high off the new england coast starting to weaken. Small
craft advisory will likely be needed Wed night with conditions
slowly improving thu. Speeds will be 20 to 25 kt Wed night dropping
to 15 to 20 kt thu. Prolonged period of strong northwest flow will
likely keep seas over 6 ft into Thu afternoon before seas drop below
headline criteria.

Weakening high pressure will be the dominant feature Thu night
through Sat with northerly flow dropping under 10 kt early fri
morning and becoming variable late in the week. Seas trend slowly
downward Thu night and fri, falling from 2 to 4 ft to 3 ft or less
fri night and sat.

Ilm watches warnings advisories
Sc... None.

Nc... None.

Marine... Gale warning from 3 pm this afternoon to noon edt Wednesday
for amz250-252-254-256.

Near term... Mas
short term... Iii
long term... Iii
aviation... Mas vao


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JMPN7 - 8658163 - Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 21 mi40 min 57°F 57°F1012.6 hPa
41038 - ILM2 - 5 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 25 mi62 min N 7.8 G 12 57°F 58°F1012.1 hPa
41110 - Masonboro Inlet, NC 25 mi40 min 58°F2 ft
WLON7 26 mi40 min 57°F 58°F1013 hPa
41037 - ILM3 - 27 miles SE of Wrightsville Beach, NC 37 mi62 min N 12 G 18 60°F 65°F1012 hPa
41064 40 mi62 min NNE 12 G 19 59°F 59°F1009.6 hPa
41159 40 mi40 min 59°F4 ft

Wind History for Wrightsville Beach, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
MCAS New River, NC17 mi74 minNNW 710.00 miOvercast57°F54°F90%1012 hPa
Wilmington International Airport, NC22 mi77 minNNW 410.00 miOvercast57°F53°F87%1012.3 hPa
Jacksonville, Albert J Ellis Airport, NC23 mi74 minVar 49.00 miOvercast56°F55°F100%1012.7 hPa

Wind History from NCA (wind in knots)
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SW6N8N10N11N6N7NW8N7
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS9S8S7S8S9S13
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S7S4S5S4S5S5S6S4S3CalmCalm
2 days agoW3--W4W8NW11NW16
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NW13W13NW7W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for New Topsail Inlet, North Carolina
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New Topsail Inlet
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Tue -- 12:28 AM EDT     3.25 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:30 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:51 PM EDT     2.70 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:30 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.23.22.92.41.710.40.10.10.61.322.52.72.52.11.50.90.40.10.20.61.32

Tide / Current Tables for Bannermans Branch, Northeast River, North Carolina
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Bannermans Branch
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:38 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:53 AM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:34 AM EDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:34 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:57 PM EDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.30.10.10.20.611.31.41.41.310.80.50.30.10.10.30.711.21.31.20.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, NC (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Morehead City, NC
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.